Sneaky-Assertion 0x29a1cc…645645 Create alert
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$517
Unrealized P&L
+$424
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
679
Trades
8,595
lifetime
Volume
$71.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 19:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% -$320
Politics
41% 51% -$177
Crypto
1% 50% +$1
Sports
1% 40% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +522 $167 96¢ $503 +$336 11-02 15:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +252 $187 97¢ $244 +$57 11-02 15:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +94 $69 97¢ $91 +$22 11-02 15:05
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +157 $69 26¢ $42 -$27 10-28 20:24
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +36 $25 98¢ $36 +$10 11-02 17:18
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No — +90 $36 39¢ $35 -$1 11-02 15:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +27 -$43 88¢ $24 +$67 11-02 15:24
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $62 19¢ $23 -$40 10-18 22:32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +196 $39 12¢ $23 -$16 10-24 14:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +22 -$47 92¢ $20 +$67 10-23 02:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +43 $20 32¢ $14 -$6 10-31 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $8 86¢ $13 +$5 09-04 21:25
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +31 $18 40¢ $13 -$5 11-02 18:05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15 $12 72¢ $11 -$1 10-15 06:21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +91 $15 11¢ $10 -$5 10-19 16:16
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +161 $17 6¢ $9 -$8 08-26 14:28
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +12 $6 66¢ $8 +$2 11-02 19:16
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $0 18¢ $6 +$6 10-16 05:32
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +30 $10 20¢ $6 -$4 10-10 20:56
will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026 Yes — +53 $9 11¢ $6 -$3 08-09 12:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +60 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 09-26 15:16
Tusk out by December 31? No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 10-31 16:29
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +30 $5 14¢ $4 -$1 09-09 06:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $14 6¢ $4 -$10 08-20 09:05
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 07-29 19:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4 $2 97¢ $4 +$1 07-14 12:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +47 $7 7¢ $3 -$4 06-01 15:58
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +82 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 07-31 21:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $15 2¢ $3 -$12 05-05 13:35
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 -$3 6¢ $-3 +$1 09-10 17:40