Realized P&L
-$980
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
30
Trades
5,065
lifetime
Volume
$38.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$877
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
60% 44% $-282
Politics
39% 33% $-697
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -208 $-202 100¢ $-207 $-5 06-28 19:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -134 $-114 100¢ $-134 $-20 06-01 07:42
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -149 $-138 89¢ $-133 +$5 06-11 20:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +130 $115 92¢ $119 +$5 06-03 05:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -60 $-74 64¢ $-38 +$36 06-25 20:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -45 $-36 76¢ $-34 +$2 06-19 18:31
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -33 $-36 100¢ $-33 +$3 06-03 19:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +90 $27 36¢ $33 +$6 06-29 12:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -24 $-38 100¢ $-24 +$14 06-16 15:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +23 $15 100¢ $23 +$9 06-13 06:55
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 06-20 06:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -15 $-16 100¢ $-15 +$1 06-19 19:13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +15 $5 99¢ $15 +$10 06-28 09:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $7 50¢ $13 +$6 06-23 04:00
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -8 $-11 99¢ $-8 +$2 06-06 15:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +9 $7 88¢ $8 +$1 06-22 02:50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $6 28¢ $7 +$1 06-19 09:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +8 $6 86¢ $6 +$1 05-29 11:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $12 16¢ $5 $-7 06-02 14:29
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -41 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-23 14:36
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -90 $-16 $-1 +$15 06-18 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +54 $8 $0 $-8 06-14 21:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -13 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-16 18:35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $4 $-0 $-4 06-14 22:23