Realized P&L
-$980
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
30
Trades
5,664
lifetime
Volume
$44.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$451
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
62% 44% $-282
Politics
37% 33% $-697
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -149 $-138 92¢ $-138 $-0 06-11 20:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +166 $88 48¢ $79 $-9 07-08 06:47
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +102 $53 60¢ $62 +$8 07-20 11:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $5 57¢ $41 +$36 07-14 15:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -45 $-41 84¢ $-38 +$3 07-14 12:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $24 26¢ $23 $-1 07-12 17:38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $24 18¢ $21 $-2 07-20 09:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -30 $-80 70¢ $-21 +$59 07-12 10:35
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $16 20¢ $18 +$2 07-16 10:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +11 $6 52¢ $6 $-0 07-13 13:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-14 12:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +75 $8 $1 $-7 07-13 19:19