(anonymous) 0x56e772…a6cf24
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$660
Unrealized P&L
-$1.31K
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
25
Trades
796
lifetime
Volume
$52.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$6.62K
23 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-27 22:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
67% 76% -$415
Politics
29% 50% -$246
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8,944 $1,522 18¢ $1.7K +$133 09-23 17:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,117 $406 15¢ $918 +$512 10-26 23:56
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7,743 $846 8¢ $592 -$254 10-18 07:50
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6,611 $837 8¢ $529 -$308 10-09 12:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +4,721 $549 10¢ $448 -$100 09-29 21:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,000 $598 14¢ $420 -$178 08-12 19:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,960 $465 11¢ $416 -$50 10-03 13:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 Yes +2,600 $446 15¢ $377 -$69 09-23 20:25
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,350 $380 26¢ $344 -$36 08-13 19:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,225 $242 20¢ $245 +$2 09-02 06:20
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1,092 $320 12¢ $136 -$183 08-12 07:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,200 $181 6¢ $121 -$60 09-25 14:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +805 $376 12¢ $93 -$284 09-22 16:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +798 $84 11¢ $88 +$4 10-08 16:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +350 $127 12¢ $40 -$86 10-24 18:49
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +515 $76 8¢ $39 -$38 09-20 07:36
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,100 $61 3¢ $33 -$28 09-21 17:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +390 $87 8¢ $33 -$54 08-12 05:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +483 $113 6¢ $31 -$82 09-23 18:35
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +100 $34 31¢ $31 -$3 08-10 19:14
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +110 $5 11¢ $12 +$7 10-25 17:56
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +800 $150 1¢ $8 -$142 09-27 06:55
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $25 3¢ $7 -$18 09-28 06:15