(anonymous) 0x56e772…a6cf24
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$660
Unrealized P&L
-$565
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved (90d)
25
Trades (90d)
791
791 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$51.6K
$51.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$7.48K
23 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-30 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
67% 76% -$415
Politics
29% 50% -$246
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8,944 $1,522 18¢ $1.6K +$43 09-23 17:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,905 $524 17¢ $1.2K +$650 10-29 15:07
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6,611 $837 15¢ $992 +$155 10-09 12:02
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7,743 $846 9¢ $716 -$130 10-18 07:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,000 $598 15¢ $435 -$163 08-12 19:52
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,350 $380 31¢ $418 +$38 08-13 19:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +4,721 $549 8¢ $401 -$147 09-29 21:15
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,960 $465 10¢ $376 -$89 10-03 13:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 Yes +2,600 $446 14¢ $351 -$95 09-23 20:25
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1,092 $320 22¢ $246 -$74 08-12 07:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,225 $242 20¢ $245 +$2 09-02 06:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +805 $376 17¢ $137 -$240 09-22 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,200 $181 4¢ $99 -$82 09-25 14:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +798 $84 12¢ $96 +$12 10-08 16:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +390 $87 12¢ $47 -$40 08-12 05:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +483 $113 8¢ $41 -$72 09-23 18:35
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +515 $76 8¢ $39 -$38 09-20 07:36
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,100 $61 3¢ $35 -$26 09-21 17:05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +100 $34 30¢ $30 -$4 08-10 19:14
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +350 $127 7¢ $25 -$102 10-24 18:49
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $25 3¢ $7 -$17 09-28 06:15
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +800 $150 0¢ $4 -$146 09-27 06:55
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +110 $4 3¢ $4 -$1 10-29 17:31