(anonymous) 0x56e772…a6cf24
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.58K
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
29
Trades
810
lifetime
Volume
$52.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$6.32K
22 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-31 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 74% -$544
Politics
29% 50% -$513
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8,944 $1,522 18¢ $1.6K +$43 09-23 17:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,905 $524 12¢ $863 +$339 10-29 15:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7,743 $846 10¢ $739 -$106 10-18 07:50
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6,611 $837 8¢ $562 -$275 10-09 12:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,000 $598 14¢ $405 -$193 08-12 19:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,960 $465 10¢ $376 -$89 10-03 13:39
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,350 $380 26¢ $358 -$23 08-13 19:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +4,721 $549 8¢ $354 -$195 09-29 21:15
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 Yes +2,600 $446 12¢ $299 -$147 09-23 20:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,225 $242 18¢ $227 -$16 09-02 06:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +805 $376 18¢ $141 -$236 09-22 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,200 $181 6¢ $121 -$60 09-25 14:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +798 $84 11¢ $88 +$4 10-08 16:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +483 $113 10¢ $48 -$65 09-23 18:35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +390 $87 12¢ $47 -$40 08-12 05:50
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1,092 $320 3¢ $33 -$287 08-12 07:48
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +100 $34 28¢ $27 -$6 08-10 19:14
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,100 $61 2¢ $24 -$37 09-21 17:05
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +515 $76 4¢ $18 -$58 09-20 07:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +350 $127 4¢ $16 -$111 10-24 18:49
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $25 2¢ $6 -$18 09-28 06:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +110 $4 4¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:31