(anonymous) 0x56e772…a6cf24
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$639
Unrealized P&L
-$1.30K
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
26
Trades
810
lifetime
Volume
$52.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$6.60K
22 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-31 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
67% 78% -$394
Politics
29% 50% -$246
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8,944 $1,522 18¢ $1.6K +$43 09-23 17:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,905 $524 16¢ $1.1K +$546 10-29 15:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7,743 $846 10¢ $743 -$103 10-18 07:50
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6,611 $837 8¢ $562 -$275 10-09 12:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,000 $598 14¢ $405 -$193 08-12 19:52
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,350 $380 29¢ $385 +$4 08-13 19:08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,960 $465 10¢ $376 -$89 10-03 13:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +4,721 $549 8¢ $354 -$195 09-29 21:15
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 Yes +2,600 $446 12¢ $299 -$147 09-23 20:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,225 $242 18¢ $227 -$16 09-02 06:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +805 $376 20¢ $157 -$220 09-22 16:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,200 $181 4¢ $99 -$82 09-25 14:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +798 $84 11¢ $88 +$4 10-08 16:16
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1,092 $320 6¢ $65 -$254 08-12 07:48
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +483 $113 12¢ $56 -$58 09-23 18:35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +390 $87 11¢ $41 -$46 08-12 05:50
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +515 $76 6¢ $31 -$46 09-20 07:36
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,100 $61 3¢ $31 -$30 09-21 17:05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +100 $34 28¢ $27 -$6 08-10 19:14
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $25 2¢ $7 -$18 09-28 06:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +110 $4 4¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:31
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +350 $127 1¢ $4 -$123 10-24 18:49