(anonymous) 0x56e772…a6cf24
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$1.42K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
44
797 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.25K
$52.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$6.63K
23 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-29 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
67% 76% -$415
Politics
30% 50% -$246
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8,944 $1,522 18¢ $1.6K +$43 09-23 17:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,897 $523 16¢ $1.1K +$546 10-29 11:18
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7,743 $846 8¢ $643 -$203 10-18 07:50
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +6,611 $837 8¢ $529 -$308 10-09 12:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +4,721 $549 9¢ $425 -$124 09-29 21:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,000 $598 14¢ $405 -$193 08-12 19:52
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +1,350 $380 28¢ $378 -$3 08-13 19:08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,960 $465 10¢ $376 -$89 10-03 13:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 Yes +2,600 $446 12¢ $325 -$121 09-23 20:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,225 $242 18¢ $227 -$16 09-02 06:20
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,200 $181 6¢ $143 -$38 09-25 14:41
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +1,092 $320 13¢ $142 -$178 08-12 07:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +805 $376 12¢ $101 -$276 09-22 16:38
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +798 $84 12¢ $92 +$8 10-08 16:16
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +515 $76 8¢ $39 -$38 09-20 07:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +350 $127 10¢ $37 -$90 10-24 18:49
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,100 $61 3¢ $32 -$29 09-21 17:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +390 $87 8¢ $30 -$57 08-12 05:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +483 $113 6¢ $27 -$87 09-23 18:35
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +100 $34 26¢ $26 -$8 08-10 19:14
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +110 $5 7¢ $8 +$4 10-25 17:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $25 2¢ $6 -$19 09-28 06:15
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +800 $150 0¢ $2 -$148 09-27 06:55