Lumpy-Diner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$533

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

1,347

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-27 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

97% 25% -$518

Politics

2% 0% -$11

Crypto

1% 29% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes		+365	$4	1¢	$3	-$1	10-27 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xauusd up or down on june 12 2026	34	$163	174	174	+0	Up	-$16	06-12 17:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	19	$88	140	145	-5	Up	+$16	06-02 19:29
spx up or down on september 24 2026	31	$86	348	141	+208	Down	-$11	09-24 19:40
spy up or down on june 12 2026	14	$81	115	115	+0	Up	-$10	06-12 17:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	10	$77	126	126	+0	Up	-$21	05-21 17:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?	14	$73	89	89	+0	Down	+$7	09-29 19:36
spy up or down on june 9 2026	21	$72	115	115	+0	Down	-$26	06-09 18:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$69	105	105	+0	Up	-$7	05-11 19:24
xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	14	$67	125	125	+0	Up	-$8	06-08 18:10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	37	$62	1,716	1,215	+501	No	-$7	10-09 08:54
spy up or down on june 23 2026	10	$56	250	65	+185	Down	-$29	06-23 08:42
spx up or down on june 16 2026	18	$52	161	122	+39	Down	-$18	06-16 17:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	13	$52	328	189	+139	Up	-$15	10-19 19:05
spx up or down on june 29 2026	10	$50	200	120	+80	Up	+$7	06-29 15:35
spy up or down on june 24 2026	13	$49	55	55	+0	Down	+$7	06-24 18:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	12	$48	60	60	+0	Up	+$16	09-18 19:52
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	13	$47	753	484	+269	No	-$6	10-08 09:53
spy up or down on june 25 2026	10	$40	58	58	+0	Down	-$7	06-25 19:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	7	$39	177	57	+120	Down	-$33	05-12 14:49
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	7	$38	60	60	+0	Up	$0	05-26 18:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	18	$38	513	241	+272	Up	+$6	10-02 16:32
spy up or down on june 4 2026	4	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$17	06-04 16:45
nvda up or down on june 17 2026	7	$36	46	46	+0	Down	-$6	06-17 17:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$34	170	70	+100	No	-$14	09-16 04:49
spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	13	$33	201	201	+0	Up	+$5	07-09 12:53
djia up or down on july 8 2026	8	$32	234	209	+25	Down	+$14	07-08 15:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	4	$30	105	105	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 17:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	13	$29	122	25	+97	Up	-$15	10-21 16:31
spx up or down on june 17 2026	7	$29	58	58	+0	Down	-$8	06-17 18:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	10	$29	58	33	+25	Up	+$17	05-27 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:12:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x304a2e…
10-27 15:25:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa00af6…
10-27 15:17:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x5d565c…
10-27 15:17:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9a2c6e…
10-27 14:29:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1acb27…
10-27 14:19:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7c5986…
10-27 14:16:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfa7634…
10-27 12:19:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x85c8f5…
10-27 12:16:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8709d6…
10-27 12:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf2aa3f…
10-27 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc2dde2…
10-27 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9dae77…
10-27 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe98686…
10-27 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3309e…
10-27 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xba5ca6…
10-27 08:07:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x113d03…
10-27 07:14:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb34245…
10-27 06:46:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94facf…
10-26 14:45:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xe2071a…
10-26 14:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x80267c…
10-26 14:44:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xb56edc…
10-26 14:44:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x607c49…
10-26 14:15:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34424a…
10-26 14:11:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf55c84…
10-26 14:10:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3e51a…
10-26 14:09:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x90e09d…
10-23 18:01:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x27589d…
10-23 17:00:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe46239…
10-23 16:56:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x771a98…
10-23 16:46:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbc6ad3…
10-23 16:12:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x4c84b5…
10-23 16:08:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x46b0dc…
10-23 16:03:21	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x6f1d32…
10-23 15:55:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2ec85c…
10-23 15:22:14	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3dee79…
10-23 11:20:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2b318d…
10-23 09:08:38	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5b4b38…
10-23 07:14:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49f912…
10-22 17:21:23	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x332bf0…
10-22 17:19:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x03672e…
10-22 17:10:45	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x736df5…
10-22 17:09:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbca200…
10-22 17:09:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xc811f8…
10-22 15:09:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x55d189…
10-22 09:35:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb8b5ed…
10-21 16:31:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x63d1c3…
10-21 16:03:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf05a1d…
10-21 15:17:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x443275…
10-21 15:10:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x01a8ae…
10-21 14:47:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9b9db3…
10-21 14:47:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcc344b…
10-21 13:47:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa4a9d2…
10-21 13:40:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4f2684…
10-21 13:40:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x0385df…
10-21 13:00:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9a9aca…
10-21 12:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x9d0a37…
10-21 12:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf4e060…
10-21 12:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x533623…
10-21 12:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x44723e…
10-21 11:38:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7e62ef…
10-21 10:41:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcbf0af…
10-21 10:24:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9e96e…
10-20 17:54:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x334243…
10-20 17:37:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdb2495…
10-20 15:58:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x7d6105…
10-20 15:48:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5166ea…
10-20 15:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc4e76e…
10-20 15:42:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcaa1e4…
10-20 15:40:17	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x486650…
10-20 15:40:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd775fb…
10-20 15:36:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x15a4bf…
10-20 14:07:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb80127…
10-20 14:07:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdf8426…
10-20 13:57:02	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xafb187…
10-20 13:53:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda2253…
10-20 13:16:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb4eeaa…
10-20 07:12:46	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2a78f1…
10-20 07:05:13	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc0630d…
10-20 06:45:14	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x35cc95…
10-20 06:43:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x6741bf…
10-20 06:18:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x10ab62…
10-20 05:31:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0ee525…
10-19 19:05:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x091324…
10-19 18:03:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x965c9f…
10-19 17:50:48	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x88b558…
10-19 17:47:02	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1dbe17…
10-19 16:31:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xb1e7a0…
10-19 16:30:59	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa3f87c…
10-19 16:27:56	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe71fcf…
10-19 16:01:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xd1371c…
10-19 16:00:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdef569…
10-19 15:58:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x58bebb…
10-19 15:52:36	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x508780…
10-19 15:42:38	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3b0465…
10-19 14:19:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	135	12¢	$16	0xd566fc…
10-19 13:31:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x5fe224…
10-19 13:12:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xea6fbf…
10-19 12:14:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x507c20…
10-19 12:06:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc9e117…
10-19 11:40:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xa08094…