Lumpy-Diner — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$299

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved (90d)

151

Trades (90d)

694

1,372 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.41K

$3.49K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-30 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

97% 25% -$547

Politics

2% 0% -$11

Crypto

1% 29% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12?	34	$163	174	174	+0	Up	-$16	06-12 17:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	19	$88	140	145	-5	Up	+$16	06-02 19:29
spx up or down on september 24 2026	31	$86	348	141	+208	Down	-$11	09-24 19:40
spy up or down on june 12 2026	14	$81	115	115	+0	Up	-$10	06-12 17:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	10	$77	126	126	+0	Up	-$21	05-21 17:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?	14	$73	89	89	+0	Down	+$7	09-29 19:36
spy up or down on june 9 2026	21	$72	115	115	+0	Down	-$26	06-09 18:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$69	105	105	+0	Up	-$7	05-11 19:24
xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	14	$67	125	125	+0	Up	-$8	06-08 18:10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	37	$62	1,716	1,215	+501	No	-$7	10-09 08:54
spy up or down on june 23 2026	10	$56	250	65	+185	Down	-$29	06-23 08:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	17	$54	97	75	+22	Up	-$4	10-28 19:43
spx up or down on june 16 2026	18	$52	161	122	+39	Down	-$18	06-16 17:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	13	$52	328	189	+139	Up	-$15	10-19 19:05
spx up or down on june 29 2026	10	$50	200	120	+80	Up	+$7	06-29 15:35
spy up or down on june 24 2026	13	$49	55	55	+0	Down	+$7	06-24 18:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	12	$48	60	60	+0	Up	+$16	09-18 19:52
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	13	$47	753	484	+269	No	-$6	10-08 09:53
spy up or down on june 25 2026	10	$40	58	58	+0	Down	-$7	06-25 19:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	7	$39	177	57	+120	Down	-$33	05-12 14:49
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	7	$38	60	60	+0	Up	$0	05-26 18:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	18	$38	513	241	+272	Up	+$6	10-02 16:32
spy up or down on june 4 2026	4	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$17	06-04 16:45
nvda up or down on june 17 2026	7	$36	46	46	+0	Down	-$6	06-17 17:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$34	170	70	+100	No	-$14	09-16 04:49
spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	13	$33	201	201	+0	Up	+$5	07-09 12:53
djia up or down on july 8 2026	8	$32	234	209	+25	Down	+$14	07-08 15:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	4	$30	105	105	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 17:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	13	$29	122	25	+97	Up	-$15	10-21 16:31
spx up or down on june 17 2026	7	$29	58	58	+0	Down	-$8	06-17 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:27:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0b93d0…
10-30 14:04:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x16428f…
10-29 17:54:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d62b2…
10-29 17:16:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x7bb348…
10-29 17:02:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7aa9a2…
10-29 16:30:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xe8b2c1…
10-29 16:23:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xdb9702…
10-29 16:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x7d2ca4…
10-29 16:11:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4fac7f…
10-29 16:11:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xa6c7bf…
10-29 16:05:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4eb07d…
10-29 14:48:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa2ce98…
10-29 14:16:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd69d8f…
10-29 13:30:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x93d988…
10-29 12:40:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x9e6d21…
10-29 09:08:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xab2f3a…
10-29 06:17:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb31c7b…
10-28 19:43:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x70b1cf…
10-28 18:49:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x9606ec…
10-28 18:49:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x34011c…
10-28 18:47:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x685820…
10-28 18:47:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xca8358…
10-28 18:35:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x001858…
10-28 18:32:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x2ab544…
10-28 18:31:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7c4236…
10-28 18:29:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1bad73…
10-28 17:47:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4eceb7…
10-28 17:01:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x41bb38…
10-28 17:00:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x97b440…
10-28 16:59:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8e4de2…
10-28 16:58:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x082741…
10-28 16:38:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x60dbd7…
10-28 16:37:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xc5e949…
10-28 15:59:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0f63f3…
10-28 15:52:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba9348…
10-28 15:42:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6cc0a9…
10-28 15:27:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xec9b43…
10-28 15:26:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb3f280…
10-28 15:17:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x1e64d0…
10-28 15:17:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8ed3d1…
10-28 15:03:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x29f5b6…
10-28 11:37:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x75990c…
10-28 10:40:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	365	1¢	$3	0x440be8…
10-28 10:40:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3b9482…
10-27 17:12:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x304a2e…
10-27 15:25:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa00af6…
10-27 15:17:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x5d565c…
10-27 15:17:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9a2c6e…
10-27 14:29:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1acb27…
10-27 14:19:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7c5986…
10-27 14:16:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfa7634…
10-27 12:19:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x85c8f5…
10-27 12:16:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8709d6…
10-27 12:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf2aa3f…
10-27 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc2dde2…
10-27 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9dae77…
10-27 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe98686…
10-27 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3309e…
10-27 11:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xba5ca6…
10-27 08:07:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x113d03…
10-27 07:14:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb34245…
10-27 06:46:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94facf…
10-26 14:45:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xe2071a…
10-26 14:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x80267c…
10-26 14:44:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xb56edc…
10-26 14:44:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x607c49…
10-26 14:15:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34424a…
10-26 14:11:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf55c84…
10-26 14:10:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3e51a…
10-26 14:09:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x90e09d…
10-23 18:01:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x27589d…
10-23 17:00:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe46239…
10-23 16:56:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x771a98…
10-23 16:46:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbc6ad3…
10-23 16:12:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x4c84b5…
10-23 16:08:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x46b0dc…
10-23 16:03:21	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x6f1d32…
10-23 15:55:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2ec85c…
10-23 15:22:14	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3dee79…
10-23 11:20:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2b318d…
10-23 09:08:38	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5b4b38…
10-23 07:14:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49f912…
10-22 17:21:23	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x332bf0…
10-22 17:19:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x03672e…
10-22 17:10:45	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x736df5…
10-22 17:09:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbca200…
10-22 17:09:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xc811f8…
10-22 15:09:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x55d189…
10-22 09:35:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb8b5ed…
10-21 16:31:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x63d1c3…
10-21 16:03:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf05a1d…
10-21 15:17:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x443275…
10-21 15:10:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x01a8ae…
10-21 14:47:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9b9db3…
10-21 14:47:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcc344b…
10-21 13:47:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa4a9d2…
10-21 13:40:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4f2684…
10-21 13:40:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x0385df…
10-21 13:00:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9a9aca…
10-21 12:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x9d0a37…