Compassionate-Lawsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,005

lifetime

Volume

$1.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$508

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$0

Sports

33% 75% $-2,061

Other

23% 100% +$129

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No		-29	$-24	84¢	$-24	$-1	05-29 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$75.9K	53,465	53,465	+0	open	—	04-28 14:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	61	$66.3K	63,999	15,656	+48,343	open	—	02-26 19:55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$53.3K	44,444	44,444	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$0	05-11 21:07
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	51	$39.7K	29,335	29,335	+0	open	—	05-14 18:35
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	65	$35.4K	28,976	28,976	+0	open	—	05-14 16:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$33.9K	36,053	11,111	+24,942	open	—	03-03 14:05
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	110	$33.0K	28,474	28,474	+0	open	—	05-17 16:13
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	18	$32.9K	30,631	5,600	+25,031	open	—	01-14 20:12
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	261	$32.7K	33,333	33,333	+0	open	—	05-18 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$32.3K	33,333	0	+33,333	open	—	04-09 19:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	10	$31.8K	32,722	0	+32,722	open	—	02-09 15:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.3K	31,811	0	+31,811	open	—	03-04 18:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$29.3K	29,745	0	+29,745	open	—	05-23 23:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	25	$28.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 20:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$27.0K	33,333	33,333	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$333	05-13 17:04
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	91	$26.5K	21,722	22,222	-500	open	—	05-27 08:04
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 16	21	$26.0K	22,222	22,222	+0	open	—	04-16 17:19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	5	$25.6K	24,721	24,721	+0	open	—	05-16 17:18
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	167	$24.2K	25,360	0	+25,360	open	—	04-13 21:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	24	$23.6K	19,965	10,477	+9,488	open	—	05-24 14:13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	20	$21.9K	21,408	21,093	+315	open	—	04-23 18:33
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	12	$21.7K	22,053	0	+22,053	open	—	02-16 22:59
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	9	$20.0K	20,405	0	+20,405	open	—	02-13 22:29
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	38	$19.5K	17,446	17,446	+0	open	—	04-27 23:00
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	29	$19.2K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	04-13 20:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$17.9K	20,888	0	+20,888	open	—	01-31 13:36
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	34	$17.7K	15,555	15,555	+0	open	—	05-30 19:12
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$17.7K	18,282	0	+18,282	open	—	02-24 21:08
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	25	$16.9K	18,391	0	+18,391	open	—	02-20 14:34
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	26	$16.2K	18,216	18,216	+0	open	—	04-26 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:53:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x8a0b27…
07-01 15:47:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0xc22472…
07-01 15:26:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc97cdc…
07-01 15:19:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xc74adc…
07-01 15:05:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	27	64¢	$18	0xa22376…
07-01 13:42:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xfc44e9…
07-01 13:34:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5940ad…
07-01 13:06:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x9e858a…
07-01 12:30:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x16e26c…
07-01 12:16:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	78	64¢	$50	0xf27405…
07-01 12:16:25	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	78	64¢	$50	0xbb12e5…
07-01 12:15:35	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by june 30	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0a2b54…
07-01 12:15:32	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by june 30	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x648122…
07-01 12:14:02	will epic games valuation hit low 11pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x767eda…
07-01 12:13:38	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	BUY	481	87¢	$419	0x99f2f9…
07-01 12:13:28	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xac8b76…
07-01 10:35:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	352	71¢	$250	0x742c1c…
07-01 10:27:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0x3351dc…
07-01 09:34:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	94	71¢	$67	0xcf6736…
07-01 09:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	187	71¢	$132	0x61dffb…
06-30 18:24:28	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x503301…
06-30 18:23:52	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa25935…
06-30 18:23:49	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8cce5b…
06-30 17:03:04	will databricks valuation hit low 145b by june 30	No	BUY	619	100¢	$617	0x37d25a…
06-30 17:02:05	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	3,111	100¢	$3,101	0xcdf546…
06-30 17:01:59	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	1,487	99¢	$1,473	0x5013f0…
06-30 17:01:37	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	239	98¢	$234	0x10046c…
06-30 17:01:34	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xecc072…
06-27 17:18:37	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by june 30	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0xf00b74…
06-27 17:18:35	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by june 30	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x436056…
06-27 17:18:32	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by june 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x920e3d…
06-27 17:17:19	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xef1e90…
06-27 17:17:04	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by june 30	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6a7979…
06-27 17:16:59	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by june 30	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x7f8d18…
06-27 17:16:52	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by june 30	No	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0xf7f826…
06-27 17:16:17	will databricks valuation hit high 175b by june 30	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd71d10…
06-27 17:15:56	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	No	BUY	485	100¢	$484	0xd6ddaf…
06-27 17:15:53	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	No	BUY	777	100¢	$775	0xa910bc…
06-27 17:15:50	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xf3cd45…
06-27 17:15:46	will databricks valuation hit low 135b by june 30	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0x9c9ff0…
06-27 17:15:37	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by june 30	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x161a69…
06-27 17:15:35	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by june 30	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xa83252…
06-27 17:15:32	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by june 30	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x8ecd20…
06-27 17:15:28	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe80143…
06-27 17:15:23	will databricks valuation hit low 145b by june 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf47daa…
06-27 17:15:19	will databricks valuation hit low 145b by june 30	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbbeac7…
06-27 17:15:13	will databricks valuation hit low 145b by june 30	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x14dcea…
06-27 17:14:19	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	BUY	820	98¢	$804	0xf5faae…
06-27 17:14:16	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x294402…
06-27 17:14:10	will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe909be…
06-27 17:14:07	will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	No	BUY	834	85¢	$712	0x4d56ef…
06-27 17:13:53	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	528	100¢	$527	0x7fcbae…
06-27 17:13:46	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	782	100¢	$780	0x8eaa92…
06-27 17:13:41	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	763	100¢	$759	0x2362c8…
06-27 17:13:38	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x62b916…
06-27 17:13:32	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x870d1d…
06-27 17:13:29	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x36dec3…
06-27 17:13:25	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0a9738…
06-27 17:12:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xae750d…
06-27 17:12:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0x5ecb6c…
06-27 17:12:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xddafb8…
06-27 17:12:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6cbed2…
06-27 17:12:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x91c7bb…
06-27 17:12:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd5468d…
06-27 17:11:52	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by june 30	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba1f87…
06-27 17:11:49	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by june 30	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x376a3a…
06-27 17:11:41	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by june 30	No	BUY	654	100¢	$653	0xaebd45…
06-27 17:11:38	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by june 30	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08a9fb…
06-27 17:11:31	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x16f31b…
06-27 17:11:28	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85d976…
06-27 17:11:22	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19b by june 30	No	BUY	388	100¢	$386	0xf2ea1b…
06-27 17:11:19	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19b by june 30	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xff798a…
06-27 17:11:16	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19b by june 30	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x14b8df…
06-27 17:10:26	will epic games valuation hit high 20b by june 30	No	BUY	686	100¢	$685	0xe4af71…
06-27 17:10:20	will epic games valuation hit high 20b by june 30	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xfda410…
06-27 17:10:11	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt25b by june 30	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xcb969a…
06-27 17:10:02	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by june 30	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x90b31c…
06-27 17:09:59	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by june 30	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x03a44c…
06-27 17:08:46	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by june 30	No	BUY	546	100¢	$545	0x14e1dd…
06-27 17:08:37	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by june 30	No	BUY	383	100¢	$382	0x883c64…
06-27 17:08:34	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by june 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x33a610…
06-27 17:08:28	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xfeb8b5…
06-27 17:07:35	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	BUY	85	100¢	$84	0x87c28a…
06-27 17:07:32	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xeb170b…
06-27 17:07:29	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x57f404…
06-27 17:07:23	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x39b769…
06-27 17:07:22	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x9c8f72…
06-27 17:07:17	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x5dc7ee…
06-27 17:07:14	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x93fad0…
06-27 17:06:23	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x598e8d…
06-27 17:06:20	will stripes valuation hit high 180b by june 30	Yes	SELL	235	8¢	$19	0x9e832b…
06-27 17:05:38	will krakens valuation hit low 9b by june 30	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb6417b…
06-27 17:05:34	will krakens valuation hit low 10b by june 30	No	BUY	139	92¢	$128	0x0eb378…
06-27 17:05:11	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x1c963e…
06-27 17:05:01	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x779d39…
06-27 17:04:52	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a38f3…
06-27 17:04:32	will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	555	94¢	$522	0x66c37d…
06-27 17:03:20	will databricks valuation hit high 165b by june 30	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x73aeea…
06-27 17:03:17	will databricks valuation hit high 165b by june 30	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x329250…
06-27 17:02:35	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by june 30	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x089630…