Compassionate-Lawsuit 0x8df73e…5936c4
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.93K
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
583
Trades
6,036
lifetime
Volume
$2.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$491
Open exposure
$213.6K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Politics
46% 67% -$41,329
Other
34% 63% +$4,509
Sports
20% 66% -$8,274
Tech
0% 75% -$110
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$402
Crypto
0% 25% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +89,225 $80,934 92¢ $82.5K +$1,598 10-15 20:25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -60,000 -$58,560 99¢ $-59250 -$690 05-05 09:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +33,333 $22,406 82¢ $27.5K +$5,093 08-24 16:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +22,254 $21,370 98¢ $21.8K +$428 09-18 08:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6,221 $4,836 97¢ $6.1K +$1,214 06-09 11:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,973 $4,727 96¢ $5.7K +$977 05-04 12:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4,950 $4,059 96¢ $4.8K +$703 05-03 21:10
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +2,290 $1,969 95¢ $2.2K +$215 05-20 21:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,393 $1,226 92¢ $1.3K +$63 08-20 13:51
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +1,159 $949 93¢ $1.1K +$129 07-13 22:21
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +646 $513 86¢ $555 +$42 07-13 16:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$508 18¢ $-363 +$145 08-31 00:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,070 $116 9¢ $187 +$71 10-07 13:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +126 $111 96¢ $122 +$10 05-22 13:47
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +111 $63 98¢ $109 +$46 07-25 21:57
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +7,260 $6,215 1¢ $69 -$6,146 07-04 16:48
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +0 -$33 88¢ $0 +$33 05-25 07:25