Compassionate-Lawsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,554

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$479

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-08 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Sports

30% 75% $-2,061

Other

25% 100% +$129

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$97.2K	0	119,996	-119,996	open	—	07-15 13:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$75.9K	53,465	53,465	+0	open	—	04-28 14:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	61	$66.3K	63,999	15,656	+48,343	open	—	02-26 19:55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$53.3K	44,444	44,444	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$0	05-11 21:07
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	51	$39.7K	29,335	29,335	+0	open	—	05-14 18:35
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	65	$35.4K	28,976	28,976	+0	open	—	05-14 16:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$33.9K	36,053	11,111	+24,942	open	—	03-03 14:05
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	110	$33.0K	28,474	28,474	+0	open	—	05-17 16:13
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	18	$32.9K	30,631	5,600	+25,031	open	—	01-14 20:12
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	261	$32.7K	33,333	33,333	+0	open	—	05-18 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$32.3K	33,333	0	+33,333	open	—	04-09 19:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	10	$31.8K	32,722	0	+32,722	open	—	02-09 15:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.3K	31,811	0	+31,811	open	—	03-04 18:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$29.3K	29,745	0	+29,745	open	—	05-23 23:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	25	$28.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 20:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$27.0K	33,333	33,333	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$333	05-13 17:04
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	91	$26.5K	21,722	22,222	-500	open	—	05-27 08:04
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 16	21	$26.0K	22,222	22,222	+0	open	—	04-16 17:19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	5	$25.6K	24,721	24,721	+0	open	—	05-16 17:18
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	167	$24.2K	25,360	0	+25,360	open	—	04-13 21:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	24	$23.6K	19,965	10,477	+9,488	open	—	05-24 14:13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	20	$21.9K	21,408	21,093	+315	open	—	04-23 18:33
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	12	$21.7K	22,053	0	+22,053	open	—	02-16 22:59
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	9	$20.0K	20,405	0	+20,405	open	—	02-13 22:29
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	38	$19.5K	17,446	17,446	+0	open	—	04-27 23:00
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	29	$19.2K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	04-13 20:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$17.9K	20,888	0	+20,888	open	—	01-31 13:36
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	34	$17.7K	15,555	15,555	+0	open	—	05-30 19:12
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$17.7K	18,282	0	+18,282	open	—	02-24 21:08
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	25	$16.9K	18,391	0	+18,391	open	—	02-20 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 17:07:15	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	170	74¢	$126	0x287a84…
08-08 17:07:09	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0xa5c73a…
08-08 17:07:00	will perplexitys valuation hit high 30b by december 31	No	BUY	250	86¢	$216	0xd38bac…
08-08 17:06:42	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	412	90¢	$371	0x9be4fd…
08-08 17:06:34	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x743c20…
08-08 17:03:06	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	Yes	BUY	275	79¢	$217	0xd5bd45…
08-08 17:02:58	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	BUY	98	68¢	$67	0x63ba9a…
08-08 17:02:57	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	BUY	140	67¢	$94	0x1085dc…
08-08 17:02:45	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	BUY	747	96¢	$717	0x5ca240…
08-08 17:02:40	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x9e3373…
08-08 17:02:10	will canvas valuation hit high 75b by december 31	No	BUY	1,306	88¢	$1,150	0xd94279…
08-06 21:03:44	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xac4e02…
08-06 21:02:09	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	Yes	SELL	46	55¢	$25	0xf1d87e…
08-06 21:01:18	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	1,874	75¢	$1,405	0x2e785e…
08-06 20:56:03	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	SELL	555	13¢	$72	0xf54f91…
08-05 17:04:41	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xc17c42…
08-05 02:50:21	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by december 31	No	SELL	110	73¢	$80	0x699253…
08-05 02:49:23	will neuralinks valuation hit low 40b by august 31 20260731173840964	No	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0xdb5acc…
08-04 17:53:29	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	96	73¢	$70	0x55c65a…
08-04 17:53:24	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xcd80fa…
08-04 17:53:23	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	145	71¢	$103	0x56f6f1…
08-04 17:52:45	will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by december 31	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x21a29d…
08-04 17:52:44	will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by december 31	No	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0x6af7e9…
08-04 17:52:41	will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by december 31	No	BUY	160	45¢	$72	0xc26143…
08-04 17:52:00	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	230	74¢	$170	0xd45196…
08-04 17:51:51	will lambdas valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x728ba3…
08-04 17:50:53	will lambdas valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	BUY	250	76¢	$191	0x5d1487…
08-04 17:50:47	will lambdas valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x85b153…
08-04 17:41:27	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0xe32402…
08-04 17:38:53	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x4690a2…
08-04 17:38:47	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	118	70¢	$82	0x8efc6e…
08-04 17:38:15	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xfddfba…
08-04 17:38:12	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc3787b…
08-04 15:58:03	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xb27d49…
08-03 21:51:20	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,004	4¢	$152	0x6ee5be…
08-02 07:42:44	will bytedances valuation hit low 525b by august 31 20260731174241519	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$5	0xb1037a…
08-02 07:42:38	will bytedances valuation hit low 525b by august 31 20260731174241519	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb72fe1…
08-01 23:31:50	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by august 31 20260730183108149	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0x8d5f4e…
08-01 23:18:41	will revoluts valuation hit high 105b by august 31 20260731174621603	Yes	BUY	888	51¢	$453	0x092a94…
08-01 22:05:59	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50b by august 31 20260731173840960	No	BUY	1,111	86¢	$955	0xbd64f1…
08-01 21:59:18	will neuralinks valuation hit low 40b by august 31 20260731173840964	No	BUY	1,111	80¢	$889	0xc21dc9…
07-31 21:48:54	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xfc28d9…
07-31 17:48:50	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xecb5fb…
07-31 17:07:11	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	SELL	499	14¢	$70	0x1f8d17…
07-31 07:42:12	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	Yes	SELL	777	41¢	$319	0xdd566a…
07-25 16:35:15	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3c8b65…
07-25 16:35:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0xc7907b…
07-25 02:04:12	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by december 31	Yes	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0x95913b…
07-24 20:37:19	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	147	46¢	$68	0x2ad6f8…
07-24 20:35:57	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	3,720	46¢	$1,711	0x8a5c61…
07-24 19:25:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	7,777	44¢	$3,422	0xa1768f…
07-24 17:02:16	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by december 31	Yes	SELL	577	84¢	$485	0x638cf9…
07-24 15:16:12	lol g2 mkoi 2026 07 24 game1	Movistar KOI	BUY	3,257	88¢	$2,866	0x733b45…
07-24 15:15:57	lol g2 mkoi 2026 07 24 game1	Movistar KOI	BUY	960	87¢	$836	0x02c4ef…
07-24 13:30:54	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	260	44¢	$114	0xfea2b5…
07-24 13:30:39	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	684	44¢	$301	0x2ff14e…
07-24 13:29:57	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	1,701	44¢	$748	0xd4749f…
07-24 13:29:15	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	5,102	44¢	$2,245	0xd0a614…
07-24 13:28:30	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x73635c…
07-23 22:53:37	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 spread away 4pt5	Team Coop	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x1fd1e9…
07-23 22:37:01	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 spread away 4pt5	Team Coop	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa7c2ae…
07-23 19:58:36	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xa31064…
07-23 10:55:37	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by december 31	No	BUY	110	52¢	$57	0x8e0528…
07-23 10:53:22	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	SELL	1,376	9¢	$124	0xbd7c90…
07-22 12:15:45	will krakens valuation hit high 11 by july 31 20260629184742675	No	BUY	4,083	97¢	$3,961	0xeadb69…
07-22 12:15:42	will krakens valuation hit high 11 by july 31 20260629184742675	No	BUY	387	97¢	$375	0x7110aa…
07-16 00:08:43	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	580	5¢	$29	0x480442…
07-16 00:08:04	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jeremy paul	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x1f50e3…
07-15 23:30:11	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdabc5b…
07-15 21:43:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 adam hadwin	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6ac1e9…
07-15 21:30:23	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xd52309…
07-15 19:22:35	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0x5a9b41…
07-15 17:40:55	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny willett	Yes	SELL	195	14¢	$27	0x7d46e9…
07-15 17:34:55	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x586714…
07-15 15:29:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x81f1a1…
07-15 14:46:50	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by december 31	Yes	BUY	555	87¢	$483	0x3dfdf1…
07-15 14:44:08	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x8891cc…
07-15 14:37:17	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0x156390…
07-15 14:37:05	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by december 31	No	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x634953…
07-15 13:40:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	119,949	81¢	$97,158	0xf9cf12…
07-15 13:37:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x9fd8eb…
07-15 12:14:47	dota2 aur1 re 2026 07 15	Rune Eaters	SELL	177	34¢	$60	0x59f255…
07-15 11:55:16	dota2 aur1 re 2026 07 15	Rune Eaters	BUY	177	27¢	$48	0xeaed43…
07-15 11:32:59	lol blg mkoi 2026 07 15	Movistar KOI	BUY	681	17¢	$116	0x0cafb2…
07-15 10:29:23	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x2473ce…
07-15 10:05:11	will revoluts valuation hit low 75b by december 31 20260701011444457	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7759e2…
07-15 10:01:10	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0xc950b8…
07-15 09:07:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	333	84¢	$280	0x195ca3…
07-15 08:55:29	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8b7abf…
07-15 08:52:32	will bytedances valuation hit low 300b by december 31 20260701011753600	No	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0xcd8928…
07-15 08:47:14	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	333	84¢	$280	0xc78860…
07-15 08:27:37	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	SELL	384	31¢	$119	0x247101…
07-15 04:21:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ze cheng dou	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7c6e14…
07-15 04:18:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x641b6b…
07-15 02:49:07	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x194bfe…
07-15 02:48:40	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xf3fa3e…
07-15 02:48:16	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x01ab88…
07-15 02:47:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ugo coussaud	Yes	BUY	99	31¢	$31	0x1b5a93…
07-15 02:01:29	will bytedances valuation hit high 700b by december 31 20260701011753595	Yes	BUY	555	30¢	$166	0x87f918…
07-15 01:59:32	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	150	41¢	$61	0x55919f…