Compassionate-Lawsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,745

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$531

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Sports

35% 75% $-2,061

Other

20% 100% +$129

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No		-29	$-24	76¢	$-22	+$2	05-29 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$75.9K	53,465	53,465	+0	open	—	04-28 14:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	61	$66.3K	63,999	15,656	+48,343	open	—	02-26 19:55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$53.3K	44,444	44,444	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$0	05-11 21:07
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	51	$39.7K	29,335	29,335	+0	open	—	05-14 18:35
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	65	$35.4K	28,976	28,976	+0	open	—	05-14 16:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$33.9K	36,053	11,111	+24,942	open	—	03-03 14:05
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	110	$33.0K	28,474	28,474	+0	open	—	05-17 16:13
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	18	$32.9K	30,631	5,600	+25,031	open	—	01-14 20:12
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	261	$32.7K	33,333	33,333	+0	open	—	05-18 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$32.3K	33,333	0	+33,333	open	—	04-09 19:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	10	$31.8K	32,722	0	+32,722	open	—	02-09 15:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$31.3K	31,811	0	+31,811	open	—	03-04 18:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$29.3K	29,745	0	+29,745	open	—	05-23 23:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	25	$28.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 20:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$27.0K	33,333	33,333	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$333	05-13 17:04
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	91	$26.5K	21,722	22,222	-500	open	—	05-27 08:04
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 16	21	$26.0K	22,222	22,222	+0	open	—	04-16 17:19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	5	$25.6K	24,721	24,721	+0	open	—	05-16 17:18
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	167	$24.2K	25,360	0	+25,360	open	—	04-13 21:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	24	$23.6K	19,965	10,477	+9,488	open	—	05-24 14:13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	20	$21.9K	21,408	21,093	+315	open	—	04-23 18:33
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	12	$21.7K	22,053	0	+22,053	open	—	02-16 22:59
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	9	$20.0K	20,405	0	+20,405	open	—	02-13 22:29
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	38	$19.5K	17,446	17,446	+0	open	—	04-27 23:00
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	29	$19.2K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	04-13 20:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$17.9K	20,888	0	+20,888	open	—	01-31 13:36
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	34	$17.7K	15,555	15,555	+0	open	—	05-30 19:12
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$17.7K	18,282	0	+18,282	open	—	02-24 21:08
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	25	$16.9K	18,391	0	+18,391	open	—	02-20 14:34
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	26	$16.2K	18,216	18,216	+0	open	—	04-26 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:55:30	will krakens valuation hit low 10b by december 31	Yes	BUY	184	72¢	$133	0x10bfa6…
06-07 13:20:21	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	Yes	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x24fa04…
06-05 17:00:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	552	5¢	$28	0xf75970…
06-05 16:00:57	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xd50fbc…
06-05 15:34:03	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	833	6¢	$50	0x285b1b…
06-05 13:52:45	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x32d3cf…
06-05 10:52:12	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	180	15¢	$27	0x1489fc…
06-05 05:44:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa3a01a…
06-05 00:17:24	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	BUY	4,629	73¢	$3,379	0xb816a9…
06-04 23:22:21	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	BUY	185	73¢	$135	0x6ef115…
06-04 23:14:01	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	BUY	741	73¢	$541	0x43b687…
06-04 20:34:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	158	6¢	$9	0x9b29e5…
06-04 19:49:15	will any match last over 70 minutes at blast slam vii 20260602173213019	Yes	BUY	2,222	72¢	$1,600	0x3f0a24…
06-04 19:16:51	will andurils valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	957	50¢	$478	0x93d368…
06-04 17:07:58	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	SELL	82	78¢	$64	0x90a263…
06-04 14:35:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	554	43¢	$238	0xea24d8…
06-04 11:35:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	412	21¢	$87	0x5ae63b…
06-04 08:35:18	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x0f1deb…
06-04 08:12:45	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x674b24…
06-04 08:12:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x04792f…
06-04 06:56:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x124eb6…
06-04 03:00:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xaa87ca…
06-04 02:03:46	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x983c1c…
06-03 23:22:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	197	43¢	$85	0x32215d…
06-03 22:57:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x22154c…
06-03 22:53:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	130	21¢	$27	0xdaab45…
06-03 22:53:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x27965b…
06-03 20:06:10	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x851678…
06-03 20:06:06	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xe2751a…
06-03 20:05:57	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x759d42…
06-03 20:05:46	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x72d527…
06-03 20:05:39	will epic games valuation hit low 12pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x8aecda…
06-03 19:45:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	757	92¢	$696	0x439b55…
06-03 18:42:00	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,231	24¢	$295	0x916f44…
06-03 17:17:12	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x61a3fc…
06-03 17:13:30	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0xb30b49…
06-03 17:10:36	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by June 30?	No	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0x2022f9…
06-03 17:10:28	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	70¢	$27	0x7fa0f0…
06-03 17:01:31	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xd594b2…
06-03 16:48:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0xdf6fdf…
06-03 14:21:46	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x3f799f…
06-03 08:52:38	MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?	Judge	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe7b6f1…
06-02 21:56:12	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x1dad80…
06-02 20:25:52	Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x97af4e…
06-02 17:00:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	668	26¢	$174	0x5036a5…
05-31 20:44:27	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	SELL	95	79¢	$75	0x96a70a…
05-31 18:41:18	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	SELL	157	10¢	$16	0x253e0c…
05-31 18:32:04	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3242e7…
05-31 18:31:23	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0x88b6dd…
05-31 18:12:50	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	157	10¢	$16	0x382fc1…
05-31 17:09:03	Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Rebels Gaming	SELL	126	65¢	$82	0x27ccdd…
05-31 17:07:58	Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Rebels Gaming	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x32411b…
05-31 15:44:09	Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Rebels Gaming	BUY	1,111	57¢	$633	0xe54144…
05-31 15:01:37	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	77	51¢	$39	0x0818e0…
05-31 15:01:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1685a0…
05-31 14:59:12	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xb697b0…
05-31 14:58:21	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x5ea5df…
05-31 14:51:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xae3520…
05-31 14:51:00	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0xd9ac37…
05-31 14:44:00	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2a99e2…
05-31 14:42:07	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	61	51¢	$31	0x83f9af…
05-31 14:37:04	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa4f0c0…
05-31 14:36:11	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x42f220…
05-31 14:33:39	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	230	31¢	$71	0x746057…
05-31 14:32:52	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xe1d3bb…
05-31 14:32:40	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xa3d7ec…
05-31 14:31:47	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x9e2eed…
05-31 14:30:56	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xcddb6a…
05-31 14:29:53	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x69a45b…
05-31 14:29:53	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x165a57…
05-31 14:01:34	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe7ede4…
05-31 14:01:22	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf1cca7…
05-31 14:00:56	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe861f2…
05-31 14:00:56	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0x005973…
05-31 14:00:54	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	228	52¢	$119	0xacd997…
05-31 14:00:54	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x542917…
05-31 14:00:52	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	4,241	52¢	$2,205	0xacbbbf…
05-31 14:00:52	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0x868e7a…
05-31 14:00:52	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x23622f…
05-31 14:00:52	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0x197f5e…
05-31 13:50:48	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	SELL	125	32¢	$40	0xd525e4…
05-31 13:50:26	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x5a6394…
05-31 13:50:05	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	SELL	347	32¢	$111	0xfbdac4…
05-31 13:49:03	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	560	51¢	$286	0xaf8c6e…
05-31 13:48:46	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe20a42…
05-31 13:48:42	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xc6aa93…
05-31 13:48:13	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x91da80…
05-31 13:48:11	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2a4a5c…
05-31 13:48:06	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	445	32¢	$142	0x66b921…
05-31 13:47:57	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x516a71…
05-31 13:47:10	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xffdc6b…
05-31 13:45:53	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	54	51¢	$27	0xd6194e…
05-31 13:44:16	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	SELL	1,863	51¢	$950	0x30dcd6…
05-31 13:44:06	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	HEROIC Academy	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x92069f…
05-31 13:43:33	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x352c25…
05-31 13:41:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc7f23d…
05-31 13:41:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x79040c…
05-31 13:41:00	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xab188c…
05-31 13:41:00	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4,526	51¢	$2,308	0x170c44…
05-31 09:22:49	LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	SELL	968	65¢	$629	0x04755c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	137	$30.6K	9,295	06-10 01:18
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	136	$817.6K	13,728	06-09 21:45
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	133	$342.3K	4,142	06-03 16:32
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	120	$29.5M	37,953	06-08 13:22
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	107	$638.8K	9,970	06-01 02:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	104	$13.8K	2,665	06-09 06:59
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	103	$18.5K	2,193	06-05 10:42
Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90	101	$1.27M	1,972	05-31 17:52