Trustworthy-Break — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$362

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-22 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

65% 62% +$2,152

Politics

34% 47% -$1,427

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$364

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	12	$5.1K	3,841	3,841	-0	Yes	+$1,601	10-22 16:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$2.0K	2,232	2,232	+0	Yes	+$548	01-30 22:03
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	94	$1.9K	4,559	4,862	-302	No	-$509	02-03 23:14
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	14	$994	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$271	02-09 12:38
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	12	$799	460	460	+0	Down	+$97	02-02 14:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$752	0	800	-800	Yes	-$48	01-09 18:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	22	$714	2,100	1,500	+600	Yes	-$370	03-08 18:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$599	570	570	+0	No	+$244	03-03 18:14
kristi noem out by march 31	20	$596	3,000	3,000	-0	Yes	-$110	02-09 14:00
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	6	$558	922	922	+0	Down	+$89	03-01 16:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	22	$532	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	08-23 13:51
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	9	$515	29,818	0	+29,818	No	-$515	10-08 19:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$495	300	300	+0	No	+$57	03-07 09:55
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$377	200	200	+0	No	+$18	02-01 13:39
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	15	$364	500	0	+500	No	-$364	02-02 02:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	14	$345	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$345	03-08 13:38
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	7	$344	200	200	+0	No	+$36	03-01 14:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$336	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$72	02-11 13:35
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	6	$329	175	175	+0	Yes	+$13	01-31 02:05
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	4	$324	175	175	+0	Yes	+$18	01-31 02:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	4	$301	230	230	+0	No	+$44	03-06 00:25
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$250	267	0	+267	No	+$17	01-11 13:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$232	387	387	+0	No	-$147	09-15 21:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$223	125	125	+0	No	+$23	03-02 18:38
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	7	$216	3,003	3,003	+0	No	-$12	02-14 00:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$204	546	546	+0	No	+$14	01-11 13:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	4	$191	128	250	-122	No	-$53	03-04 00:21
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	9	$182	700	700	+0	No	-$14	02-11 01:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$176	214	214	+0	Yes	-$124	09-15 21:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$155	250	250	+0	No	-$45	03-09 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:35:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	586	93¢	$545	0xb3a78c…
10-20 17:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,000	86¢	$2,580	0x7faa1f…
10-14 23:37:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	336	71¢	$238	0xcaee6c…
10-14 23:23:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	71¢	$532	0xff4cc1…
10-08 19:27:15	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,000	1¢	$48	0x062f21…
10-08 19:26:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x1ff9ce…
10-08 13:48:42	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,817	1¢	$83	0xb0a1d5…
10-06 01:18:34	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,215	1¢	$31	0x062a9e…
10-06 01:14:22	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	0¢	$2	0x54aef8…
10-06 01:12:56	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	0¢	$2	0xafac35…
10-06 01:08:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	155	80¢	$124	0xcda4f1…
09-30 17:50:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$44	0x088a7a…
09-26 12:18:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	730	34¢	$248	0xf509c0…
09-26 02:17:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	357	34¢	$121	0xe3fc2a…
09-24 17:52:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	35¢	$195	0xcebd32…
09-24 12:09:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	914	32¢	$293	0x486f99…
09-22 22:55:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0xeeec46…
09-15 21:28:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	214	12¢	$26	0xd27e15…
09-15 21:28:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	387	11¢	$43	0xaad5d1…
08-28 22:07:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	387	49¢	$189	0x13e23d…
08-23 13:59:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x0de2b2…
08-23 13:51:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$76	0xcbe0cf…
06-06 16:21:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6de546…
06-06 16:20:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	730	7¢	$48	0x1c59ed…
06-06 16:17:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,170	7¢	$77	0x672d66…
05-15 21:35:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	6¢	$80	0xeb17bb…
05-12 18:57:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	7¢	$14	0x7417ac…
05-12 18:41:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x2c6ba2…
05-12 18:25:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	7¢	$6	0xc0858b…
05-12 18:11:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x1f2b9d…
05-12 17:49:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf79a03…
05-12 17:02:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0x916626…
05-12 16:28:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	717	7¢	$50	0x96f8fa…
05-12 02:44:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xd92024…
05-09 22:45:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x3731d9…
05-09 22:30:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	6¢	$11	0xcfcdd9…
05-09 22:11:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf0415a…
05-09 22:04:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xe52a61…
05-09 22:03:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xaa28ae…
05-09 21:58:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0xddf613…
05-09 21:45:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xd2a661…
05-09 21:42:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x1077a4…
05-09 21:41:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	6¢	$11	0x2486ad…
05-09 21:29:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$126	0x07ffa0…
05-08 12:08:01	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,451	7¢	$102	0x8a022f…
05-01 12:33:12	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0x0bd7f7…
05-01 03:29:26	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x8019b7…
03-09 19:45:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	250	22¢	$55	0x97c83a…
03-09 17:43:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x39a42d…
03-08 18:45:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x8d07b8…
03-08 13:38:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf50e41…
03-07 21:55:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0x649610…
03-07 21:54:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x963b0a…
03-07 20:39:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x3abf82…
03-07 20:38:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	750	11¢	$82	0x504812…
03-07 20:30:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	374	20¢	$75	0xb2d291…
03-07 09:55:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x8097f4…
03-06 04:15:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf5b405…
03-06 02:16:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	249	17¢	$42	0x556ad7…
03-06 02:11:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xe96eb0…
03-06 02:08:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x24c88f…
03-06 02:08:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x1d9f7a…
03-06 02:07:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf73425…
03-06 02:06:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe10e18…
03-06 02:00:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x0b3f90…
03-06 01:59:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xe436d6…
03-06 01:22:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xdcf7bd…
03-06 00:25:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xf85f4f…
03-06 00:25:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	SELL	230	75¢	$173	0xcfa2ef…
03-06 00:24:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	750	16¢	$120	0x7e7d88…
03-05 14:42:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6da712…
03-05 13:04:23	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x010d14…
03-05 13:02:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xcf886c…
03-04 00:21:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	SELL	250	52¢	$130	0xdf60cf…
03-03 21:37:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0xae6ab3…
03-03 21:37:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb10729…
03-03 21:37:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xb6bdf9…
03-03 21:27:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	SELL	1,500	11¢	$172	0x46422f…
03-03 18:49:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0x9ea54f…
03-03 18:48:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x1c86e5…
03-03 18:48:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	238	18¢	$44	0x8dae77…
03-03 18:48:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x09b3ba…
03-03 18:48:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0xcbb6e8…
03-03 18:48:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x81a39e…
03-03 18:48:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	227	18¢	$41	0xb7a31b…
03-03 18:47:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	133	18¢	$24	0x284d4a…
03-03 18:47:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xd3dcc7…
03-03 18:47:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x87a0a3…
03-03 18:14:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	320	71¢	$227	0x1d82a1…
03-03 16:34:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x904b9f…
03-03 15:07:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	25	42¢	$11	0xa2cc46…
03-03 13:34:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	112	42¢	$47	0xa05a8c…
03-03 13:02:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	74	39¢	$29	0x0f81b3…
03-03 12:47:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4ada8b…
03-03 12:43:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	401	39¢	$156	0xae1c43…
03-03 12:41:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	86	39¢	$34	0xcbbd4a…
03-03 12:36:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0xcea740…
03-03 00:09:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xe44f44…
03-02 18:38:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0x1958c7…
03-01 23:35:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x04eeb4…