Pungent-Washbasin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.11K

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

483

Trades

7,371

lifetime

Volume

$4.09M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$555

Open exposure

$45.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Politics

59% 71% +$56,987

Other

33% 71% +$32,702

Crypto

6% 100% +$1,728

Sports

2% 75% +$80

Tech

0% 100% +$1,007

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+24,481	$22,947	97¢	$23.8K	+$861	10-24 02:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+4,391	$4,135	97¢	$4.3K	+$138	10-26 17:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+10,000	$1,300	29¢	$2.8K	+$1,550	10-02 00:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	+2,377	$1,620	88¢	$2.1K	+$483	06-09 04:27
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+18,411	$303	10¢	$1.7K	+$1,446	10-29 17:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,683	$748	14¢	$1.4K	+$694	10-03 21:34
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	+6,306	$398	18¢	$1.2K	+$755	10-29 20:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,922	$1,047	36¢	$1.0K	-$10	10-03 20:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+992	$820	86¢	$858	+$38	10-07 11:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	-910	-$615	88¢	$-805	-$190	07-04 01:47
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+1,110	$877	70¢	$783	-$94	10-28 02:37
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+934	$331	84¢	$780	+$448	08-20 07:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,225	$1,291	30¢	$679	-$612	06-30 07:14
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	+8,199	$1,357	8¢	$656	-$701	09-15 20:24
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+3,268	$656	18¢	$572	-$84	10-26 00:44
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+804	$503	64¢	$519	+$16	07-06 19:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,908	$600	24¢	$448	-$152	07-31 10:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+11,210	$207	3¢	$364	+$158	10-29 17:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+3,981	$886	7¢	$277	-$609	10-18 00:09
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,952	$315	8¢	$166	-$149	09-05 14:02
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$155	24¢	$117	-$37	07-30 14:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+1,518	$392	6¢	$99	-$293	09-19 19:10
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+110	$35	74¢	$81	+$46	08-16 15:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+100	$33	80¢	$80	+$46	08-17 21:17
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,168	$287	2¢	$54	-$233	07-22 23:19
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,953	$262	2¢	$48	-$214	07-25 00:31
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	-333	-$14	11¢	$-36	-$22	10-05 20:16
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$176	1¢	$23	-$153	10-28 16:30
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+153	$17	13¢	$20	+$3	10-21 13:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+2,326	$37	1¢	$17	-$20	05-17 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	23	$195.0K	195,555	0	+195,555	Yes	+$547	06-17 18:47
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$170.0K	170,478	0	+170,478	Yes	+$511	04-30 22:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	47	$165.6K	166,700	0	+166,700	No	+$1,071	06-03 16:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$131.3K	133,180	0	+133,180	No	+$1,915	03-04 18:51
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	13	$126.3K	104,244	22,222	+82,022	Yes	+$145	02-28 18:09
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$119.9K	120,000	0	+120,000	Yes	+$120	03-13 19:50
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	13	$111.0K	111,111	0	+111,111	Yes	+$111	01-18 17:20
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	6	$111.0K	111,111	0	+111,111	No	+$111	01-20 15:55
maduro in us custody by january 31	2	$111.0K	111,111	0	+111,111	Yes	+$111	01-06 07:04
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	33	$111.0K	111,111	0	+111,111	Yes	+$111	01-25 00:21
us strikes iraq by february 28	6	$111.0K	111,110	0	+111,110	Yes	+$111	03-06 01:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$110.4K	44,227	66,449	-22,222	No	+$110	01-04 00:05
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$100	07-09 22:40
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$99.8K	99,999	0	+99,999	No	+$167	01-04 16:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$99.7K	50,000	50,000	+0	Yes	+$250	02-03 22:55
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	45	$97.6K	98,064	165	+97,899	Yes	-$58	01-31 01:45
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	50	$89.2K	89,220	332	+88,888	Yes	+$259	02-08 23:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$88.9K	89,999	1,111	+88,888	Yes	+$72	10-26 02:57
will the us strike somalia next 656	19	$87.6K	87,640	0	+87,640	Yes	+$88	01-26 11:45
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	71	$79.7K	79,562	822	+78,740	No	+$286	02-03 19:42
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	19	$65.8K	65,908	0	+65,908	Yes	+$155	03-04 00:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$65.3K	65,554	0	+65,554	Yes	+$224	03-04 00:44
will iran strike israel on march 6	21	$59.2K	86,671	33,332	+53,339	No	+$455	03-11 10:34
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	12	$58.2K	58,299	0	+58,299	Yes	+$58	01-03 08:03
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	25	$58.0K	68,888	11,111	+57,777	Yes	+$156	03-25 13:29
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$55.5K	55,555	0	+55,555	Yes	+$56	01-03 12:13
us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	7	$55.5K	55,555	0	+55,555	Yes	+$56	01-02 23:31
will trump say jesus this week march 8	11	$55.4K	55,555	0	+55,555	Yes	+$111	03-11 11:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$52.1K	55,256	0	+55,256	No	+$3,169	03-16 19:47
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$100	02-03 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:06:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	743	30¢	$223	0x1daf24…
10-29 20:37:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	5,465	6¢	$345	0x681ab1…
10-29 17:54:02	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	128	69¢	$88	0xbaa7b0…
10-29 17:52:53	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	231	10¢	$23	0x990d15…
10-29 17:52:50	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	642	10¢	$64	0x5bb43c…
10-29 17:51:26	Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	219	92¢	$201	0xc85f9e…
10-29 17:45:02	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	326	5¢	$18	0xf66a1a…
10-29 17:45:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$11	0x0a06c1…
10-29 17:42:05	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	4¢	$26	0x1b8b3d…
10-29 17:42:02	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	4¢	$9	0xa25024…
10-29 17:42:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	585	4¢	$25	0x14ffe6…
10-29 17:41:59	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	957	4¢	$40	0xe03e85…
10-29 15:23:46	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xd6f80c…
10-29 12:30:04	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	30¢	$48	0xd35470…
10-29 12:25:34	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x363a95…
10-29 12:10:26	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf88bcb…
10-29 11:57:22	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	298	30¢	$89	0xc3ede0…
10-29 11:56:28	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xd8fa5e…
10-29 11:52:07	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	30¢	$58	0x6e030c…
10-29 08:02:08	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x2aba47…
10-29 08:02:07	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4d3cf3…
10-29 04:49:26	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x0c4235…
10-29 04:37:31	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	31¢	$49	0xad446a…
10-29 04:34:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	135	31¢	$42	0xa4b15a…
10-29 04:23:47	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x306b24…
10-29 02:48:37	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x9de1d4…
10-29 02:47:14	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	31¢	$35	0xa0be6b…
10-29 01:08:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	122	31¢	$38	0x894fee…
10-29 00:20:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xcdbc63…
10-28 23:32:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xb9416c…
10-28 17:45:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	581	96¢	$560	0x82c254…
10-28 17:33:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	96¢	$129	0xf65f92…
10-28 17:33:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4d5023…
10-28 16:30:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x2b7eb3…
10-28 16:29:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8a33d3…
10-28 16:29:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1e5919…
10-28 16:29:37	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	3¢	$7	0x8b1e50…
10-28 16:29:37	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x785cac…
10-28 13:13:55	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x53ac59…
10-28 02:37:02	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	555	78¢	$433	0xff981e…
10-28 02:15:30	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0xf3b2c6…
10-27 12:06:44	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0x28d449…
10-27 07:06:44	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3779f6…
10-27 04:03:00	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xde297e…
10-27 01:05:14	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	285	80¢	$228	0x4a4e0a…
10-26 22:23:38	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,416	4¢	$57	0x73af26…
10-26 17:49:57	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	95¢	$1,057	0xc0db4a…
10-26 17:06:11	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,555	4¢	$244	0xa4b5a0…
10-26 16:04:45	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	469	3¢	$12	0x5acf43…
10-26 12:00:39	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	218	80¢	$174	0x8f9610…
10-26 11:17:20	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xad5f0e…
10-26 02:57:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22,222	100¢	$22,200	0x116492…
10-26 00:48:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22,222	100¢	$22,133	0xd91db0…
10-26 00:44:48	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	22¢	$49	0x924bd2…
10-26 00:28:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,111	100¢	$11,100	0xdab31a…
10-26 00:24:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5543a1…
10-26 00:24:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbbc129…
10-26 00:24:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb9b2a4…
10-26 00:24:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x7e888c…
10-26 00:24:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x54a6d8…
10-26 00:24:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,639	100¢	$8,630	0xe8a5f9…
10-26 00:24:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	883	100¢	$882	0x6433dc…
10-25 23:42:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,111	4¢	$42	0x499f84…
10-25 23:12:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,111	13¢	$148	0xc4582e…
10-25 22:48:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,111	3¢	$37	0x2ef6f7…
10-25 19:13:02	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	555	10¢	$56	0xd70148…
10-25 16:26:14	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	841	6¢	$53	0x4ed0ab…
10-25 10:44:26	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	3¢	$5	0x328692…
10-25 10:09:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x664698…
10-25 09:55:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x86e395…
10-25 09:22:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xcaef89…
10-25 06:43:23	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x52d375…
10-25 06:42:47	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x484a33…
10-25 06:42:08	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x97e424…
10-25 06:41:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xa06c69…
10-25 06:32:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x35b5ae…
10-25 06:31:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x9bce5b…
10-25 04:37:12	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	620	10¢	$62	0x6d5915…
10-24 02:15:35	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,673	94¢	$1,576	0xa39df8…
10-22 13:29:42	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	335	4¢	$14	0x1b1b3a…
10-22 12:58:20	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x285d47…
10-21 13:26:09	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x1bf33f…
10-21 11:31:06	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5879d9…
10-21 11:18:02	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x016024…
10-20 22:22:57	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x0da8ee…
10-19 18:11:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x0f3d29…
10-19 18:10:14	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xf370b9…
10-19 17:16:38	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	489	10¢	$50	0x954295…
10-19 17:16:27	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x048669…
10-18 14:39:39	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	614	8¢	$51	0x68389d…
10-18 05:34:48	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,699	93¢	$1,578	0xa068b6…
10-18 00:09:14	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	147	3¢	$4	0x9a8931…
10-17 20:55:48	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x7a363c…
10-17 12:46:09	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	649	2¢	$16	0x6b70eb…
10-17 08:51:29	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa7828f…
10-17 08:51:29	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x34bfe4…
10-17 08:25:15	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xe2a1f9…
10-17 08:24:44	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x21726c…
10-17 08:24:42	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7ad921…
10-17 08:24:42	will karoline leavitt be the next white house press secretary 2027	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0421b0…