Powerful-Election 0x000d25…0a758e
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$86.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.3K
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
284
Trades
5,176
lifetime
Volume
$14.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.78K
Open exposure
$767.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Politics
55% 86% -$30,104
Other
42% 89% +$114,075
Sports
2% 71% +$2,136
Crypto
1% 62% +$816
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +220,927 $188,862 92¢ $202.1K +$13,286 09-30 15:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +92,025 $83,831 92¢ $85.1K +$1,292 10-17 06:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +94,640 $72,199 72¢ $68.6K -$3,584 09-22 08:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +110,230 $63,439 55¢ $60.8K -$2,647 09-30 18:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +61,127 $58,697 98¢ $59.7K +$1,024 09-26 18:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +55,072 $48,976 94¢ $52.0K +$3,067 10-26 05:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +43,064 $40,651 100¢ $42.9K +$2,262 09-28 17:50
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +42,337 $33,580 80¢ $34.1K +$501 08-21 03:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -16,602 -$15,440 94¢ $-15689 -$249 08-21 04:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +23,042 $14,285 64¢ $14.9K +$577 10-04 14:59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +12,840 $12,433 99¢ $12.7K +$246 10-02 03:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +14,578 $12,975 86¢ $12.5K -$510 10-13 18:55
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,285 $11,943 92¢ $12.2K +$212 10-26 05:25
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +11,602 $10,090 89¢ $10.3K +$183 10-26 05:21
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +10,379 $8,175 88¢ $9.2K +$1,010 10-02 05:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +9,322 $7,427 95¢ $8.9K +$1,429 08-08 19:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11,490 $7,353 64¢ $7.4K +$57 10-04 14:58
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +6,835 $5,720 95¢ $6.5K +$800 10-02 03:35
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,322 $6,628 86¢ $6.3K -$368 10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +32,074 $8,018 18¢ $5.6K -$2,405 09-22 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +5,944 $5,468 87¢ $5.2K -$297 10-26 05:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +4,798 $4,288 98¢ $4.7K +$438 10-22 05:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5,000 -$4,100 94¢ $-4675 -$575 05-18 02:20
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5,351 $4,470 82¢ $4.4K -$56 10-26 00:19
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +131,328 $5,780 3¢ $4.3K -$1,447 10-26 00:21
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $4,550 86¢ $4.3K -$250 09-16 20:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20,000 $6,000 20¢ $3.9K -$2,100 07-24 19:49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +122,293 $2,385 3¢ $3.7K +$1,284 08-17 02:59
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,728 $2,519 96¢ $2.6K +$113 09-30 23:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,012 $2,198 74¢ $2.2K +$45 09-21 16:49