Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-07

last 11-01 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 24% -$327

Other

31% 12% +$153

Politics

9% 0% -$146

Sports

2% 0% -$38

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	2	$260	242	242	+0	Yes	+$216	10-16 18:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1?	3	$120	1,735	1,735	+0	open	—	10-30 02:07
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$90	15,053	0	+15,053	No	-$90	10-07 02:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	4	$90	634	285	+349	No	+$18	10-18 22:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18?	2	$87	4,486	0	+4,486	No	-$87	10-18 20:36
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	3	$78	390	137	+254	No	+$49	10-31 00:44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$69	59	59	+0	Yes	+$49	10-25 22:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	5	$64	11,643	1,250	+10,393	No	-$34	10-31 00:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 12-18?	2	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	+$22	10-18 22:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$60	5,617	617	+5,000	No	-$36	10-26 03:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	2	$45	192	192	+0	No	-$5	10-16 01:27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	4	$43	1,959	1,000	+959	No	-$23	10-18 23:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$40	7,500	5,000	+2,500	No	-$10	10-25 00:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18?	3	$40	1,337	0	+1,337	No	-$40	10-18 18:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	4	$39	910	910	+0	No	-$7	10-25 00:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	3	$38	364	364	+0	resolved	-$2	10-18 00:28
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$30	5,559	0	+5,559	resolved	-$30	10-26 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$28	59	59	+0	Up	+$8	10-31 17:07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 12?	2	$26	41	41	+0	No	+$6	10-13 00:22
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	3	$26	969	969	+0	resolved	-$23	10-30 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$15	10-31 16:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$22	4,117	2,450	+1,667	No	-$7	10-25 00:09
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$22	455	455	+0	open	—	10-18 20:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	4	$21	1,131	1,131	+0	No	-$19	10-13 02:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	1	$20	1,217	0	+1,217	No	-$20	10-18 16:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?	2	$20	3,337	0	+3,337	No	-$20	10-18 00:25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	10-17 15:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 12-18?	1	$20	747	0	+747	No	-$20	10-18 20:33
will ethereum reach 2700 on october 16 2026	1	$20	2,424	0	+2,424	No	-$20	10-16 21:17
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$17	1,787	1,787	+0	open	—	10-18 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:21:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	407	2¢	$10	0x0d90f4…
10-31 23:34:54	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x42f850…
10-31 17:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x47bad1…
10-31 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xed8273…
10-31 17:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1db8df…
10-31 17:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xfdec83…
10-31 17:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x082129…
10-31 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x14afd4…
10-31 17:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	59	30¢	$18	0x78a86a…
10-31 17:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x24db96…
10-31 17:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x786ab9…
10-31 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x143567…
10-31 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x2dc766…
10-31 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfe7426…
10-31 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf29503…
10-31 16:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xcf98fd…
10-31 16:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x22abce…
10-31 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcdc1c9…
10-31 16:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3aed14…
10-31 16:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xfb7bdd…
10-31 16:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf0c9d1…
10-31 15:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,056	0¢	$5	0x971b66…
10-31 15:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0xd5dff2…
10-31 15:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,322	0¢	$5	0xf0d271…
10-31 15:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,554	0¢	$5	0xac5cc6…
10-31 15:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x4a1069…
10-31 13:43:01	Nawrocki out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$6	0xb641f1…
10-31 01:51:00	Nawrocki out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf10227…
10-31 00:44:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	910	1¢	$10	0xfebc05…
10-31 00:44:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$10	0x3ed6f2…
10-31 00:40:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xc3103e…
10-31 00:39:55	Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	296	1¢	$3	0xcfc575…
10-31 00:39:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$5	0xcfe0e6…
10-31 00:38:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	910	0¢	$2	0xc270ab…
10-30 22:48:09	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	969	0¢	$1	0x4ab683…
10-30 08:45:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	910	1¢	$10	0x3b4c28…
10-30 04:05:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,393	1¢	$20	0x2e9d1e…
10-30 03:46:28	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$21	0x72d18e…
10-30 03:40:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x7acf4d…
10-30 03:37:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,250	1¢	$15	0x878a4e…
10-30 03:10:45	Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	296	3¢	$10	0x62ada5…
10-30 03:03:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x25b018…
10-30 03:03:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xbcd3c4…
10-30 02:27:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	214	5¢	$10	0x6a1663…
10-30 02:07:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1,311	6¢	$80	0xaae1d1…
10-30 02:04:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	424	6¢	$26	0x6d781a…
10-30 02:03:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	137	47¢	$64	0xa4d128…
10-29 11:11:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$5	0xad06b7…
10-29 02:19:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x533ebc…
10-28 22:26:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,735	1¢	$14	0xaf1701…
10-28 22:11:01	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xb34900…
10-28 22:08:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1acc86…
10-26 16:38:20	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	2¢	$4	0x741da7…
10-26 14:22:08	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,929	1¢	$20	0x8418c3…
10-26 03:31:29	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x4b5ae5…
10-26 03:10:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x23d0d3…
10-26 00:15:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x2b8779…
10-25 23:48:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	617	2¢	$12	0x65d646…
10-25 23:29:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	532	6¢	$33	0x6c2eed…
10-25 23:21:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x576f08…
10-25 23:21:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0xb8c239…
10-25 22:05:47	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	466	1¢	$5	0x8e3a6a…
10-25 22:02:35	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x1d50e7…
10-25 21:55:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,789	1¢	$13	0xa92139…
10-25 21:42:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xce7fa9…
10-25 00:56:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xc29b2b…
10-25 00:55:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	366	0¢	$1	0x23af9e…
10-25 00:54:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,581	1¢	$13	0xf07f71…
10-25 00:09:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xa065ee…
10-25 00:08:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x487649…
10-25 00:08:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xbd47e6…
10-24 15:25:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	366	4¢	$13	0x089aaa…
10-24 15:24:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	543	3¢	$15	0x4e8690…
10-23 23:06:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	543	2¢	$10	0x32fc9a…
10-23 23:05:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,450	0¢	$7	0x9283ab…
10-23 23:05:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x882ee6…
10-23 23:05:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$1	0xcc7e53…
10-21 17:24:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,450	0¢	$10	0xb2706a…
10-21 02:56:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	302	2¢	$5	0x2f9d5f…
10-21 02:24:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$15	0xa13b65…
10-20 22:55:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	398	3¢	$12	0x1cc3de…
10-20 22:47:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x4ed03d…
10-20 22:46:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x3229ef…
10-20 21:46:33	Will FC United of Manchester win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	665	1¢	$4	0x89e15b…
10-20 21:42:14	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$5	0xcddb7d…
10-20 21:33:14	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xb74d82…
10-20 21:25:59	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	358	3¢	$10	0xc12375…
10-18 23:01:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	872	2¢	$19	0x649c7d…
10-18 22:59:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	349	6¢	$20	0x5297b5…
10-18 22:58:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x8b72a9…
10-18 20:36:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	3,089	2¢	$57	0x69b1e7…
10-18 20:36:03	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	1,787	0¢	$7	0x04914b…
10-18 20:35:45	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	455	3¢	$12	0x55203e…
10-18 20:34:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	1,397	2¢	$30	0x08cb02…
10-18 20:33:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	747	3¢	$20	0xf93b5c…
10-18 20:21:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	87	5¢	$4	0xa0ca19…
10-18 18:27:26	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,787	1¢	$10	0xaa3299…
10-18 18:27:03	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x0c3415…
10-18 18:18:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,887	0¢	$8	0x50f47e…
10-18 18:18:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,113	0¢	$2	0x078214…