Realized P&L
+$2.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$801
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved
705
Trades
3,734
lifetime
Volume
$371.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$13.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Other
35% 70% +$114
Politics
34% 69% +$2,844
Crypto
19% 71% -$651
Sports
12% 92% +$49
Tech
0% 57% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,790 $932 96¢ $1.7K +$785 10-25 16:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,711 $1,629 39¢ $1.5K -$169 10-27 10:49
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,141 $950 98¢ $1.1K +$171 10-06 22:55
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1,063 $993 94¢ $1.0K +$10 10-29 13:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $977 81¢ $972 -$5 10-23 20:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,275 $1,191 74¢ $950 -$241 10-29 21:45
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +656 $580 90¢ $590 +$10 10-07 22:26
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,021 $694 55¢ $567 -$128 10-26 18:59
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +667 $467 81¢ $541 +$74 10-27 21:25
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +645 $480 81¢ $522 +$42 10-26 23:55
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +547 $435 88¢ $484 +$49 10-15 15:15
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +514 $477 92¢ $476 -$2 10-20 08:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,288 $517 34¢ $431 -$86 09-30 13:57
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +324 $279 98¢ $318 +$39 10-22 06:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +400 $281 74¢ $298 +$17 10-29 04:27
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +400 $268 70¢ $280 +$12 10-03 04:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +400 $260 68¢ $270 +$10 10-27 12:25
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +570 $300 46¢ $259 -$41 10-06 16:42
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +259 $146 78¢ $201 +$55 10-12 20:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +200 $190 99¢ $199 +$8 10-27 19:13
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +189 $178 94¢ $179 +$1 10-23 08:06
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -190 -$104 82¢ $-157 -$52 06-15 15:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +300 $174 48¢ $146 -$28 10-23 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +800 $104 12¢ $92 -$12 10-20 17:51
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +121 $83 63¢ $76 -$7 10-13 06:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,790 $1,362 4¢ $73 -$1,289 10-26 00:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +597 $100 12¢ $69 -$31 10-20 15:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $55 60¢ $60 +$4 10-22 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +161 $50 24¢ $38 -$12 10-17 17:25
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +125 $21 28¢ $35 +$14 10-22 15:12