Realized P&L
+$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.89K
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
50
Trades
495
lifetime
Volume
$429.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$867
Open exposure
$70.8K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-09 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
62% 61% -$4,428
Politics
37% 80% +$7,338
Crypto
0% 0% -$20
Sports
0% 0% -$1,193
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $26,700 98¢ $29.4K +$2,715 07-03 03:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +15,901 $13,256 96¢ $15.3K +$2,033 06-06 00:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +13,351 $11,733 84¢ $11.3K -$451 07-17 23:24
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +5,239 $4,116 86¢ $4.5K +$364 09-14 03:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,211 $2,052 96¢ $2.1K +$65 05-07 22:11
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +2,100 $1,992 96¢ $2.0K +$24 09-09 23:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,847 $1,579 96¢ $1.8K +$193 07-28 16:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +818 $767 94¢ $773 +$6 09-24 10:28
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +995 $826 72¢ $717 -$110 09-10 00:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +750 $682 95¢ $714 +$32 05-16 18:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +600 $534 94¢ $567 +$33 07-01 07:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +583 $557 97¢ $563 +$6 09-22 22:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -500 -$468 98¢ $-490 -$22 05-16 18:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $440 94¢ $468 +$28 07-10 01:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +482 $130 22¢ $108 -$22 07-12 11:34