Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.32K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
9,201
lifetime
Volume
$24.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.71K
Open exposure
$201.7K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
51% 100% +$10,143
Politics
39%
Crypto
5%
Tech
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +74,868 $70,208 99¢ $73.9K +$3,725 07-21 02:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +59,000 $45,710 74¢ $44.0K $-1,755 07-20 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +45,000 $35,465 56¢ $25.0K $-10,490 07-05 03:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26,149 $17,600 92¢ $23.9K +$6,326 07-08 17:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +28,866 $24,000 78¢ $22.7K $-1,340 07-20 12:01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -9,585 $-8,461 92¢ $-8770 $-309 06-02 14:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5,053 $-3,234 68¢ $-3410 $-177 06-12 00:32
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -141 $-42 39¢ $-55 $-13 06-18 15:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $-150 90¢ $0 +$150 07-11 11:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-565 84¢ $0 +$565 07-05 18:52