Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$35.7K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
8,185
lifetime
Volume
$23.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.81K
Open exposure
$871.1K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$10,143
Politics
39%
Crypto
5%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +281,239 $254,204 99¢ $279.1K +$24,925 06-29 08:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -144,481 $-142,403 100¢ $-144336 $-1,934 06-12 14:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +134,036 $128,356 100¢ $133.8K +$5,412 06-30 03:36
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +73,822 $72,842 100¢ $73.7K +$906 06-29 21:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +71,679 $64,369 100¢ $71.6K +$7,238 06-16 01:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -50,000 $-50,550 100¢ $-49950 +$600 06-27 15:37
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -38,395 $-37,627 100¢ $-38357 $-730 06-01 08:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -34,390 $-33,203 100¢ $-34356 $-1,153 06-14 22:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +19,759 $19,660 100¢ $19.7K +$69 06-29 17:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16,000 $13,600 86¢ $13.8K +$240 06-30 12:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -9,585 $-8,461 92¢ $-8770 $-309 06-02 14:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5,053 $-3,234 66¢ $-3309 $-76 06-12 00:32
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +150 $24 100¢ $150 +$126 06-15 11:26
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -141 $-42 41¢ $-58 $-16 06-18 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $-135 82¢ $0 +$135 06-25 13:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-228 98¢ $0 +$228 06-30 10:44