Nimble-Soliloquy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

9,654

lifetime

Volume

$25.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.65K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$10,143

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	428	$1.23M	612,464	653,635	-41,170	open	—	04-01 06:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	154	$1.15M	579,080	579,049	+32	open	—	04-08 18:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	814	$991.3K	708,539	321,817	+386,722	open	—	03-04 17:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	163	$972.8K	610,665	408,052	+202,613	open	—	04-10 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	81	$775.5K	399,967	401,935	-1,968	open	—	05-14 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	514	$755.2K	354,644	461,464	-106,820	open	—	06-01 15:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	195	$743.8K	378,039	378,039	+0	open	—	04-26 21:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	225	$680.0K	425,189	283,138	+142,051	open	—	05-29 16:28
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	52	$647.3K	373,453	274,513	+98,941	open	—	03-08 22:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	415	$632.1K	354,148	354,148	+0	open	—	07-08 17:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	165	$602.0K	399,949	258,128	+141,821	open	—	07-04 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	295	$561.0K	298,780	298,780	+0	open	—	04-30 20:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	91	$533.4K	514,708	32,214	+482,494	open	—	06-02 20:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	129	$511.2K	396,857	116,829	+280,028	open	—	04-02 02:16
iran closes its airspace by june 8	61	$504.9K	252,820	252,820	+0	open	—	06-10 09:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	328	$485.0K	244,856	244,856	+0	open	—	03-16 15:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	54	$454.6K	255,489	201,968	+53,520	open	—	06-17 16:19
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	74	$435.7K	428,565	10,000	+418,565	open	—	01-04 12:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	142	$402.9K	405,266	87,772	+317,493	open	—	07-09 00:04
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	12	$370.3K	0	371,222	-371,222	open	—	01-03 18:11
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	48	$369.2K	370,195	0	+370,195	open	—	06-07 22:51
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	217	$367.5K	245,538	123,050	+122,487	open	—	03-04 08:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$364.7K	365,467	0	+365,467	open	—	02-01 08:16
Iran leadership change by March 13?	75	$364.3K	182,500	182,500	+0	open	—	03-16 16:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	73	$361.1K	291,562	72,891	+218,672	open	—	03-31 17:39
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	24	$359.6K	350,000	10,000	+340,000	open	—	01-25 01:03
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	15	$359.1K	330,400	30,000	+300,400	Yes	+$1,201	05-03 20:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	142	$345.2K	366,957	23,981	+342,975	open	—	06-16 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	99	$319.0K	163,941	163,941	+0	open	—	07-29 16:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	57	$313.6K	162,276	162,272	+4	open	—	05-01 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x61be37…
08-10 16:06:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb969ef…
08-10 16:00:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	248	94¢	$233	0x97dc10…
08-10 16:00:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xcd4c66…
08-10 16:00:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5e6b51…
08-10 16:00:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	148	94¢	$139	0xc98760…
08-10 16:00:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	248	94¢	$233	0x9fab5f…
08-10 14:34:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0xac41f7…
08-10 14:29:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	104	94¢	$98	0x506b32…
08-10 14:23:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x66d580…
08-10 13:58:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xa14720…
08-10 13:42:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xdfe857…
08-10 12:53:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x0b4f9b…
08-10 12:48:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x90fdc5…
08-10 12:18:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd6f745…
08-10 12:12:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2090b9…
08-10 12:09:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd845fd…
08-10 12:09:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x53b301…
08-10 12:09:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x13b103…
08-10 12:08:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	233	94¢	$219	0xdbbbd0…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	4,556	88¢	$4,010	0x30d849…
08-10 10:23:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x257db4…
08-10 10:17:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbf40e0…
08-10 09:22:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x7ba25c…
08-10 08:48:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xc94e81…
08-10 08:45:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xc0f376…
08-10 07:33:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x2b99c3…
08-10 07:05:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x5bdcd3…
08-10 05:57:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xcf0086…
08-10 05:35:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x795b9f…
08-10 02:43:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xec1b61…
08-10 02:42:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xc7f739…
08-10 02:39:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x9a028f…
08-10 02:21:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3d49df…
08-10 02:19:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x9b4d90…
08-10 02:18:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x774a38…
08-10 02:06:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xd65048…
08-10 01:47:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7b96d6…
08-10 01:19:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x89e539…
08-10 01:19:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd5a3e1…
08-10 01:19:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf2657f…
08-09 22:14:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x0ef62e…
08-09 19:42:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x548cf7…
08-09 18:47:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xf3811d…
08-09 17:39:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0x9a6d15…
08-09 17:19:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xe870cc…
08-09 17:05:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	455	94¢	$427	0x774cd3…
08-09 16:27:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0x690d47…
08-09 15:47:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x790100…
08-09 13:57:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x3b19c2…
08-09 13:08:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xe12028…
08-09 11:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7,498	56¢	$4,199	0x1c86f5…
08-09 10:09:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x7f023b…
08-09 07:47:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9e9cc0…
08-09 04:18:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x7048f9…
08-08 22:23:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x59b7ed…
08-08 20:13:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x3d1897…
08-08 18:46:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	255	94¢	$239	0xd05f2c…
08-08 17:52:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	143	94¢	$134	0x514ba4…
08-08 13:32:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xbf5f5f…
08-08 12:00:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	6,365	93¢	$5,919	0x9ff1ce…
08-08 11:52:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xbd5282…
08-08 10:09:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x92d81f…
08-08 10:02:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x238495…
08-08 09:03:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7b294f…
08-08 07:41:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xe79150…
08-08 06:20:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6,000	87¢	$5,220	0xb431cc…
08-08 06:17:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xbdf648…
08-08 04:44:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0d6b80…
08-08 04:30:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8,000	87¢	$6,960	0x2e14af…
08-08 03:55:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x5e2a64…
08-08 03:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	862	87¢	$750	0x6a7ac8…
08-08 02:33:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x7cab54…
08-08 02:27:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	325	87¢	$283	0xc42371…
08-08 02:17:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	171	87¢	$149	0x5ba51a…
08-08 02:17:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,627	87¢	$3,155	0x688ccd…
08-08 02:11:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,136	87¢	$1,858	0x0a02be…
08-08 00:37:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x687481…
08-08 00:36:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x50bc7c…
08-07 23:14:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x73f04c…
08-07 22:36:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x7d032d…
08-07 21:39:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0xa15d3a…
08-07 20:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x890dd9…
08-07 20:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17,393	87¢	$15,132	0x70ce22…
08-07 19:00:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe156e1…
08-07 17:27:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	12,707	99¢	$12,605	0xf221c4…
08-07 16:59:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0xa459c8…
08-07 16:56:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	311	99¢	$309	0x513ce4…
08-07 16:33:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9a99df…
08-07 16:33:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf7ab81…
08-07 16:16:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xc4bd2d…
08-07 15:57:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	950	99¢	$942	0xf5f693…
08-07 15:15:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0xcc6336…
08-07 15:06:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	159	99¢	$158	0x3ea00c…
08-07 15:06:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeb69f1…
08-07 14:55:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3,584	99¢	$3,555	0x87f979…
08-07 10:49:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0xe5bea8…
08-07 10:49:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0x2cbefa…
08-07 10:42:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8,000	87¢	$6,960	0x54a74f…
08-07 03:24:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	26,318	99¢	$26,054	0xe319ed…