Sparkling-Something — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$396

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

135

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-16 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

58% 47% -$141

Politics

40% 42% -$224

Crypto

1% 0% -$30

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	6	$230	179	172	+7	open	—	09-08 23:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	09-24 15:33
will crude oil cl settle over 60 on the final trading day of march 2026	9	$145	98	51	+47	Yes	+$2	03-18 19:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	4	$138	510	0	+510	Yes	-$138	06-07 02:56
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$105	405	0	+405	No	-$105	10-04 18:05
will crude oil cl settle over 64 on the final trading day of march 2026	3	$99	76	26	+50	Yes	+$2	03-22 19:14
will tsla close between 400 and 405 week march 13 2026	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-13 19:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?	7	$94	320	0	+320	No	-$94	06-04 12:33
Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	1	$87	100	0	+100	No	+$13	10-03 05:53
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?	1	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	-$75	10-06 16:03
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?	1	$68	100	0	+100	No	+$32	10-06 16:03
Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	1	$61	100	0	+100	No	+$39	10-03 05:53
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	1	$52	57	0	+57	No	+$5	10-03 01:45
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$8	10-03 01:45
amzn above 210 on march 13 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-13 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	7	$46	122	0	+122	No	+$77	04-27 20:54
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$39	300	0	+300	Yes	-$39	06-02 02:02
will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	4	$38	26	16	+10	No	+$0	03-18 19:54
meta above 600 on march 20 2026	3	$36	40	0	+40	No	-$36	03-17 00:47
aapl above 235 on march 20 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	03-17 17:34
meta above 690 on march 20 2026	2	$35	20	16	+4	No	+$1	03-19 00:27
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$32	405	0	+405	No	-$32	10-04 18:06
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$30	50	0	+50	No	+$20	05-19 22:17
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	1	$30	45	0	+45	No	-$30	03-17 22:08
will pltr close between 156 and 158 week march 27 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-26 20:47
will pltr close above 164 week march 27 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-26 20:47
will pltr close between 160 and 162 week march 27 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-26 20:47
will pltr close between 158 and 160 week march 27 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-26 20:47
will pltr close between 162 and 164 week march 27 2026	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	03-26 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 17?	1	$27	50	0	+50	No	-$27	07-17 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 13:45:18	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$3	0x536ed7…
10-16 13:45:15	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0xfb1629…
10-16 13:45:13	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x91bc2d…
10-16 13:45:09	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x8f95bc…
10-16 13:45:07	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x54aaab…
10-11 04:37:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x9c0444…
10-11 04:37:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 65% or more?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0xaab849…
10-06 19:53:32	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa57813…
10-06 19:53:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xb9f324…
10-06 16:03:56	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfe84ee…
10-06 16:03:53	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x551758…
10-04 22:23:11	Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe04f66…
10-04 22:04:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Yes	BUY	73	9¢	$6	0xc16dcc…
10-04 22:04:13	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x90c036…
10-04 22:04:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x38cd8c…
10-04 21:27:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0xd30022…
10-04 21:27:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xbac56d…
10-04 21:27:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb120df…
10-04 18:06:13	Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	9¢	$8	0x9e8f4d…
10-04 18:05:46	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	205	23¢	$47	0x1293e2…
10-04 18:03:23	Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0xfeda12…
10-04 18:00:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be less than 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xf6b337…
10-04 17:59:01	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa7d9f9…
10-04 17:58:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x3239cf…
10-04 17:58:55	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xf615bb…
10-04 17:58:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x39a355…
10-04 17:58:50	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?	Yes	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0x8b4932…
10-03 22:31:19	Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xcb277f…
10-03 22:31:14	Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x0e0e7b…
10-03 05:53:23	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x982cdd…
10-03 05:53:20	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe69271…
10-03 01:45:12	Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x5ba4b4…
10-03 01:45:03	Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x38ffd0…
10-02 17:10:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x9101df…
10-02 02:56:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be less than 310,000?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xa59a5e…
10-02 02:56:41	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xa22d96…
10-02 02:56:38	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?	Yes	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0x68db5c…
10-02 02:04:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x2a2ad6…
10-02 02:01:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$2	0xf5df2e…
10-01 23:59:05	Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xf5e195…
10-01 23:57:57	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x1642b4…
10-01 18:07:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x50aa18…
10-01 18:06:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be less than 310,000?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x54ea32…
10-01 18:06:53	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x0c516f…
10-01 17:15:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	58	18¢	$10	0x84684b…
10-01 17:15:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xf8e2c4…
10-01 17:15:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x4a2d6d…
10-01 17:15:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x024933…
10-01 17:15:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x7d579d…
10-01 01:19:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	123	11¢	$13	0x7b9e4c…
10-01 01:19:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$2	0xae7cf9…
10-01 01:19:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x57c25a…
10-01 01:19:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x987717…
10-01 01:19:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?	No	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0x5f9671…
10-01 01:19:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 0%-20%?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$2	0x36b6c9…
09-30 22:10:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x753d76…
09-30 22:07:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf23a78…
09-30 18:48:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf1a604…
09-30 18:48:32	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x61e45f…
09-30 18:47:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xc47d29…
09-30 18:47:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	Yes	BUY	97	19¢	$18	0xac1fec…
09-30 18:47:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x71c763…
09-30 18:45:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be less than 2,200,000?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$1	0x486aa4…
09-30 03:34:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 275,000 and 300,000?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcdfa3f…
09-30 03:34:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be less than 275,000?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x137e41…
09-30 03:34:12	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 300,000 and 325,000?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8bca14…
09-24 15:40:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be less than 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x834c77…
09-24 15:39:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x82f97b…
09-24 15:33:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x8d5a43…
09-24 14:50:41	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be less than 1,100,000?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xfebedd…
09-24 14:50:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$4	0x78affc…
09-24 14:49:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xb1c53d…
09-14 14:08:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$9	0x53a0c2…
09-14 14:07:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xd3cafb…
09-14 13:45:04	Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa87300…
09-14 13:43:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0xc32269…
09-14 13:43:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x59c09e…
09-14 13:43:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x4e8214…
09-14 13:42:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x8d28e9…
09-14 13:40:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xf22503…
09-14 13:40:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x8c4b07…
09-08 23:34:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb93491…
09-08 23:29:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	73	79¢	$58	0xd78c08…
09-08 20:11:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x97832e…
09-08 20:11:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xc79240…
09-08 17:30:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xcec492…
09-08 07:06:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be less than 3,500,000?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x833328…
09-08 07:05:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,500,000 and 3,700,000?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x37ecba…
09-08 07:04:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf60172…
09-08 07:04:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7adb6b…
09-08 07:04:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xb8c548…
09-08 07:02:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x2ca293…
09-03 03:58:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?	No	BUY	179	54¢	$97	0xf2d7c6…
08-13 12:32:37	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x4f50ec…
08-13 12:32:09	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xe2be91…
07-18 16:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x565c1b…
07-18 16:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf45dfa…
07-18 15:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on July 19?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6f22a2…
07-18 15:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef95c9…
07-18 15:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xddca1a…