Realized P&L
+$562
Unrealized P&L
+$318
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
385
Trades
1,145
lifetime
Volume
$49.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-04 01:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
70% 78% -$130
Politics
26% 80% +$688
Sports
4% 82% +$5
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 57% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +567 $419 74¢ $419 +$0 10-31 10:29
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +417 $409 98¢ $408 -$1 11-03 09:14
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +363 $350 100¢ $363 +$12 11-03 08:42
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +267 $230 98¢ $263 +$33 11-03 23:35
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +240 $26 99¢ $238 +$212 11-02 18:41
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +186 $186 100¢ $186 $0 10-31 03:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +183 $181 100¢ $182 +$1 10-30 17:34
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +180 $147 100¢ $179 +$31 11-03 10:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? No +87 $83 99¢ $86 +$3 11-03 19:50
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +83 $59 100¢ $82 +$23 11-03 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +81 $80 95¢ $77 -$3 10-31 15:09
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-03 08:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +75 $74 98¢ $74 +$0 10-31 08:14
Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +72 $72 100¢ $72 $0 10-30 11:17
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime? No +169 $69 35¢ $59 -$11 11-03 20:18
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +54 $47 100¢ $54 +$7 10-30 16:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $51 99¢ $52 +$0 10-31 20:24
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026 No +48 $47 96¢ $46 -$1 11-02 20:40
will pete aguilar be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms No +40 $38 97¢ $38 +$1 11-02 22:20
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 $0 10-31 15:41
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +38 $37 100¢ $37 $0 10-31 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 10-30 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in November 2026? No +29 $29 100¢ $28 $0 10-31 18:01
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +34 $32 79¢ $27 -$5 10-31 01:46
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$0 11-01 01:57
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +26 $14 99¢ $26 +$13 11-03 09:59
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.5% and 4.0%? No +27 $24 96¢ $26 +$2 10-30 05:34
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +27 $27 92¢ $25 -$2 10-31 08:57
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 11-03 10:29
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 10-30 19:40