Realized P&L
+$9.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$786
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
106
Trades
1,230
lifetime
Volume
$315.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$257
Open exposure
$25.7K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
56% 80% +$3,103
Other
40% 92% +$6,579
Crypto
3% 100% +$90
Sports
1% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +13,500 $12,070 92¢ $12.5K +$417 10-23 22:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +4,000 $3,940 100¢ $4.0K +$44 10-26 16:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +1,200 $1,087 98¢ $1.2K +$89 10-25 22:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,600 $1,074 73¢ $1.2K +$93 10-23 16:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,750 $1,182 65¢ $1.1K -$36 10-20 06:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,200 $994 94¢ $1.1K +$128 10-23 22:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,000 $937 97¢ $970 +$33 10-10 21:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $808 82¢ $815 +$8 10-24 16:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +998 $611 66¢ $664 +$52 10-20 00:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +500 $481 97¢ $485 +$4 10-09 06:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $460 94¢ $468 +$8 09-13 12:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $448 94¢ $468 +$20 10-26 00:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +300 $258 97¢ $291 +$33 05-13 13:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $93 55¢ $109 +$16 10-22 05:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $50 94¢ $94 +$44 10-01 15:37
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$2 10-25 22:33
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +100 $102 62¢ $61 -$41 07-09 17:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +700 $142 6¢ $42 -$100 10-02 12:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $44 72¢ $36 -$8 09-13 18:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $24 6¢ $6 -$18 10-02 11:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +25 $8 24¢ $6 -$2 10-05 15:17