Mortified-Circumstance 0x6dd5cc…13dd4b Create alert
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$222
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
103
Trades
290
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$1.04K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 11-05 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
69% 72% +$390
Other
31% 80% +$718
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000? Yes +209 $144 99¢ $206 +$62 11-04 09:39
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? Yes +138 $100 94¢ $129 +$29 11-04 05:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%? Yes +126 $116 97¢ $123 +$7 11-04 14:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +130 $109 57¢ $75 -$34 11-04 14:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +144 $97 52¢ $75 -$23 11-04 14:11
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +391 $254 18¢ $71 -$183 11-05 21:12
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Yes +72 $66 96¢ $68 +$2 11-04 06:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +59 -$7 99¢ $59 +$66 11-05 21:00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? Yes +65 $47 66¢ $43 -$4 11-04 06:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 20%-25%? No +80 $60 49¢ $39 -$21 11-05 17:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 11-05 15:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%? Yes +41 $37 70¢ $29 -$8 11-05 15:20
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? No +88 $64 20¢ $18 -$46 11-04 06:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +33 $30 53¢ $18 -$12 11-05 15:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +33 $30 52¢ $17 -$13 11-05 15:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +24 $22 67¢ $16 -$6 11-05 15:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 15%-20%? Yes +12 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 11-04 05:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +20 $14 48¢ $10 -$4 11-04 14:12
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +64 $34 1¢ $1 -$33 11-03 17:40