Talkative-Killer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$723

Unrealized P&L

+$894

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

333

Trades

200,839

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$848

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

57% 56% +$17,418

Politics

18% 32% -$4,523

Crypto

14% 67% -$10,305

Sports

12% 48% -$3,322

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-119,875	-$1,199	1¢	$-659	+$539	05-07 03:06
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-42,006	-$420	0¢	$-189	+$231	04-29 10:51
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+7	-$71	0¢	$0	+$71	06-09 08:36
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1	-$53	0¢	$0	+$53	07-26 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4,784	$145.2K	23,311,535	22,453,672	+857,863	No	-$2,423	03-17 23:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1,628	$144.8K	11,426,207	10,667,664	+758,543	No	-$6,983	06-03 23:30
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	9,952	$101.7K	33,729,969	27,187,083	+6,542,886	No	-$315	01-28 18:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	95	$89.7K	47,334	47,334	+0	Yes	+$14	10-28 15:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3,714	$64.0K	10,461,707	10,997,400	-535,693	No	+$10,352	03-18 09:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2,646	$49.2K	8,677,944	8,889,183	-211,239	Yes	+$312	02-03 04:27
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4,814	$48.7K	11,511,793	10,913,882	+597,911	No	+$2,014	01-27 21:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1,323	$37.5K	17,690,851	16,239,792	+1,451,059	Yes	+$747	04-20 06:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	321	$32.3K	18,293,915	12,019,497	+6,274,418	Yes	-$4,244	05-09 19:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	616	$25.8K	2,346,052	2,041,233	+304,819	Yes	-$144	04-07 22:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5,305	$18.3K	2,749,284	2,380,997	+368,286	No	-$279	03-17 10:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	194	$16.0K	56,876	56,866	+10	Yes	-$2,572	07-07 17:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	471	$15.1K	7,994,398	6,701,501	+1,292,897	Yes	-$1,293	04-25 00:43
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	473	$14.3K	1,872,546	1,872,546	+0	No	-$2,774	03-20 10:00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	13	$13.9K	6,969	6,969	+0	Yes	+$66	10-30 12:36
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	4	$13.5K	6,825	6,825	+0	Yes	+$137	10-29 12:08
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	802	$13.4K	6,982,766	6,385,376	+597,390	Yes	-$566	04-15 06:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1,322	$13.0K	4,466,472	5,171,981	-705,509	Yes	+$3,289	03-03 21:58
nba atl por 2026 01 15	13	$13.0K	16,472	16,472	+0	Trail Blazers	-$165	01-15 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,552	$12.3K	1,728,209	1,715,683	+12,526	No	-$58	04-25 07:26
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	8	$12.1K	6,052	6,052	+0	Yes	+$22	10-30 04:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	150	$12.0K	34,623	33,578	+1,045	No	-$373	03-29 20:16
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	814	$10.3K	26,000	25,337	+663	No	-$91	03-17 17:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	303	$10.0K	4,149,494	2,146,611	+2,002,883	Yes	-$645	03-25 19:01
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	417	$9.8K	2,482,769	2,427,177	+55,592	No	+$909	01-20 19:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1,409	$9.1K	3,131,274	3,131,457	-183	Yes	-$657	03-03 21:46
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	114	$8.9K	631,661	590,475	+41,186	No	-$1,175	01-03 19:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1,046	$8.6K	1,470,072	1,450,786	+19,287	No	+$457	02-20 13:50
nba uta dal 2026 01 15	48	$8.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	Mavericks	-$142	01-15 19:07
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	38	$8.2K	6,040	6,040	+0	Yes	+$3,811	02-16 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:12:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	SELL	1,342	36¢	$486	0x930ecf…
10-30 15:12:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0xd9ef82…
10-30 14:19:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	1,380	70¢	$964	0xc833d6…
10-30 14:15:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xda7801…
10-30 13:57:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	358	99¢	$354	0x8caf72…
10-30 12:36:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	6,962	100¢	$6,955	0xe91382…
10-30 09:06:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	1,051	99¢	$1,040	0xa161b4…
10-30 08:24:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	650	99¢	$644	0x7d68fe…
10-30 08:23:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x2283a9…
10-30 08:20:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xf49abe…
10-30 07:34:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x715d67…
10-30 07:29:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x186210…
10-30 07:14:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x19d865…
10-30 07:12:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5d6e8c…
10-30 06:57:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	410	99¢	$406	0x2e14be…
10-30 06:56:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	2,452	99¢	$2,424	0x087def…
10-30 04:43:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	1,333	100¢	$1,332	0xee6a6b…
10-30 04:41:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	2,034	100¢	$2,032	0x3a96d9…
10-30 02:40:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0x2db6f3…
10-30 00:16:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	1,259	100¢	$1,255	0x4ba6b9…
10-29 19:52:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	920	99¢	$915	0x99e3ad…
10-29 19:52:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	2,520	99¢	$2,505	0x0473c5…
10-29 19:51:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x941542…
10-29 17:25:59	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x9d87cd…
10-29 17:05:08	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xceb755…
10-29 16:21:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	170	66¢	$112	0x30ee47…
10-29 12:08:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	5,491	100¢	$5,486	0xa64473…
10-29 11:51:50	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xee5a75…
10-29 11:51:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	1,273	100¢	$1,271	0x392331…
10-29 06:03:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	170	65¢	$111	0x5f88e9…
10-28 16:53:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	6,825	98¢	$6,681	0x930497…
10-28 15:44:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,045	95¢	$6,693	0x7b6c68…
10-28 15:22:46	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	76	73¢	$55	0x6c504d…
10-28 15:22:05	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x8c734d…
10-28 07:01:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,765	0xcbcba7…
10-28 06:11:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,326	96¢	$1,270	0x3b17cb…
10-28 04:50:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,280	96¢	$1,225	0xe088fa…
10-28 04:50:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	96¢	$211	0x0c6a4b…
10-28 04:48:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,076	96¢	$1,030	0xc4dea3…
10-28 04:48:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2db589…
10-28 04:44:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x7f2de6…
10-28 04:43:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	169	96¢	$162	0xc54842…
10-28 04:39:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x35c811…
10-28 04:39:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xeeb4a0…
10-28 04:37:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x76a942…
10-28 04:33:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x6ba85d…
10-28 04:30:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x7fa16b…
10-28 04:30:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x375a87…
10-28 04:27:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	734	96¢	$702	0x44eabb…
10-28 04:26:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xed8139…
10-28 04:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	432	96¢	$414	0x9d86c4…
10-28 04:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,095	96¢	$2,005	0x0f5baf…
10-28 04:19:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	430	96¢	$412	0xf68bcd…
10-28 04:17:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x691019…
10-28 04:11:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x6a2a47…
10-28 04:11:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	260	96¢	$249	0x817db6…
10-28 04:04:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	96¢	$319	0xf86e18…
10-28 04:02:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,032	96¢	$987	0x8bc717…
10-28 04:01:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x639ccb…
10-28 04:00:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x39b013…
10-28 04:00:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x698b0f…
10-28 03:59:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x623c2e…
10-28 03:59:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,092	96¢	$2,000	0xa4d8c9…
10-28 03:59:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x53400d…
10-28 03:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8fb50f…
10-28 03:52:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,510	96¢	$2,400	0x5e3b8b…
10-28 03:29:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,306	96¢	$5,067	0xf992ea…
10-28 03:29:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	694	96¢	$663	0x1e5440…
10-28 02:10:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	765	96¢	$734	0x8ec141…
10-28 01:45:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,000	96¢	$5,766	0xfbccf4…
10-28 01:43:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,102	96¢	$2,017	0xcf96a3…
10-28 01:43:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,588	96¢	$1,525	0x47c71c…
10-28 01:43:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,968	96¢	$1,889	0x2b3a32…
10-28 01:43:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	342	96¢	$328	0x19ae98…
10-27 21:24:59	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,054	0¢	$2	0x6c26a9…
10-27 20:25:36	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xab84b7…
10-27 19:29:41	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,082	0¢	$12	0x20cbbe…
10-27 18:51:41	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18,943	0¢	$57	0x8d8c84…
10-27 18:49:26	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x6efb06…
10-27 18:48:56	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,099	0¢	$3	0xba73c8…
10-27 18:48:27	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x2bb758…
10-27 18:48:12	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6b86df…
10-27 18:48:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x9787c5…
10-27 18:48:06	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$1	0x4aea1d…
10-27 18:48:06	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x277b6f…
10-27 18:48:05	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0xcdee99…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xf5a7f6…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0xebc340…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	527	0¢	$2	0xcbfc88…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0xa9f5b7…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa288ae…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x958037…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x8c3db4…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x71f903…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x63f505…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$1	0x557d8d…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x2c3d95…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x1fa620…
10-27 18:48:03	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x08f52b…
10-27 18:48:02	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0xd19333…