Talkative-Killer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

107,524

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$439

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

56% 43% $-1,617

Politics

19% 50% $-4,241

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$363

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 3335 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No		+439,019	$439	0¢	$439	$-0	07-01 14:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4,784	$145.2K	23,311,535	22,453,672	+857,863	open	—	03-17 23:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1,483	$138.2K	11,001,487	10,019,594	+981,894	open	—	06-03 23:30
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	9,952	$101.7K	33,729,969	27,187,083	+6,542,886	open	—	01-28 18:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3,714	$64.0K	10,461,707	10,997,400	-535,693	open	—	03-18 09:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2,646	$49.2K	8,677,944	8,889,183	-211,239	open	—	02-03 04:27
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4,814	$48.7K	11,511,793	10,913,882	+597,911	open	—	01-27 21:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1,323	$37.5K	17,690,851	16,239,792	+1,451,059	open	—	04-20 06:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	321	$32.3K	18,293,915	12,019,497	+6,274,418	Yes	$-4,244	05-09 19:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	616	$25.8K	2,346,052	2,041,233	+304,819	open	—	04-07 22:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5,305	$18.3K	2,749,284	2,380,997	+368,286	open	—	03-17 10:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	471	$15.1K	7,994,398	6,701,501	+1,292,897	open	—	04-25 00:43
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	473	$14.3K	1,872,546	1,872,546	+0	open	—	03-20 10:00
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	802	$13.4K	6,982,766	6,385,376	+597,390	open	—	04-15 06:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1,322	$13.0K	4,466,472	5,171,981	-705,509	open	—	03-03 21:58
nba atl por 2026 01 15	13	$13.0K	16,472	16,472	+0	open	—	01-15 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,552	$12.3K	1,728,209	1,715,683	+12,526	open	—	04-25 07:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	150	$12.0K	34,623	33,578	+1,045	open	—	03-29 20:16
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	814	$10.3K	26,000	25,337	+663	open	—	03-17 17:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	303	$10.0K	4,149,494	2,146,611	+2,002,883	open	—	03-25 19:01
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	417	$9.8K	2,482,769	2,427,177	+55,592	open	—	01-20 19:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1,409	$9.1K	3,131,274	3,131,457	-183	open	—	03-03 21:46
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	114	$8.9K	631,661	590,475	+41,186	open	—	01-03 19:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1,046	$8.6K	1,470,072	1,450,786	+19,287	open	—	02-20 13:50
nba uta dal 2026 01 15	48	$8.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-15 19:07
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	38	$8.2K	6,040	6,040	+0	open	—	02-16 07:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	304	$7.4K	738,677	739,838	-1,160	open	—	03-16 12:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1,923	$7.1K	798,689	798,416	+273	open	—	01-21 00:23
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	6,529	$7.0K	1,047,632	726,329	+321,303	open	—	04-28 09:43
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6,989	$6.4K	922,447	806,911	+115,536	No	$-154	04-19 19:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4,125	$5.9K	1,699,346	1,400,453	+298,893	open	—	04-30 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:36:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0x7363b5…
07-01 14:49:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	451	0¢	$0	0x80eb00…
07-01 14:49:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x420ff2…
07-01 14:48:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb986cd…
07-01 13:58:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15,320	0¢	$15	0x958e99…
07-01 13:55:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,953	0¢	$5	0xe2c8b8…
07-01 13:52:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x110206…
07-01 13:27:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0x3fb046…
07-01 13:26:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdfb0b3…
07-01 13:04:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15,270	0¢	$15	0x882020…
07-01 13:04:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x97307f…
07-01 13:04:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1e73a1…
07-01 13:04:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x071e28…
07-01 12:58:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,069	0¢	$1	0xde0cba…
07-01 12:32:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x0cc2c9…
07-01 12:16:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,070	0¢	$1	0x509f5c…
07-01 11:50:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x2e584e…
07-01 11:36:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xcc12d1…
07-01 11:36:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,100	0¢	$2	0x9dee2b…
07-01 11:28:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26,666	0¢	$27	0xe35f5b…
07-01 11:23:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x00219d…
07-01 11:11:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15,830	0¢	$16	0x9b705b…
07-01 11:00:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4d73eb…
07-01 10:45:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x234e47…
07-01 10:28:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30,000	0¢	$30	0x192aad…
07-01 10:20:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,455	0¢	$1	0xda8632…
07-01 10:20:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,451	0¢	$4	0xece01b…
07-01 10:16:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	0¢	$1	0x72dedd…
07-01 10:16:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,010	0¢	$3	0x6b68ec…
07-01 10:08:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107,855	0¢	$108	0x11bed1…
07-01 09:58:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,434	0¢	$5	0x2fb84f…
07-01 09:50:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x06bcf1…
07-01 09:37:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25,000	0¢	$25	0xbad1be…
07-01 09:33:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe6316f…
07-01 09:18:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x883cae…
07-01 09:03:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x887fff…
07-01 08:58:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0abd2e…
07-01 08:24:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,200	0¢	$3	0x8674fa…
07-01 08:17:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x66cc5a…
07-01 08:15:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa76bd5…
07-01 08:10:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc3ab70…
07-01 07:38:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14,000	0¢	$14	0xe73483…
07-01 07:36:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52,370	0¢	$52	0x07c67a…
07-01 07:31:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19,249	0¢	$19	0x41d266…
07-01 06:20:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xef2469…
07-01 05:53:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x5cb071…
07-01 05:50:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15,000	0¢	$15	0x877437…
07-01 05:48:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x976e04…
07-01 05:48:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x82e8c5…
07-01 05:41:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xbbfa3a…
07-01 05:25:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,350	0¢	$4	0xa4f494…
07-01 05:24:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5eb84c…
07-01 03:46:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x6e5f50…
07-01 03:32:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xbc104a…
07-01 03:24:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9ab36b…
07-01 02:36:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1accf5…
07-01 02:23:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xee35f4…
07-01 02:16:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x89d5e9…
07-01 01:27:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	230	0¢	$0	0xc32003…
07-01 01:27:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,950	0¢	$7	0x722ab9…
07-01 00:30:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c241a…
07-01 00:09:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa34352…
06-30 23:57:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x3d22a2…
06-30 23:15:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9822e3…
06-30 23:14:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	840	0¢	$1	0x0a677a…
06-30 23:11:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,890	0¢	$2	0xf6dc42…
06-30 23:05:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x02414b…
06-30 23:03:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x415ef6…
06-30 22:57:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,460	0¢	$1	0xdafb95…
06-30 22:50:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe0b19f…
06-30 22:40:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	170	0¢	$0	0x6a1e40…
06-30 22:38:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x677274…
06-30 22:25:56	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe00550…
06-30 22:21:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20,170	0¢	$20	0x2a3fff…
06-30 22:19:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	0¢	$4	0x0bdaa1…
06-30 22:16:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x2e630c…
06-30 22:15:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd819b…
06-30 22:13:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x4bdc02…
06-30 22:06:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,970	0¢	$5	0x275d30…
06-30 22:05:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x148a2d…
06-30 22:03:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x696d0b…
06-30 22:03:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0bf428…
06-30 21:55:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbdbf25…
06-30 21:54:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52,590	0¢	$53	0x46d2b3…
06-30 21:51:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	0¢	$1	0x1bd002…
06-30 21:50:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x02b4a6…
06-30 21:48:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14,470	0¢	$14	0x6f7898…
06-30 21:44:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc1e12d…
06-30 21:42:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,870	0¢	$2	0x040fa1…
06-30 21:39:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d6b29…
06-30 21:39:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6d8bb3…
06-30 21:39:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40a0f0…
06-30 21:39:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x17b6c1…
06-30 21:38:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4d1185…
06-30 21:33:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x510e6c…
06-30 21:25:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52,350	0¢	$52	0xc1a314…
06-30 21:17:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xdc77e3…
06-30 21:12:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18,170	0¢	$18	0x3b4643…
06-30 21:12:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9951d9…
06-30 21:11:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,900	0¢	$4	0x6b099c…