Polite-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,274

lifetime

Volume

$568.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-07 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% $-117

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	3	$58.8K	29,665	29,664	+1	open	—	01-03 17:31
btc updown 15m 1768368600	18	$35.3K	36,454	0	+36,454	open	—	01-14 05:44
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	21	$26.5K	23,336	3,429	+19,907	open	—	01-06 16:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	26	$23.6K	13,342	13,342	+0	open	—	01-02 16:58
ethereum above 3100 on january 2	4	$18.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-02 16:54
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	6	$18.8K	18,935	0	+18,935	open	—	01-05 16:58
btc updown 15m 1767413700	64	$13.1K	13,316	0	+13,316	open	—	01-03 04:29
btc updown 15m 1767978000	15	$12.8K	12,884	0	+12,884	open	—	01-09 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 1	11	$12.7K	6,681	6,681	+0	open	—	01-01 17:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	4	$11.6K	11,681	0	+11,681	open	—	01-09 16:58
btc updown 15m 1767379500	19	$10.5K	10,645	0	+10,645	open	—	01-02 18:56
ethereum above 3200 on january 5	17	$10.5K	6,143	4,464	+1,679	open	—	01-05 17:25
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 2	4	$8.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	open	—	01-02 17:00
ethereum above 3100 on january 11	21	$8.5K	8,516	0	+8,516	open	—	01-11 19:04
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 1	11	$8.4K	4,267	4,267	+0	open	—	01-01 17:00
bitcoin above 88k on january 1	23	$8.3K	6,406	6,406	+0	open	—	01-01 17:00
btc updown 15m 1767380400	37	$8.2K	8,256	0	+8,256	open	—	01-02 19:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 3	70	$7.9K	10,200	10,171	+29	open	—	01-03 16:14
btc updown 15m 1767985200	41	$7.6K	7,645	0	+7,645	open	—	01-09 19:13
btc updown 15m 1767300300	30	$6.9K	3,774	3,774	+0	open	—	01-01 21:00
btc updown 15m 1767724200	117	$6.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-06 18:45
btc updown 15m 1767296700	75	$6.6K	3,460	3,459	+0	open	—	01-01 20:00
btc updown 15m 1767343500	131	$6.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	01-02 08:59
btc updown 15m 1767417300	23	$5.8K	5,872	0	+5,872	open	—	01-03 05:29
btc updown 15m 1768232700	31	$5.5K	5,486	100	+5,386	open	—	01-12 15:59
btc updown 15m 1768150800	38	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	01-11 17:13
btc updown 15m 1767303000	80	$5.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-01 21:44
btc updown 15m 1767302100	4	$5.0K	2,666	2,666	+0	open	—	01-01 21:30
eth updown 15m 1767420000	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-03 06:12
eth updown 15m 1767414600	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-03 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 15:46:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd3a131…
07-07 15:46:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x96b09b…
07-07 12:42:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x07fb47…
07-01 10:27:58	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	207	15¢	$31	0x06ba43…
06-29 15:58:26	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfa0ed8…
06-29 15:58:25	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1427d1…
06-29 15:47:29	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x7cd69c…
06-29 15:42:56	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x103ca9…
06-29 15:41:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x798942…
06-26 15:58:53	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44f8d6…
06-26 15:55:47	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22fc96…
06-26 15:54:02	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x64854f…
06-17 11:26:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xec4e5f…
06-17 11:26:05	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x145372…
06-17 11:25:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa740f6…
06-16 15:59:52	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4a956…
06-15 02:24:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	262	18¢	$47	0xc03cd3…
06-15 02:23:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x378cce…
06-15 02:23:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xab30c8…
06-15 02:23:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xc97976…
06-15 02:23:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x5371a9…
06-15 02:23:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	286	19¢	$54	0xf19cc5…
06-14 14:06:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,749	74¢	$1,294	0x0ee1bd…
06-14 12:17:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0xc02966…
06-14 12:17:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xa0eebf…
06-14 12:17:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	2,179	40¢	$872	0x8cca79…
06-14 12:09:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	750	40¢	$300	0x6aa482…
06-14 12:07:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	55	40¢	$22	0x5b7391…
06-14 07:05:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x1dafae…
06-14 06:49:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2,522	39¢	$983	0xa17c79…
06-14 05:50:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	SELL	61	50¢	$30	0x8a6682…
06-14 05:17:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x9ffde2…
06-14 05:11:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x058505…
06-14 05:09:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	BUY	194	51¢	$99	0x7e0dc1…
06-14 05:02:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xce83a5…
06-14 04:48:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x65d3fe…
06-14 03:38:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	803	60¢	$482	0x9a3ce5…
06-14 03:21:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	803	60¢	$482	0x2989bb…
06-12 12:47:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	1,307	88¢	$1,154	0xb37fb7…
06-12 05:38:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x836a09…
06-12 04:16:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	244	90¢	$221	0x5b202e…
06-12 03:56:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,583	90¢	$1,426	0x83055f…
06-11 15:54:16	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x325c42…
06-11 15:54:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x72de75…
06-11 15:23:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9a1b72…
06-11 15:22:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x07bb86…
06-10 01:00:49	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	154	42¢	$65	0x5ae32b…
06-10 01:00:19	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x8456c8…
06-10 00:57:03	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x95b978…
06-10 00:57:01	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x08ec31…
06-10 00:53:58	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x94f525…
06-10 00:53:09	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x08199c…
06-10 00:52:54	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xb34a55…
06-10 00:51:16	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xb11060…
06-10 00:50:00	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xd9e125…
06-10 00:45:03	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	395	48¢	$190	0x012d1d…
06-10 00:34:22	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xf9a078…
06-10 00:33:12	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xc9b203…
06-08 15:59:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,334	0¢	$3	0x90de1d…
06-08 15:58:57	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x71dfc1…
06-07 16:00:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c0131…
06-05 08:54:18	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x5e4659…
06-05 08:40:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa2167b…
06-04 16:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	990	0¢	$2	0x6fb490…
06-04 16:00:21	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd7c28f…
06-04 15:59:58	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x286e33…
06-04 13:55:49	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x7c5525…
06-04 13:54:33	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfa8f0e…
06-04 13:42:28	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0x610f07…
06-04 13:39:06	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x5a31a5…
06-04 13:38:31	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x33a4e9…
06-04 13:38:16	dota2 carst rnx 2026 06 04	Carstensz	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x206e88…
06-04 11:04:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0x34496a…
06-04 11:03:51	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	181	46¢	$83	0x44d06a…
06-04 11:03:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	122	46¢	$56	0x5da419…
06-04 11:02:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	205	46¢	$94	0x792790…
06-04 11:01:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xdb8d8d…
06-04 11:00:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x42d614…
06-04 11:00:15	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xfa017a…
06-04 10:58:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x0974a6…
06-04 10:58:36	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xfb2ed6…
06-04 10:52:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0xc28afb…
06-04 05:06:51	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xdb8aaf…
06-04 05:04:51	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x0e99c4…
06-04 05:03:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe3a50b…
06-02 15:48:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$2	0x482cde…
06-02 15:47:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	233	2¢	$4	0x0f31ba…
06-02 15:38:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,041	1¢	$7	0x87d9dc…
05-31 15:32:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x72609c…
05-31 15:31:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x435e23…
05-31 15:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x1e9382…
05-31 15:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfbe57a…
05-31 15:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x1b4bdd…
05-31 15:29:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x860cee…
05-31 10:22:04	Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang	Xiyu Wang	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x779ea4…
05-31 04:29:12	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xf47cb9…
05-31 04:29:12	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdba9d1…
05-31 04:29:12	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6291ab…
05-31 04:29:09	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x0d4662…
05-31 04:28:51	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x61c705…