Polite-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

569

Trades

5,647

lifetime

Volume

$662.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% -$28,870

Politics

2% 23% -$95

Sports

1% 50% -$423

Tech

0% 100% +$28

Other

0% 17% -$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes		+166	$41	3¢	$4	-$36	11-11 14:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	Yes		+10	$6	8¢	$1	-$5	11-11 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	3	$58.8K	29,665	29,664	+1	Yes	+$453	01-03 17:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 05:30 UTC	18	$35.3K	36,454	0	+36,454	Down	-$35,276	01-14 05:44
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	21	$26.5K	23,336	3,429	+19,907	Yes	-$27	01-06 16:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	26	$23.6K	13,342	13,342	+0	Yes	+$1,223	01-02 16:58
ethereum above 3100 on january 2	4	$18.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$280	01-02 16:54
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	6	$18.8K	18,935	0	+18,935	No	+$140	01-05 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 04:15 UTC	64	$13.1K	13,316	0	+13,316	Up	+$213	01-03 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	15	$12.8K	12,884	0	+12,884	Down	+$129	01-09 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 1	11	$12.7K	6,681	6,681	+0	No	+$508	01-01 17:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	4	$11.6K	11,681	0	+11,681	No	+$65	01-09 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 18:45 UTC	19	$10.5K	10,645	0	+10,645	Down	+$115	01-02 18:56
ethereum above 3200 on january 5	17	$10.5K	6,143	4,464	+1,679	No	-$83	01-05 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 4?	32	$8.6K	10,413	7,490	+2,923	Yes	+$280	11-04 12:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 2	4	$8.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	Yes	+$47	01-02 17:00
ethereum above 3100 on january 11	21	$8.5K	8,516	0	+8,516	Yes	+$9	01-11 19:04
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 1	11	$8.4K	4,267	4,267	+0	No	+$166	01-01 17:00
bitcoin above 88k on january 1	23	$8.3K	6,406	6,406	+0	No	+$733	01-01 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 19:00 UTC	37	$8.2K	8,256	0	+8,256	Up	+$83	01-02 19:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 3	70	$7.9K	10,200	10,171	+29	Yes	-$1,976	01-03 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 19:00 UTC	41	$7.6K	7,645	0	+7,645	Down	+$76	01-09 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 20:45 UTC	30	$6.9K	3,774	3,774	+0	Up	+$597	01-01 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:30 UTC	117	$6.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Down	+$240	01-06 18:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 19:45 UTC	75	$6.6K	3,460	3,459	+0	Up	+$274	01-01 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:45 UTC	131	$6.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	Up	+$718	01-02 08:59
will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	10	$6.0K	6,839	655	+6,184	Yes	+$1,298	08-21 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:15 UTC	23	$5.8K	5,872	0	+5,872	Down	+$59	01-03 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:45 UTC	31	$5.5K	5,486	100	+5,386	Up	+$68	01-12 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 17:00 UTC	38	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	+$60	01-11 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:30 UTC	80	$5.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Down	+$580	01-01 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:15 UTC	4	$5.0K	2,666	2,666	+0	Down	+$289	01-01 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0x0999b5…
11-11 14:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x86482d…
11-11 14:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88607e…
11-11 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9b326f…
11-11 14:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd41542…
11-11 14:47:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x112463…
11-11 14:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x6a46a0…
11-11 14:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xde4d9e…
11-11 14:35:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	136	27¢	$37	0xe9c096…
11-11 14:31:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	274	21¢	$58	0xa60134…
11-11 14:19:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	274	20¢	$55	0x508464…
11-11 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb74b72…
11-10 21:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x84bc2e…
11-10 21:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xa12a2d…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xfd7a85…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2bb896…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1db46e…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x1497c5…
11-10 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x906389…
11-10 21:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x525b3c…
11-10 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7afd5f…
11-10 20:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	244	99¢	$242	0x3fb3d1…
11-10 20:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3be36b…
11-10 20:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xdbf357…
11-10 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4e845d…
11-10 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe1f826…
11-10 20:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x013283…
11-10 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x85194f…
11-10 20:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69e20c…
11-10 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x10154b…
11-10 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x03b0f0…
11-10 20:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaa9870…
11-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd09dba…
11-10 20:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x1b70f4…
11-10 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa8fb66…
11-10 20:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x46172b…
11-10 20:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xda38dd…
11-10 20:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9433fd…
11-10 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcab5fe…
11-10 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcf6fb9…
11-10 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xea77a9…
11-10 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1b913e…
11-10 20:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xab913d…
11-10 20:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd61579…
11-10 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ce202…
11-10 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x12ecf5…
11-10 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xef3195…
11-10 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x981e58…
11-10 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xca4990…
11-10 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x9118d1…
11-10 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x0a8b05…
11-10 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34b77f…
11-10 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40f3b2…
11-10 20:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xedae94…
11-10 20:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9429cb…
11-10 20:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf820b…
11-10 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xaded3b…
11-10 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2f12b2…
11-10 20:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfccd50…
11-10 20:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x749aa0…
11-10 20:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33bd1c…
11-10 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x41ca2d…
11-10 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0xaf1b4f…
11-10 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x70ea26…
11-10 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6abd32…
11-10 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x5bf82d…
11-10 19:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9e880e…
11-10 19:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0c1478…
11-10 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x95c453…
11-10 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x3a0009…
11-10 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0xa7de82…
11-10 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6acc29…
11-10 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x5c35f8…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf9662b…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa67e89…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x98a6b0…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x83cf79…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5b693f…
11-10 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x32819c…
11-10 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcd152a…
11-10 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6026cc…
11-10 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x269b38…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd818b0…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd2f4f2…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xbfa205…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb582de…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa694c3…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7cd673…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x767b19…
11-10 19:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x36441d…
11-10 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xf0f155…
11-10 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe3a2ae…
11-10 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x4b47a7…
11-10 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc3f427…
11-10 18:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09d9e4…
11-10 18:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe93fc0…
11-10 17:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfdeab8…
11-10 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd52b25…
11-10 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd80374…
11-10 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc4e2d8…