Polite-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

576

Trades

5,693

lifetime

Volume

$662.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$67

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% -$28,987

Politics

2% 23% -$95

Sports

1% 50% -$423

Tech

0% 100% +$28

Other

0% 17% -$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes		+200	$128	34¢	$67	-$61	11-12 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	3	$58.8K	29,665	29,664	+1	Yes	+$453	01-03 17:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 05:30 UTC	18	$35.3K	36,454	0	+36,454	Down	-$35,276	01-14 05:44
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	21	$26.5K	23,336	3,429	+19,907	Yes	-$27	01-06 16:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	26	$23.6K	13,342	13,342	+0	Yes	+$1,223	01-02 16:58
ethereum above 3100 on january 2	4	$18.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$280	01-02 16:54
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	6	$18.8K	18,935	0	+18,935	No	+$140	01-05 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 04:15 UTC	64	$13.1K	13,316	0	+13,316	Up	+$213	01-03 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	15	$12.8K	12,884	0	+12,884	Down	+$129	01-09 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 1	11	$12.7K	6,681	6,681	+0	No	+$508	01-01 17:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	4	$11.6K	11,681	0	+11,681	No	+$65	01-09 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 18:45 UTC	19	$10.5K	10,645	0	+10,645	Down	+$115	01-02 18:56
ethereum above 3200 on january 5	17	$10.5K	6,143	4,464	+1,679	No	-$83	01-05 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 4?	32	$8.6K	10,413	7,490	+2,923	Yes	+$280	11-04 12:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 2	4	$8.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	Yes	+$47	01-02 17:00
ethereum above 3100 on january 11	21	$8.5K	8,516	0	+8,516	Yes	+$9	01-11 19:04
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 1	11	$8.4K	4,267	4,267	+0	No	+$166	01-01 17:00
bitcoin above 88k on january 1	23	$8.3K	6,406	6,406	+0	No	+$733	01-01 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 19:00 UTC	37	$8.2K	8,256	0	+8,256	Up	+$83	01-02 19:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 3	70	$7.9K	10,200	10,171	+29	Yes	-$1,976	01-03 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 19:00 UTC	41	$7.6K	7,645	0	+7,645	Down	+$76	01-09 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 20:45 UTC	30	$6.9K	3,774	3,774	+0	Up	+$597	01-01 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:30 UTC	117	$6.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Down	+$240	01-06 18:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 19:45 UTC	75	$6.6K	3,460	3,459	+0	Up	+$274	01-01 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:45 UTC	131	$6.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	Up	+$718	01-02 08:59
will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	10	$6.0K	6,839	655	+6,184	Yes	+$1,298	08-21 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:15 UTC	23	$5.8K	5,872	0	+5,872	Down	+$59	01-03 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:45 UTC	31	$5.5K	5,486	100	+5,386	Up	+$68	01-12 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 17:00 UTC	38	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	+$60	01-11 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:30 UTC	80	$5.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Down	+$580	01-01 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:15 UTC	4	$5.0K	2,666	2,666	+0	Down	+$289	01-01 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:04:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x93d806…
11-12 17:00:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x6a8e06…
11-12 16:54:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf11a02…
11-12 16:31:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fad3b…
11-12 15:31:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb91010…
11-12 15:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c605b…
11-12 15:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	87	80¢	$69	0x382cb5…
11-12 15:19:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x847f7b…
11-12 15:19:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x281734…
11-12 15:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x3cee46…
11-12 15:07:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6aaf70…
11-12 13:31:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xff9b01…
11-12 13:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xfc429f…
11-12 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2fb476…
11-12 13:18:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x20f77f…
11-12 13:18:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x16b692…
11-12 13:16:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x45b3c3…
11-12 13:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x43253e…
11-12 11:21:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0x966a93…
11-11 22:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x67ffd4…
11-11 22:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb70f38…
11-11 22:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x591aa6…
11-11 22:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x4ef693…
11-11 22:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xaecb21…
11-11 22:29:18	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	325	17¢	$56	0xd8a699…
11-11 22:25:49	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0x552f33…
11-11 22:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x88b2d8…
11-11 22:12:16	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x043039…
11-11 21:49:46	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xe1ddfa…
11-11 21:49:16	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x9cd89b…
11-11 21:48:55	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xe83f4a…
11-11 21:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc31c0c…
11-11 21:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x55a28a…
11-11 21:46:06	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x616fa1…
11-11 21:42:40	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x562cf4…
11-11 21:41:21	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x8aa753…
11-11 21:39:49	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xcf7b64…
11-11 21:39:36	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9fa3ee…
11-11 21:37:52	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb44f87…
11-11 21:36:58	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x24f53a…
11-11 21:36:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf07ee1…
11-11 21:35:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x06e143…
11-11 21:34:07	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9efb7d…
11-11 21:34:07	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	34	63¢	$21	0x130173…
11-11 21:33:52	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x1b5a50…
11-11 21:33:30	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2ec8b1…
11-11 21:33:13	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xe678eb…
11-11 21:32:43	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x56bc11…
11-11 15:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0x0999b5…
11-11 14:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x86482d…
11-11 14:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88607e…
11-11 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9b326f…
11-11 14:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd41542…
11-11 14:47:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x112463…
11-11 14:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x6a46a0…
11-11 14:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xde4d9e…
11-11 14:35:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	136	27¢	$37	0xe9c096…
11-11 14:31:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	274	21¢	$58	0xa60134…
11-11 14:19:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	274	20¢	$55	0x508464…
11-11 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb74b72…
11-10 21:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x84bc2e…
11-10 21:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xa12a2d…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xfd7a85…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2bb896…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1db46e…
11-10 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x1497c5…
11-10 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x906389…
11-10 21:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x525b3c…
11-10 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7afd5f…
11-10 20:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	244	99¢	$242	0x3fb3d1…
11-10 20:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3be36b…
11-10 20:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xdbf357…
11-10 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4e845d…
11-10 20:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe1f826…
11-10 20:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x013283…
11-10 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x85194f…
11-10 20:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69e20c…
11-10 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x10154b…
11-10 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x03b0f0…
11-10 20:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaa9870…
11-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd09dba…
11-10 20:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x1b70f4…
11-10 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa8fb66…
11-10 20:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x46172b…
11-10 20:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xda38dd…
11-10 20:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9433fd…
11-10 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcab5fe…
11-10 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcf6fb9…
11-10 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xea77a9…
11-10 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1b913e…
11-10 20:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xab913d…
11-10 20:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd61579…
11-10 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ce202…
11-10 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x12ecf5…
11-10 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xef3195…
11-10 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x981e58…
11-10 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xca4990…
11-10 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x9118d1…
11-10 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x0a8b05…
11-10 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34b77f…