Qualified-Readiness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.61K

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$9.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-30 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 52% +$0

Politics

35% 100% +$1,529

Other

14% 33% $-4

Sports

12% 100% +$85

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-240	$-49	0¢	$-0	+$49	06-15 01:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	3	$979	821	821	+0	open	—	06-15 05:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$430	2,364	2,364	+0	open	—	05-27 01:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$369	1,695	1,695	+0	open	—	05-28 08:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	16	$307	2,008	2,008	+0	open	—	05-31 22:12
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	4	$257	441	441	+0	open	—	05-22 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$226	147	147	+0	open	—	04-29 22:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$213	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	06-15 14:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$180	6,548	4,048	+2,500	open	—	05-29 14:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$174	5,710	5,710	+0	open	—	06-02 10:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$160	3,512	179	+3,333	open	—	05-27 03:46
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	5	$149	1,368	0	+1,368	open	—	04-23 16:39
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$140	3,054	3,054	+0	open	—	05-21 06:40
btc updown 15m 1769930100	2	$134	215	212	+3	open	—	02-01 07:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$129	1,173	1,414	-240	open	—	06-15 01:12
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$125	105	105	+0	Sean Strickland	+$85	05-10 05:17
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$118	583	0	+583	open	—	06-22 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	2	$112	76	74	+2	open	—	04-28 09:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$105	1,634	0	+1,634	Yes	+$1,529	05-04 08:13
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$104	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	04-29 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	13	$97	1,303	808	+495	open	—	05-22 22:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$96	2,891	1,891	+1,000	open	—	06-17 22:54
btc updown 15m 1769929200	1	$93	131	0	+131	open	—	02-01 07:05
btc updown 15m 1768887900	2	$92	83	83	+0	open	—	01-20 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$90	450	0	+450	open	—	05-24 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$90	212	0	+212	open	—	05-24 15:56
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$89	59	59	+0	open	—	04-29 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	4	$85	114	56	+58	open	—	04-25 22:56
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?	4	$85	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	05-30 01:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$83	241	0	+241	open	—	01-30 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:25:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x5cf078…
06-30 06:24:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0x51307e…
06-29 23:25:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	175	8¢	$14	0x9e175d…
06-29 23:24:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	2,110	1¢	$15	0x2b8360…
06-29 06:31:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfb1acc…
06-29 00:59:20	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe751fc…
06-29 00:57:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x649b2c…
06-29 00:53:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x13912a…
06-27 08:22:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	234	3¢	$7	0x55ccb6…
06-27 08:22:20	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x0dcf07…
06-27 07:15:41	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x3d74dd…
06-27 07:13:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	2,110	2¢	$50	0xfd21ca…
06-27 03:40:31	btc updown 5m 1782531300	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5c94b2…
06-27 03:38:07	btc updown 5m 1782531300	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb3b053…
06-27 03:34:16	btc updown 5m 1782531000	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x296790…
06-22 08:07:25	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x9f5e36…
06-22 08:05:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xd4c1c5…
06-22 08:04:41	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	450	20¢	$90	0xc08929…
06-22 01:09:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	353	3¢	$12	0x65e8b7…
06-21 06:53:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	353	3¢	$12	0x4b72c0…
06-21 06:08:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	781	2¢	$13	0x55829d…
06-21 04:40:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6e4a9d…
06-21 04:02:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	656	8¢	$50	0x0cb325…
06-18 00:16:07	btc updown 5m 1781741700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x21a606…
06-18 00:11:41	btc updown 5m 1781741400	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbf93fc…
06-17 23:54:38	will trump speak to luiz incio lula da silva in june	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2e1e89…
06-17 23:21:53	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	BUY	492	2¢	$10	0xf03a97…
06-17 22:54:59	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0e3b7c…
06-17 04:07:34	btc updown 5m 1781669100	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x83c937…
06-17 01:25:17	btc updown 5m 1781659500	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x1fa4c1…
06-16 10:50:49	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	539	4¢	$22	0x944dd0…
06-16 10:49:36	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	334	5¢	$18	0x738406…
06-16 10:49:10	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	375	5¢	$19	0x3148b0…
06-16 04:00:22	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x5f46b3…
06-16 03:51:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	953	1¢	$10	0xb11e72…
06-15 15:07:58	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x144a4e…
06-15 14:19:13	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x59ae8a…
06-15 14:06:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	534	6¢	$33	0x81c01d…
06-15 10:50:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	534	13¢	$70	0xe37eb6…
06-15 05:24:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	953	3¢	$30	0x581960…
06-15 05:05:33	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	821	99¢	$813	0xb48c9b…
06-15 04:52:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9e5359…
06-15 04:52:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	938	2¢	$22	0x4d71fb…
06-15 04:38:19	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	696	21¢	$146	0x6bce14…
06-15 03:28:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	938	3¢	$30	0x756276…
06-15 03:28:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	216	13¢	$29	0x2ef3e0…
06-15 01:13:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	216	22¢	$48	0x9abbcb…
06-15 01:12:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	20¢	$49	0x37b11a…
06-11 13:11:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,173	3¢	$40	0x33f42d…
06-11 00:28:58	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x2c9c3b…
06-10 23:49:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0x263318…
06-10 23:49:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	253	4¢	$10	0x8dbe4d…
06-09 00:00:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5f805e…
06-08 23:45:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	6¢	$15	0x26d536…
06-08 14:49:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xa21939…
06-08 14:49:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	3¢	$20	0x40db37…
06-08 14:12:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	3¢	$18	0x42f368…
06-08 09:11:19	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	268	9¢	$24	0x8f5db1…
06-08 08:49:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x3b4079…
06-02 23:42:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x66e62e…
06-02 10:21:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x689f07…
06-02 07:00:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa4111b…
06-02 06:40:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	599	1¢	$4	0x79c908…
06-02 00:26:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x3d5262…
06-02 00:11:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x2dfcdf…
05-31 23:00:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xccd008…
05-31 22:13:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x9af81e…
05-31 22:12:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	452	0¢	$0	0xf33426…
05-31 22:12:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3,670	0¢	$4	0xdf4fe7…
05-30 01:28:16	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x327dd2…
05-30 01:12:50	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x0e040d…
05-30 01:12:40	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x5a6426…
05-29 14:56:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xbac736…
05-29 14:38:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xeaddc0…
05-29 14:38:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0x96d3b0…
05-29 08:47:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,039	0¢	$1	0xda2495…
05-28 09:28:01	Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	779	9¢	$68	0x568261…
05-28 08:20:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	1,010	1¢	$14	0x28297b…
05-28 00:29:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,039	0¢	$5	0x9748d7…
05-28 00:25:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,010	1¢	$10	0xa37fbd…
05-27 22:08:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x4c3622…
05-27 22:07:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x851e11…
05-27 03:46:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x9575a5…
05-27 03:46:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	No	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0x4beaba…
05-27 03:45:34	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	SELL	994	1¢	$5	0x81e506…
05-27 03:44:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x5408bc…
05-27 03:43:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,266	0¢	$6	0xf8b28c…
05-27 03:19:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x99a58c…
05-27 03:12:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3,516	2¢	$80	0xae6b38…
05-27 01:29:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	146	4¢	$6	0x51d648…
05-27 01:04:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	510	0¢	$2	0x13d9fb…
05-26 23:16:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	146	5¢	$8	0xb95c49…
05-26 23:13:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	897	1¢	$9	0xe0d9a8…
05-26 12:37:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	189	4¢	$7	0x1c99ad…
05-26 12:30:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	274	4¢	$10	0x3517f2…
05-26 10:21:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,976	3¢	$53	0xdb6bb8…
05-26 06:39:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	243	4¢	$9	0x941bdc…
05-26 05:01:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	510	1¢	$5	0xc0ef07…
05-26 04:32:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xcbceed…
05-26 04:05:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x3b01a3…