Realized P&L (7d)
-$115
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
18.9%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
36
37 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$906
$907 lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$568
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% $-108
Crypto
24% 20% $-6
Sports
12% 0% $-0
Politics
6% 60% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No -466 $-279 63¢ $-296 $-17 05-14 05:00
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -196 $-196 99¢ $-195 +$2 05-12 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -72 $-27 59¢ $-42 $-16 05-13 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15? Yes +32 $10 29¢ $9 $-1 05-14 03:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +112 $10 $8 $-2 05-09 00:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes -111 $-7 $-6 +$1 05-13 08:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -186 $-5 $-5 $-0 05-13 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15? Yes -51 $-9 $-4 +$5 05-14 03:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -604 $-1 $-2 $-0 05-13 21:33
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +303 $10 $0 $-10 05-10 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +160 $20 $0 $-20 05-13 00:52