Helpful-Product — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.99K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.90K

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$276.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$650

Open exposure

$1.13K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-16 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

46% 72% +$18,755

Politics

43% 66% -$4,426

Crypto

6% 100% +$115

Tech

4% 25% -$9,456

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes		+2,766	$925	24¢	$678	-$247	10-04 23:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8,301	$4,114	6¢	$457	-$3,658	05-26 22:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iraq by february 28	11	$22.5K	37,390	14,658	+22,732	Yes	+$5,701	03-03 14:07
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	8	$17.2K	22,156	0	+22,156	cancelled	-$6,167	09-10 08:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$16.6K	16,700	0	+16,700	No	+$115	06-03 21:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	10	$16.3K	16,670	0	+16,670	Yes	+$322	06-16 23:59
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	56	$12.2K	15,916	4,783	+11,132	Yes	+$912	03-24 04:09
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$12.1K	15,702	0	+15,702	Yes	-$12,103	10-16 22:48
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$12	01-20 23:17
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$12.0K	12,050	0	+12,050	Yes	+$96	02-02 11:23
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	9	$11.0K	12,741	0	+12,741	No	+$1,701	03-24 05:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$10.9K	15,309	0	+15,309	No	+$4,440	04-23 03:42
bitboy convicted	4	$10.2K	5,400	5,399	+1	No	+$470	04-01 04:08
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	5	$9.6K	12,224	0	+12,224	Yes	+$2,633	03-26 00:14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	3	$8.2K	8,879	0	+8,879	No	+$719	06-27 05:14
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$32	03-14 22:13
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	19	$7.9K	4,620	3,484	+1,136	Yes	+$181	03-13 23:52
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$7.4K	3,981	3,981	+0	Yes	+$569	05-02 13:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	13	$7.3K	12,484	9,718	+2,766	open	—	10-04 23:52
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?	29	$5.7K	5,874	0	+5,874	Yes	+$182	06-08 03:57
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	12	$5.5K	5,592	0	+5,592	No	+$131	06-08 04:13
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$5.2K	8,964	0	+8,964	No	-$5,200	04-08 21:42
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	11	$4.7K	4,855	0	+4,855	No	+$109	06-08 03:49
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$4.5K	4,567	0	+4,567	Yes	+$87	09-20 23:31
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	4	$4.4K	11,584	0	+11,584	No	-$4,413	04-08 21:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,221	2,221	+0	Yes	+$151	05-15 07:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.1K	8,301	0	+8,301	open	—	05-26 22:02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$3.9K	15,192	0	+15,192	Yes	+$11,338	05-11 23:21
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	10	$3.5K	14,445	11,575	+2,870	No	+$1,644	03-09 15:19
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	7	$3.1K	3,862	0	+3,862	Yes	+$188	05-15 11:02
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 11 2026	2	$2.7K	5,459	0	+5,459	Yes	+$278	04-12 03:18
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	15	$2.6K	61,100	2,275	+58,825	Yes	-$2,333	09-09 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 22:48:36	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	9,103	79¢	$7,155	0x7aaee6…
10-16 22:48:14	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	6,599	75¢	$4,948	0x90389d…
10-04 23:52:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,134	33¢	$374	0x0a3921…
10-04 23:51:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,184	32¢	$379	0xb51b95…
10-04 23:51:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0xd3631a…
10-04 23:50:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,415	33¢	$467	0xc4c200…
10-04 23:50:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,800	33¢	$1,254	0xb3f98f…
10-04 23:49:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,900	33¢	$627	0xabb04a…
10-04 23:47:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,484	33¢	$1,150	0x52ab6c…
10-04 23:46:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,741	33¢	$1,235	0xaff652…
10-04 23:46:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,741	33¢	$1,565	0x8067c8…
09-26 02:07:03	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0xee6149…
09-25 14:52:05	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	211	27¢	$57	0x21dbf2…
09-25 05:46:08	Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	1,174	24¢	$284	0x1b3e35…
09-25 05:46:06	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x981aea…
09-24 12:08:13	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	270	26¢	$69	0x8b8326…
09-24 12:08:13	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	1,426	48¢	$684	0x86763c…
09-24 12:08:13	Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	339	10¢	$35	0x7442ce…
09-20 23:31:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4,567	98¢	$4,480	0x315498…
09-20 22:55:47	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	BUY	290	19¢	$55	0x1450b4…
09-20 22:49:59	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x5bafa8…
09-20 22:49:58	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x9c660b…
09-20 22:49:50	Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xf09aae…
09-10 08:25:37	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	1,945	77¢	$1,498	0xde99fa…
09-10 08:07:39	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	1,673	75¢	$1,255	0x576d80…
09-10 08:05:30	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	3,109	76¢	$2,363	0xb8dd44…
09-10 08:04:36	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	3,111	76¢	$2,364	0xd7cb7a…
09-10 08:04:18	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	1,800	77¢	$1,386	0xbd5258…
09-10 08:04:01	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	3,678	76¢	$2,795	0x6d4f2f…
09-10 08:02:19	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	3,333	76¢	$2,533	0xf13380…
09-10 07:46:03	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Marsborne	BUY	3,507	87¢	$3,051	0xf26f0c…
09-09 08:29:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x27fdb0…
09-09 08:28:06	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	606	5¢	$30	0xdf1737…
09-09 08:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	878	5¢	$43	0xdb03c9…
09-09 08:25:01	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	487	5¢	$24	0xa15211…
09-09 08:00:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x1660ed…
09-09 07:28:28	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	173	5¢	$8	0x2549e2…
09-07 22:43:40	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5,000	4¢	$200	0x6aa496…
09-07 22:32:15	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x687532…
09-07 22:31:42	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xf80eb0…
09-07 22:31:01	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xb8c563…
09-07 22:30:46	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	20,000	4¢	$800	0x143af5…
09-07 22:30:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xa20b45…
09-07 22:29:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	29,588	4¢	$1,184	0xcdb7f9…
09-07 22:26:13	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x4240ca…
09-07 22:26:10	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5,405	4¢	$216	0x641386…
09-06 22:17:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x1cdc3f…
09-04 07:53:40	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x1b26da…
09-04 07:53:18	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	Yes	BUY	8,950	0¢	$9	0x298ad0…
08-17 06:51:00	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1,261	100¢	$1,256	0x4cee33…
08-03 23:40:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	1,265	66¢	$834	0xc2b32f…
08-01 12:38:23	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x3884c7…
08-01 12:28:57	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xebbfea…
08-01 12:28:56	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x502978…
08-01 12:28:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	368	23¢	$85	0x9c89b2…
08-01 12:08:26	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	325	67¢	$217	0xbe80ab…
07-29 23:18:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,250	88¢	$1,100	0x3680bb…
07-24 06:46:21	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,261	97¢	$1,224	0xfe9b28…
07-22 17:24:54	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	273	29¢	$80	0xc7d9b4…
07-21 01:40:12	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260718195951624	Yes	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0x33a2f2…
07-21 00:07:34	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	Yes	BUY	169	95¢	$160	0xe44b5d…
06-27 05:14:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0x5e9306…
06-27 05:14:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	8,721	92¢	$8,014	0xbfc679…
06-27 05:14:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x722074…
06-19 00:59:52	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xfa07f2…
06-16 23:59:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,322	99¢	$4,296	0xac7f9d…
06-16 02:39:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,210	98¢	$2,157	0x527947…
06-16 02:37:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,623	98¢	$3,536	0x90e27a…
06-16 02:35:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x70d0cc…
06-16 02:35:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,842	98¢	$4,726	0x1baa81…
06-16 02:34:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xd8cbf4…
06-16 02:34:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x87e4b8…
06-16 02:34:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x0dd1d7…
06-16 02:34:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,100	98¢	$1,074	0x5a709d…
06-16 02:33:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	499	98¢	$487	0x9315d1…
06-10 23:24:57	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1,145	93¢	$1,064	0xa820dd…
06-10 23:01:48	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	446	92¢	$411	0x82339f…
06-10 23:01:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	472	91¢	$429	0x406be8…
06-09 01:45:19	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x37c8d5…
06-09 01:45:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf784ae…
06-09 01:42:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x053d1f…
06-09 01:35:42	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5ea47c…
06-09 01:34:34	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xe857eb…
06-09 01:34:33	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x157753…
06-09 01:34:30	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb5e0c3…
06-09 01:34:28	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x052a82…
06-09 01:34:27	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xdca8db…
06-09 01:34:27	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x7e086b…
06-09 01:32:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x54b7fb…
06-09 01:32:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x50b1bd…
06-09 01:32:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x08a380…
06-09 01:30:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xceb56a…
06-09 01:27:40	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xcdd2da…
06-09 01:26:49	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x3daa38…
06-09 01:26:37	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xa3aa4e…
06-09 01:26:34	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x313869…
06-08 04:13:58	Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	No	BUY	198	98¢	$194	0x699330…
06-08 04:13:46	Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x2aa4e1…
06-08 03:57:48	Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,547	98¢	$1,516	0x34d130…
06-08 03:57:45	Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	No	BUY	1,362	98¢	$1,333	0xf91f13…