New-Bag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-32

Crypto

1% 0% $-9

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-06 03:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-23 03:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-21 16:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,450	850	+600	open	—	07-29 15:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-24 13:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.2K	800	600	+200	open	—	01-27 08:13
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	01-27 08:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$989	500	500	+0	open	—	03-12 04:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$681	607	607	+0	open	—	02-13 07:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$627	400	400	+0	open	—	04-05 05:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$599	0	600	-600	open	—	06-17 15:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$560	600	0	+600	open	—	06-17 15:02
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	1	$558	0	600	-600	open	—	05-29 00:52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$453	300	300	+0	open	—	04-17 13:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$435	700	0	+700	open	—	03-06 04:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$420	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	07-29 15:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$390	400	0	+400	open	—	04-08 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$388	300	200	+100	open	—	05-29 00:55
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$386	400	0	+400	open	—	03-12 04:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 15:14
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	5	$369	200	200	+0	open	—	05-30 21:05
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$365	400	200	+200	open	—	07-25 02:49
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$360	300	300	+0	open	—	04-05 16:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 14:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$357	200	200	+0	open	—	06-25 13:18
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	01-06 02:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$341	216	216	+0	open	—	05-27 00:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$341	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 04:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$334	279	279	+0	open	—	03-23 12:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$289	300	0	+300	open	—	06-22 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 15:17:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6b9e40…
07-29 15:15:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	76¢	$456	0xa308b9…
07-25 02:49:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0xa486f2…
07-25 02:49:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	105	51¢	$53	0x028eb7…
07-25 02:21:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0xffdaf4…
07-24 08:01:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	149	54¢	$81	0xfde3f3…
07-24 07:49:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xc299f0…
07-24 07:49:13	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x9fd6fb…
07-23 16:01:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x7b2155…
07-23 15:32:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x209045…
07-22 17:09:54	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x75f1ab…
07-22 15:25:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	400	35¢	$140	0xfa0852…
07-19 09:37:13	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd527df…
07-15 15:22:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x1c9ca7…
07-15 11:06:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x7333e5…
07-15 10:15:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	52¢	$234	0xdb381e…
07-15 03:31:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xa4218b…
07-15 03:31:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x58c939…
07-15 03:31:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xbdf2b9…
07-14 04:10:35	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xd24e30…
07-13 15:58:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0xdbe8ba…
07-09 13:48:22	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2d48bb…
07-02 04:34:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x3cc77c…
07-01 13:21:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x0a117c…
06-25 13:18:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$169	0xa4d9d5…
06-22 03:29:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x6b8822…
06-22 03:29:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf43be0…
06-22 03:28:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0c354…
06-22 03:26:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaab056…
06-22 03:23:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8aa5e…
06-22 03:22:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x328e26…
06-22 03:20:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfcecde…
06-22 03:16:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7c97f…
06-22 03:15:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9dc79…
06-22 03:15:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf03eba…
06-22 03:03:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe9840…
06-22 03:03:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x4fbe76…
06-22 02:53:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd20cbb…
06-22 02:52:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xef3b97…
06-22 02:45:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x034d14…
06-22 02:44:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x443b9d…
06-22 02:40:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4d5c56…
06-22 02:39:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd7d5a9…
06-22 02:35:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d91c2…
06-22 02:33:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe77751…
06-22 02:29:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0984ea…
06-22 02:27:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdc382d…
06-22 02:27:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44c9e5…
06-22 02:26:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf038f7…
06-22 02:25:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xb6b41b…
06-22 02:20:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4ac9cd…
06-22 02:16:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0x83ac71…
06-21 16:06:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	623	99¢	$619	0x852066…
06-18 02:11:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x3cc9a3…
06-17 15:02:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	600	93¢	$560	0x459e16…
06-17 15:01:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x919153…
06-17 14:56:11	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xef2979…
06-17 14:54:28	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x617877…
06-17 14:51:10	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6b0ed6…
06-17 14:42:58	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0fb023…
06-16 05:04:13	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x35413c…
06-16 05:03:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xb619b8…
06-14 21:18:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x804515…
06-14 06:08:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x98ea8a…
06-12 02:42:03	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xf14a80…
06-08 05:59:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x26093f…
06-08 05:57:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x52c5fc…
06-05 09:50:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa7b270…
06-05 09:09:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x11f53c…
06-05 07:17:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xce369f…
06-05 05:06:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xb08226…
06-05 05:05:58	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	156	89¢	$139	0x16e0ef…
06-04 02:54:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	700	94¢	$658	0x30687a…
06-04 02:06:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xbaefc4…
06-04 01:38:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xf23ee5…
06-04 01:38:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0xda70e4…
06-04 01:38:46	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x65750a…
06-04 01:37:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x4d4343…
06-02 17:11:06	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x7a02d4…
06-02 17:11:02	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xfb2421…
06-02 17:08:16	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	79¢	$59	0x00c4d7…
05-31 02:44:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xfda1e0…
05-30 21:05:22	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	163	95¢	$155	0x20db63…
05-30 20:39:34	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xffdd58…
05-30 19:58:59	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9f9f17…
05-29 16:04:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	72¢	$62	0x47c00d…
05-29 16:04:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x85fcad…
05-29 16:03:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x05dd64…
05-29 16:02:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xe486c7…
05-29 05:35:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0xfd6639…
05-29 04:58:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x75994b…
05-29 03:03:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x431442…
05-29 00:55:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xf0ec5b…
05-29 00:54:02	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4c036b…
05-29 00:52:52	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0xeb3b3b…
05-29 00:52:52	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$53	0x7a6327…
05-29 00:52:26	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	600	93¢	$558	0x064369…
05-29 00:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x63f3e0…
05-27 01:00:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6a1685…
05-27 00:59:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xf4c97b…