Official-Rehospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$171

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

186

Trades

1,282

lifetime

Volume

$147.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$3.02K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-25 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

60% 48% -$5,673

Other

33% 51% -$1,145

Sports

7% 25% +$580

Tech

0% 0% -$340

Crypto

0% 100% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$2,220	70¢	$2.1K	-$105	10-23 10:17
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+5,167	$339	10¢	$519	+$181	09-20 20:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$296	40¢	$199	-$98	10-01 00:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$190	32¢	$158	-$32	10-15 20:51
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+10,200	$142	0¢	$26	-$117	10-04 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$7.2K	10,263	10,263	+0	Yes	-$945	10-15 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	17	$6.1K	11,445	11,445	+0	No	-$1,167	09-21 09:19
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	16	$5.2K	10,217	0	+10,217	No	-$5,200	10-04 20:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	21	$5.0K	4,805	4,805	+0	Yes	+$363	06-13 23:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$4.8K	2,998	2,998	+0	No	+$696	05-25 02:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	43	$4.7K	9,281	2,205	+7,076	Yes	-$3,225	06-16 02:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	23	$4.3K	4,414	4,414	+0	No	+$331	05-25 18:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$4.1K	8,900	6,400	+2,500	No	-$329	10-15 20:43
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	14	$4.0K	2,691	2,691	+0	Yes	+$610	09-13 21:21
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	30	$3.9K	2,295	2,295	+0	No	+$168	09-28 17:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	9	$3.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	+$185	05-30 23:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	42	$3.7K	7,155	3,774	+3,381	Yes	-$1,120	06-12 17:10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$3.5K	6,217	3,109	+3,109	No	-$2,820	10-25 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$3.0K	1,927	1,927	+0	No	+$503	04-23 03:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	23	$2.8K	3,636	3,636	+0	Yes	+$467	06-14 22:52
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	25	$2.6K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$59	06-01 11:24
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$2.5K	2,048	2,048	+0	Yes	+$561	10-04 21:56
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	22	$2.5K	1,584	1,584	+0	No	+$642	05-23 09:42
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	40	$2.4K	2,160	2,160	+0	No	+$724	05-23 09:43
will wti reach 105 in september 2026	7	$2.3K	1,455	1,455	+0	Yes	+$304	09-15 15:11
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	32	$2.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$535	06-04 03:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-23 10:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	11	$2.1K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$115	06-12 19:19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	36	$1.9K	3,120	2,120	+1,000	No	+$35	06-14 00:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	8	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$181	06-13 23:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,292	1,292	+0	No	+$80	05-28 14:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$1.8K	1,848	1,848	+0	No	+$70	05-25 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	4	$1.8K	2,221	2,221	+0	No	-$199	09-18 23:27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	28	$1.7K	2,064	2,064	+0	Yes	-$293	06-01 11:17
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	33	$1.7K	4,456	4,456	+0	No	+$395	06-07 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:15:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,109	11¢	$330	0x55a7b2…
10-25 22:49:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0x6d0436…
10-25 22:27:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0xd1d720…
10-25 22:15:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0xf321e8…
10-25 22:03:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,653	60¢	$1,000	0x1f2fb2…
10-25 21:59:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,646	58¢	$950	0x334a17…
10-23 10:17:48	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,110	0x59e609…
10-15 20:51:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0xc20c43…
10-15 20:43:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	28¢	$700	0x4075c0…
10-15 10:49:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,125	18¢	$562	0xd4e1df…
10-14 23:30:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0x424761…
10-14 17:11:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,110	0x34a6a2…
10-14 14:09:09	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	185	70¢	$130	0x4dfb8c…
10-14 12:56:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,200	44¢	$1,409	0x39d6cc…
10-08 12:13:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,200	15¢	$480	0xfec72f…
10-08 11:02:17	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0xa069fb…
10-04 21:56:52	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	712	95¢	$677	0xc25eb5…
10-04 21:20:11	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	666	8¢	$50	0xc012a4…
10-04 20:43:43	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	628	32¢	$200	0xcbaf8c…
10-04 20:43:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,700	29¢	$500	0x070025…
10-04 20:43:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,008	23¢	$460	0x54ff20…
10-04 20:40:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,389	36¢	$500	0xe9ec69…
10-04 20:31:37	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	238	63¢	$150	0x4afd6f…
10-04 20:31:23	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	174	75¢	$130	0x879007…
10-04 20:24:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	58¢	$49	0x911460…
10-04 20:24:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x516f2b…
10-04 20:24:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x1ef638…
10-04 20:24:25	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	533	58¢	$309	0x2f7e75…
10-04 20:24:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xbaed2d…
10-04 20:24:13	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x94085d…
10-04 20:24:11	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	317	58¢	$184	0xdfb943…
10-04 18:19:34	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	250	52¢	$130	0x2fbba0…
10-04 18:19:31	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0x7e818d…
10-04 18:18:58	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x3e4dfc…
10-04 18:18:58	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	38¢	$16	0x07c017…
10-04 18:18:56	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	900	38¢	$341	0xa7f05b…
10-04 13:44:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	199	38¢	$76	0x50f5e6…
10-04 13:43:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	82	38¢	$31	0xd83eda…
10-04 13:43:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x3d638a…
10-04 13:42:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x2571d4…
10-04 13:41:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x0dcfb4…
10-04 13:34:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x9838de…
10-04 13:32:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x330487…
10-04 13:31:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x9dc0fd…
10-04 13:31:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xdf0f95…
10-04 13:30:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,489	38¢	$566	0xc41e09…
10-04 12:20:20	Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$42	0x69d01e…
10-04 12:18:28	Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	7,200	1¢	$100	0x8b70af…
10-04 09:54:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,338	37¢	$495	0x1edb2f…
10-03 23:06:49	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xc618da…
10-03 23:04:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	60¢	$27	0x4cb3b3…
10-03 23:03:31	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xf329be…
10-03 23:02:59	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,912	60¢	$1,147	0xc20e95…
10-03 23:00:55	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	60¢	$900	0x6a8d2f…
10-03 17:34:27	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	42¢	$419	0x9f80f2…
10-03 17:33:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0xe4f3a5…
10-02 18:08:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0x01cbb5…
10-02 09:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,600	25¢	$400	0x2a372e…
10-02 06:55:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,784	47¢	$839	0x8efd0d…
10-01 18:47:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	24¢	$600	0xb778c1…
10-01 00:01:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	59¢	$180	0x62efcd…
10-01 00:01:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	59¢	$117	0x16b6e5…
09-30 23:47:17	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,100	45¢	$495	0x6ce08a…
09-30 18:15:18	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	533	83¢	$443	0xa59a3d…
09-30 17:49:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	374	40¢	$150	0x11144d…
09-30 17:09:21	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9f2baf…
09-30 17:09:20	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	70	83¢	$59	0x6dd326…
09-30 17:09:20	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$34	0x1802e3…
09-30 16:02:30	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	237	64¢	$152	0xb10da1…
09-30 16:02:30	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	290	64¢	$186	0x7d972c…
09-30 11:09:53	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	572	64¢	$368	0x121137…
09-28 17:48:26	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	530	87¢	$461	0xa85e6f…
09-28 17:48:26	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x334364…
09-28 16:50:56	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x3154a6…
09-28 16:50:54	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xf35f01…
09-28 16:50:54	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0xc3e0a4…
09-28 16:50:54	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x80ea4b…
09-28 16:50:54	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0x7d6db8…
09-28 16:35:29	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	57	87¢	$50	0xa607fb…
09-28 16:35:21	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	214	87¢	$187	0xe9903b…
09-28 14:08:14	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x961a1a…
09-28 13:23:36	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4a4c15…
09-28 13:20:24	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7500a1…
09-28 12:13:35	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x0f3fa4…
09-28 02:42:06	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	214	87¢	$186	0xb2e7e3…
09-26 02:10:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x964ddd…
09-26 02:03:03	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0x12aaad…
09-25 12:38:38	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	500	66¢	$329	0x5cc98c…
09-23 02:52:43	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6a2f09…
09-23 01:14:40	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x8b8991…
09-23 01:14:01	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe866b9…
09-21 10:59:21	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc5f88a…
09-21 09:19:57	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	8,583	17¢	$1,488	0xe164e2…
09-21 01:09:47	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0xfa7efa…
09-21 00:32:40	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x4c6e4a…
09-20 20:18:55	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$150	0xcaf2c4…
09-20 19:48:13	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x0342e3…
09-20 19:18:49	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	793	35¢	$278	0x014ec7…
09-20 19:00:29	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	284	89¢	$253	0x300b9f…
09-20 18:53:40	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb483cc…