Official-Rehospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

563

lifetime

Volume

$60.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$842

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-16 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

66% 33% +$406

Other

34% 50% +$1,148

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by June 30?	No		-480	$-432	99¢	$-474	$-42	06-01 15:49
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No		+657	$310	56¢	$368	+$58	06-12 11:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$4.7K	2,998	2,898	+100	open	—	05-25 02:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	40	$4.5K	9,258	1,205	+8,053	open	—	06-16 02:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	22	$4.0K	4,414	3,934	+480	open	—	05-25 18:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	17	$3.8K	4,005	3,417	+588	open	—	06-13 17:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	9	$3.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-30 23:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	42	$3.7K	7,155	3,774	+3,381	open	—	06-12 17:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$3.0K	1,927	1,927	+0	open	—	04-23 03:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	19	$2.6K	3,636	3,131	+505	open	—	06-14 22:52
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	39	$2.2K	2,160	1,910	+250	open	—	05-16 22:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	8	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-13 23:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$1.8K	1,848	1,848	+0	open	—	05-25 22:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$1.6K	1,874	0	+1,874	open	—	04-15 21:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$1.4K	908	1,408	-500	open	—	05-26 21:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$1.2K	842	842	+0	open	—	05-28 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	712	912	-200	open	—	05-28 14:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,862	1,662	+200	open	—	05-21 17:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-03 17:50
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$1.0K	597	597	+0	open	—	05-02 16:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	6	$995	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-28 14:26
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	21	$928	1,584	0	+1,584	open	—	05-16 22:11
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$766	500	1,660	-1,160	open	—	06-07 19:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	8	$752	931	931	+0	open	—	04-20 10:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$741	3,600	2,020	+1,580	open	—	05-15 18:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$690	982	982	+0	open	—	04-21 23:16
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$580	6,513	119	+6,394	open	—	04-26 00:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$566	845	100	+745	open	—	04-15 02:26
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	7	$552	800	0	+800	open	—	05-16 06:43
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$432	0	480	-480	open	—	06-01 15:49
Kash Patel out by April 30?	3	$424	499	0	+499	open	—	04-26 20:21
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$400	300	300	+0	open	—	05-30 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 02:00:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	153	16¢	$24	0xe281db…
06-16 00:47:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x642713…
06-15 23:56:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x850c89…
06-15 23:19:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xb16ad0…
06-15 23:19:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x2aadfc…
06-15 22:02:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	619	25¢	$155	0xc0ec20…
06-15 19:55:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	77	19¢	$15	0x63b3f9…
06-15 19:53:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x7e3b10…
06-15 19:53:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	323	18¢	$58	0x4ed41b…
06-15 15:41:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,015	10¢	$100	0xbe533f…
06-14 22:52:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x4facd8…
06-14 08:05:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,979	25¢	$495	0x5c22c3…
06-14 03:33:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	610	40¢	$244	0x28a742…
06-14 00:00:27	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4bd516…
06-13 23:50:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	495	79¢	$391	0x7b85c8…
06-13 21:23:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	267	50¢	$133	0xa5e712…
06-13 18:45:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8dcb8b…
06-13 18:24:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	86	50¢	$43	0xa7b060…
06-13 18:18:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x313d4d…
06-13 18:18:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xc25390…
06-13 17:47:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	373	78¢	$291	0xd75240…
06-13 17:47:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	122	78¢	$95	0xbf0477…
06-13 17:42:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xaaa56a…
06-13 17:42:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	588	71¢	$418	0xf6bec9…
06-13 17:42:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	538	44¢	$236	0xc136bb…
06-13 16:48:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,075	60¢	$645	0x29a858…
06-13 11:33:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	561	34¢	$192	0xa37eda…
06-13 11:33:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	198	35¢	$69	0xa2795a…
06-13 11:33:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x84a7fb…
06-13 01:49:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,176	63¢	$745	0x84e114…
06-12 23:23:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,026	34¢	$350	0xd55c5d…
06-12 20:35:42	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$132	0x49df19…
06-12 19:50:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	820	25¢	$205	0x0359b6…
06-12 19:49:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x3a27a6…
06-12 19:20:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	800	31¢	$248	0x5c9095…
06-12 19:19:55	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x1aae37…
06-12 19:19:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$146	0x36fe08…
06-12 17:10:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x9cef51…
06-12 15:44:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x9c88d0…
06-12 15:39:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	691	13¢	$88	0xc6e182…
06-12 15:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xe7c8e5…
06-12 15:38:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	79	12¢	$10	0x1b3e43…
06-12 15:03:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	69¢	$480	0x11ccf2…
06-12 13:48:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,572	25¢	$393	0xef124f…
06-12 11:12:49	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x39b528…
06-12 07:19:58	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xac2f4e…
06-11 18:58:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	190	20¢	$38	0x95f66f…
06-11 18:14:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	913	60¢	$548	0x88114a…
06-11 18:14:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	87	59¢	$51	0x3e30fc…
06-11 18:14:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	346	42¢	$145	0x5bbc35…
06-11 18:14:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,307	42¢	$549	0x3790d5…
06-11 18:11:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	810	20¢	$162	0x9224d9…
06-11 17:31:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,009	60¢	$606	0x61735c…
06-11 17:31:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x8d551d…
06-11 17:31:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1af91e…
06-11 17:31:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x16cdab…
06-11 17:30:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	231	60¢	$138	0xa9b28c…
06-11 17:21:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	132	32¢	$42	0x75bf0c…
06-11 17:19:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	220	32¢	$70	0x58dad3…
06-11 17:07:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	216	32¢	$69	0xc05267…
06-11 17:05:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	216	32¢	$69	0xde3766…
06-11 16:24:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdc82d9…
06-11 16:01:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	211	32¢	$67	0x20a240…
06-11 13:16:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	Yes	SELL	377	1¢	$5	0x927093…
06-11 11:10:07	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0xd630e4…
06-11 08:25:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	12	44¢	$6	0x635a05…
06-11 03:30:52	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf6c8a6…
06-11 02:26:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	Yes	SELL	123	5¢	$7	0x7e8e68…
06-11 02:07:18	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x68b405…
06-11 00:30:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	171	14¢	$23	0x83c9bf…
06-11 00:17:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x390dd6…
06-11 00:04:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x140764…
06-10 23:00:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$19	0x0bb8fa…
06-10 19:18:13	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb52752…
06-10 17:20:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,085	40¢	$834	0x0c4ccb…
06-10 17:18:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xf6852a…
06-10 17:12:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0x4f19a4…
06-09 21:40:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x74bd17…
06-09 15:58:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x42e350…
06-09 15:51:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	31	60¢	$18	0x099558…
06-09 15:47:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x10e0f6…
06-09 15:31:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xac0a29…
06-09 15:26:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x8c7410…
06-09 15:19:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc10fe5…
06-09 15:19:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc9450c…
06-09 15:19:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	768	60¢	$461	0x5330cd…
06-09 09:44:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x54b641…
06-09 03:37:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	104	35¢	$36	0x6c961e…
06-08 21:06:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3b9817…
06-08 20:52:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	705	33¢	$233	0xd5d5a3…
06-08 20:45:21	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0x918ef4…
06-08 16:17:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0xc3f3d9…
06-08 08:10:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x998e7d…
06-08 08:05:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x040b09…
06-08 02:00:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x4d03e1…
06-08 01:55:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	10¢	$9	0x9f7472…
06-08 01:40:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0x857730…
06-07 23:52:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	586	74¢	$434	0xcf2302…
06-07 23:23:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf4caae…
06-07 23:23:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xbee946…