Itchy-Cohesion-Skull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

231

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$130.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 09-13 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

60% 75% +$530

Politics

39% 74% +$853

Crypto

1% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	5	$5.6K	2,828	2,828	+0	No	+$51	09-01 11:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	10	$5.5K	2,807	2,807	+0	Yes	+$91	07-28 04:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	12	$4.5K	2,679	2,679	+0	Yes	+$790	07-26 03:51
chi sgr zhe 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	21	$4.3K	3,557	2,500	+1,057	Over	-$491	07-05 13:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	6	$3.8K	1,997	1,997	+0	No	-$48	05-28 16:01
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	37	$3.5K	6,759	500	+6,259	Over	-$2,599	07-06 01:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	43	$3.3K	3,072	3,072	+0	No	-$653	06-29 16:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$3.3K	2,198	2,198	+0	No	-$495	05-25 11:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	8	$3.2K	1,675	1,675	+0	Yes	+$98	07-23 06:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	6	$3.0K	1,525	1,525	+0	Yes	+$48	08-10 06:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	9	$2.9K	3,683	0	+3,683	No	+$748	09-02 08:13
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	32	$2.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	Under	+$243	07-03 04:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,977	0	+2,977	No	+$476	06-13 07:55
fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	22	$2.5K	1,617	1,617	+0	Over	+$267	06-28 03:54
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	24	$2.4K	2,300	1,800	+500	Over	-$340	07-03 00:50
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	33	$2.4K	1,660	1,301	+359	Under	+$193	06-30 22:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	5	$2.3K	1,230	1,230	+0	Yes	+$113	08-15 01:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	6	$2.1K	2,320	0	+2,320	No	+$268	07-28 04:22
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	6	$2.0K	2,096	0	+2,096	Yes	+$49	08-31 23:03
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$1.9K	2,270	0	+2,270	No	+$368	08-17 10:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,149	0	+2,149	No	+$279	05-30 12:46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$1.8K	1,947	0	+1,947	No	+$175	05-27 13:35
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	4	$1.7K	2,100	1,000	+1,100	Over	-$787	07-07 00:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,772	0	+1,772	No	+$115	05-26 04:31
swe bro gais 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	7	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	Under	+$192	07-06 18:30
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	4	$1.6K	1,756	100	+1,656	No	+$118	08-10 06:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	10	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$13	07-21 06:11
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	10	$1.4K	1,300	800	+500	Under	+$233	07-03 23:29
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	62	$1.3K	9,888	8,395	+1,492	No	+$124	05-22 20:54
swe elf hif 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	7	$1.2K	723	722	+0	Under	+$48	07-05 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 23:27:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	43¢	$29	0x690991…
09-13 23:04:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x068812…
09-13 23:04:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x54128b…
09-13 22:36:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbae302…
09-13 22:36:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x8af632…
09-13 22:29:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xce55d8…
09-13 22:29:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xe5ad2a…
09-13 19:17:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x60044c…
09-13 09:40:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	42¢	$220	0xb56b89…
09-13 09:32:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	43¢	$26	0xfaf9bc…
09-11 07:07:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x2e4a64…
09-02 11:31:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xaa3cac…
09-02 11:29:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	500	87¢	$435	0xff0066…
09-02 08:13:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0xef7bd8…
09-02 07:19:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x425a8b…
09-02 06:56:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x27978e…
09-02 06:38:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x5be102…
09-02 06:24:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x37fcec…
09-02 06:08:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7f4d19…
09-02 06:08:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,845	81¢	$2,305	0x8c3cbd…
09-01 13:17:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x0c354e…
09-01 13:17:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0xecc902…
09-01 11:10:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	1,103	100¢	$1,102	0x2a1f55…
08-31 23:03:43	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	267	99¢	$264	0x0249d0…
08-31 20:04:30	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	311	98¢	$304	0x8fac1b…
08-31 20:03:55	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	888	98¢	$867	0x62b6d4…
08-31 20:03:40	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	291	97¢	$283	0x7df62c…
08-31 20:03:16	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	1,493	100¢	$1,488	0x6a8c7e…
08-31 20:02:52	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xbdffb0…
08-31 16:51:12	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xfff4f4…
08-31 16:50:24	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0xe535a4…
08-28 17:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	33¢	$330	0x11dcf5…
08-28 14:49:10	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$182	0xab447a…
08-28 14:37:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	2,641	98¢	$2,589	0x89364f…
08-28 14:03:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xbc596d…
08-26 16:09:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0x67364d…
08-26 16:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2f655e…
08-26 12:23:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf52f55…
08-26 12:23:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe8cd69…
08-26 12:23:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x3604a9…
08-26 12:22:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x65e03e…
08-25 19:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x203dd0…
08-25 19:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	350	35¢	$123	0x16c613…
08-25 18:57:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0xa5910d…
08-23 15:11:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	241	65¢	$156	0xb1d600…
08-22 10:44:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x5b5a4c…
08-22 10:12:24	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x8dd29d…
08-22 10:12:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4de3f3…
08-17 10:44:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	580	72¢	$419	0x71ea2a…
08-17 10:30:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x7a5338…
08-17 10:27:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x9d1ae5…
08-17 07:21:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xb48e22…
08-15 01:58:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,393	86¢	$1,198	0x2391cc…
08-15 01:57:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	1,203	100¢	$1,198	0x4fb11f…
08-10 06:05:25	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	1,656	92¢	$1,523	0xde5c59…
08-10 06:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1,525	100¢	$1,522	0xb3ff52…
08-07 19:04:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	658	97¢	$637	0x6c8055…
08-07 19:03:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	590	97¢	$571	0xd596c5…
08-07 19:03:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$58	0x0264c5…
08-07 19:03:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xe6b2e6…
08-07 19:03:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd5d793…
08-07 19:02:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xb8c6b7…
08-07 18:59:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,203	90¢	$1,083	0x4225a6…
08-04 19:04:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x91eeb5…
08-04 18:05:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x5c5b82…
07-28 04:22:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	758	87¢	$660	0x8f0cfb…
07-28 04:09:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x876f68…
07-28 00:44:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	300	6¢	$17	0x9b7f7a…
07-27 23:09:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	269	5¢	$14	0xc3b189…
07-27 23:09:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	9,731	5¢	$506	0xa67fc7…
07-27 22:03:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	181	5¢	$10	0xc92492…
07-27 21:38:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	65	5¢	$4	0x073866…
07-27 21:32:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x8b5c41…
07-27 21:29:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	831	5¢	$44	0xe306cd…
07-27 21:28:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x9814a7…
07-27 21:05:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6b2680…
07-27 20:51:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1,115	6¢	$62	0x750e34…
07-27 20:51:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	885	6¢	$50	0x044906…
07-27 20:46:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	685	100¢	$682	0xe09d5f…
07-27 20:34:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x99b06a…
07-27 20:33:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	660	99¢	$656	0xe15ba8…
07-27 15:53:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	131	89¢	$116	0x31a59e…
07-27 15:32:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	1,211	89¢	$1,078	0xd6d46c…
07-27 15:22:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	187	90¢	$168	0x6e8ebf…
07-27 15:12:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x58201b…
07-27 15:00:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8b78a4…
07-27 14:56:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	559	99¢	$554	0x0a2c84…
07-27 14:48:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x55b516…
07-27 14:19:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	741	99¢	$733	0xf4a38b…
07-27 04:49:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f0ef1…
07-26 10:03:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	2,786	96¢	$2,675	0x76cca8…
07-26 08:39:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1ca321…
07-26 03:51:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	2,533	100¢	$2,523	0xab1fed…
07-23 21:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	55	72¢	$39	0xc3d644…
07-23 21:19:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x459f09…
07-23 21:19:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	90	72¢	$65	0x4feeca…
07-23 20:36:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	819	68¢	$557	0xb95083…
07-23 20:35:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xe4cd1d…
07-23 20:35:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	156	68¢	$106	0xb04b7c…
07-23 20:30:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x0c5cd6…