Market | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$6,260,540

Trades

18,116

Unique wallets

2,683

Liquidity

$0

End date

1970-01-01

First seen

2026-06-28

last 07-03 01:21

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Open-Fingernail-Bullet +669,221 Frail-Possible +510,010 (anon) +501,947 (anon) +435,810 (anon) +370,370 (anon) +222,340 Scary-Edible +111,993 (anon) +104,078

NO holders

Frail-Possible +482,155 Substantial-Service +473,959 Homely-Gosling +417,623 (anon) +250,000 Agitated-Bricklaying +170,371 Edible-Gum +168,259 Miserable-Poison +123,941 Scary-Edible +108,897

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -9.3¢ (top1%: 39% YES on $1.30M vs crowd: 48% YES on $5.29M)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	235	$2.26M	$2.27M	$10.8K
🐬 Dolphin	441	$210.4K	$410.9K	$200.6K
🐟 Fish	647	$53.8K	$42.0K	+$11.8K
🦐 Shrimp	1,360	$30.8K	$19.0K	+$11.8K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	100	$507.1K	$794.4K	$287.3K
🏆 Top 5%	128	$106.3K	$59.4K	+$46.9K
✅ Top 10%	81	$4.8K	$1.8K	+$2.9K
Median	77	$30.4K	$6.3K	+$24.1K
Below median	203	$4.9K	$6.1K	$1.2K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	102	$12.5K	$8.7K	+$3.8K
🔻 Bottom 5%	129	$370.7K	$55.0K	+$315.7K
💀 Bottom 1%	82	$78.6K	$385.5K	$306.9K
unranked	1,781	$1.44M	$1.42M	+$14.2K

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Open-Fingernail-Bullet 0x10a6…4d8b	Over	+669,221	$335,172	$335,172	16	07-02 00:38
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	Over	+510,010	$265,335	$265,335	169	07-03 00:51
(anonymous) 0x9d5d…e218	Over	+501,947	$262,537	$262,537	49	07-02 22:17
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	Under	+482,155	$271,505	$271,505	173	07-03 00:51
Substantial-Service 0x2c33…0563	Under	+473,959	$218,683	$218,683	237	07-02 22:56
(anonymous) 0x224a…a3d5	Over	+435,810	$222,714	$222,714	106	07-03 00:50
Homely-Gosling 0xf031…c80c	Under	+417,623	$192,023	$192,023	177	07-02 23:00
(anonymous) 0x25d3…efe2	Over	+370,370	$200,000	$200,000	2	07-02 22:53
(anonymous) 0x7923…6c0b	Under	+250,000	$125,000	$125,000	1	07-01 23:53
(anonymous) 0xc6a6…9458	Over	+222,340	$115,362	$115,362	63	07-02 22:40
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	Under	+170,371	$103,395	$103,395	213	07-03 00:38
Edible-Gum 0x3f3a…e8fd	Under	+168,259	$79,529	$79,529	24	07-03 00:30
Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5	Under	+123,941	$78,530	$78,530	87	07-03 00:11
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	Over	+111,993	$51,002	$51,002	163	07-03 00:51
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	Under	+108,897	$61,965	$61,965	249	07-03 00:52
(anonymous) 0x580d…eb6d	Over	+104,078	$56,734	$133,984	52	07-02 22:02
(anonymous) 0xc6a6…9458	Under	+103,835	$50,620	$50,620	2	07-02 21:56
(anonymous) 0x224a…a3d5	Under	+97,271	$51,398	$51,398	41	07-03 00:50
Exemplary-Shoreline 0xa6d1…286a	Under	+92,838	$43,261	$43,261	16	07-02 21:29
Optimal-Tab 0x208c…6b98	Under	+78,584	$36,085	$36,085	80	07-02 22:38
(anonymous) 0x06f2…1269	Over	+70,548	$42,597	$42,597	32	07-03 00:53
(anonymous) 0x06f2…1269	Under	+70,547	$35,105	$35,105	82	07-03 00:53
Nonstop-Hearsay 0x3af1…d739	Under	+66,666	$31,500	$31,500	3	07-02 21:40
Skinny-Brushing 0xe4d6…308a	Over	+66,287	$31,155	$31,155	2	07-01 14:01
(anonymous) 0x02af…aaa9	Under	+62,451	$29,334	$29,334	24	07-02 21:54
(anonymous) 0x162c…6c47	Under	+61,702	$29,617	$29,617	4	07-02 21:48
Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7	Under	+52,363	$24,593	$24,593	55	07-02 22:18
Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7	Over	+52,362	$27,871	$27,871	95	07-02 22:42
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Under	+51,093	$24,456	$32,852	123	07-03 00:52
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	Over	+50,311	$27,579	$27,579	376	07-03 00:38
Automatic-Kind 0xa080…234f	Under	+49,999	$22,775	$22,775	210	07-02 14:31
Good-Natured-Conduct 0x9854…6bf2	Over	+49,730	$26,923	$27,077	2	07-03 00:48
Practical-Definition 0x613b…823a	Under	+49,372	$25,999	$25,999	9	07-03 00:53
(anonymous) 0xa1f3…d99c	Under	+47,769	$22,925	$22,925	12	07-02 21:48
Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7	Under	+46,196	$26,650	$26,650	36	07-03 00:51
(anonymous) 0x00c4…92c2	Under	+44,236	$20,742	$20,742	105	07-02 22:02
(anonymous) 0x00c4…92c2	Over	+44,235	$23,593	$23,593	132	07-02 22:42
Open-Fingernail-Bullet 0x10a6…4d8b	Under	+42,993	$19,341	$19,341	1	07-02 14:46
(anonymous) 0x3d85…197f	Under	+41,468	$19,246	$19,246	22	07-02 21:27
Shady-Curse 0xa0da…1f80	Under	+41,024	$19,999	$19,999	1	07-02 22:01
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	Under	+40,082	$24,081	$24,081	80	07-03 00:50
(anonymous) 0x83b4…23fe	Under	+40,030	$18,414	$18,846	47	07-02 22:54
Gleeful-Sherry 0x8d06…7910	Over	+38,011	$27,009	$36,287	18	07-03 00:39
(anonymous) 0xd86e…45ce	Under	+36,903	$17,713	$17,713	1	07-02 21:47
Wordy-Littleneck 0x3dfb…abaf	Over	+35,573	$16,215	$16,215	12	07-02 23:25
Distant-Tunnel 0xf152…64aa	Over	+30,000	$15,600	$15,600	2	07-02 21:43
Medical-Fund 0xe653…c4a7	Under	+30,000	$16,350	$16,350	5	07-02 23:27
Last-Ascend 0x8325…19cc	Over	+28,196	$14,516	$29,637	91	07-03 00:42
Aged-Assistance 0x7ecc…6c37	Over	+24,451	$24,390	$24,390	49	07-03 01:01
Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1	Over	+24,311	$24,250	$24,250	86	07-03 01:18
Decent-Armrest 0xfc25…1f7f	Over	+20,418	$20,214	$20,214	52	07-03 00:54
(anonymous) 0x992a…9543	Over	+20,100	$20,050	$20,050	83	07-03 00:57
Unacceptable-Barn 0xdf80…3259	Over	+19,998	$11,251	$11,251	30	07-03 00:40
Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5	Over	+19,647	$10,370	$10,370	17	07-02 23:08
(anonymous) 0x228b…af4c	Over	+18,473	$9,041	$9,041	32	07-03 00:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Over	+18,034	$8,063	$19,191	278	07-03 01:21
Irresponsible-Autumn 0xd9e0…05f2	Over	+17,155	$7,753	$7,753	100	07-03 00:50
True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21	Over	+16,000	$8,472	$8,472	26	07-03 00:13
Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215	Over	+15,937	$8,246	$8,246	31	07-02 22:55
Substantial-Service 0x2c33…0563	Over	+15,162	$6,687	$6,687	13	07-03 00:43

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