Decent-Armrest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$273.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.41K

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

15,341

Trades

341,337

lifetime

Volume

$308.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$905

Open exposure

$96.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Other

71% 98% +$230,913

Sports

27% 98% +$33,139

Politics

1% 100% +$12,415

Crypto

0% 95% -$3,412

Tech

0% 100% +$87

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2171 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+60,000	$56,376	96¢	$57.6K	+$1,224	10-28 03:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+40,000	$37,200	96¢	$38.4K	+$1,200	10-27 16:39
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	—	+448	$448	98¢	$437	-$11	10-28 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	769	$3.16M	1,468,962	2,243,205	-774,243	Yes	-$745	02-03 23:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	994	$1.98M	1,231,492	970,294	+261,197	No	+$6,744	03-01 01:36
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	1	$674.3K	675,000	0	+675,000	Yes	+$675	10-02 20:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	127	$668.7K	670,000	0	+670,000	No	+$1,340	09-16 15:01
Broncos vs. Chiefs	11	$668.3K	669,000	0	+669,000	Chiefs	+$669	09-15 03:22
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	9	$664.3K	665,000	0	+665,000	Yes	+$665	10-01 20:46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	2	$639.4K	620,000	20,000	+600,000	Yes	+$600	10-15 18:46
49ers vs. Raiders	4	$629.6K	630,224	0	+630,224	49ers	+$630	08-28 03:00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	141	$629.2K	630,000	0	+630,000	No	+$810	07-07 22:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	3	$621.4K	622,000	0	+622,000	Yes	+$622	10-14 20:56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	151	$619.4K	620,017	0	+620,017	Yes	+$620	07-05 22:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	157	$615.6K	524,708	91,979	+432,728	No	+$869	06-29 22:57
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	1	$611.4K	612,000	0	+612,000	Yes	+$612	09-14 18:27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	6	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	10-13 20:58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	1	$569.4K	570,000	0	+570,000	Yes	+$570	08-30 14:57
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	54	$567.6K	568,127	0	+568,127	Yes	+$568	10-18 15:10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	162	$564.4K	377,713	188,463	+189,250	LGD Gaming	+$1,342	04-30 13:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	11	$563.2K	563,720	0	+563,720	No	+$564	07-06 21:04
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	844	$562.0K	563,550	0	+563,550	Yes	+$1,585	07-04 19:12
cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20	1	$549.5K	550,000	0	+550,000	FURIA	+$550	08-20 19:51
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	421	$529.5K	530,000	0	+530,000	Yes	+$530	10-27 01:39
wnba ind las 2026 07 12	39	$529.0K	529,554	0	+529,554	Indiana Fever	+$530	07-13 03:36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	9	$526.5K	527,000	0	+527,000	Yes	+$527	09-13 14:54
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	40	$499.5K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	+$500	07-03 20:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$499.0K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	+$1,000	06-03 23:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	55	$474.2K	474,793	0	+474,793	Yes	+$599	10-26 01:48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	154	$468.1K	470,000	0	+470,000	No	+$1,860	07-04 00:02
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	50	$449.6K	450,000	0	+450,000	Team Yandex	+$450	08-20 12:55
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	36	$445.1K	445,591	0	+445,591	Yes	+$446	08-23 20:58
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	55	$444.8K	450,000	0	+450,000	No	+$5,200	07-18 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:17:14	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x154576…
10-28 16:52:50	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2b09a7…
10-28 16:38:32	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x558764…
10-28 16:37:58	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x90b6bb…
10-28 16:36:49	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x93e431…
10-28 16:35:13	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x321fe2…
10-28 16:34:44	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9f049b…
10-28 06:13:26	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x17eb45…
10-28 06:12:55	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x0f4e52…
10-28 06:05:13	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8f070e…
10-28 06:01:37	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75d866…
10-28 06:00:25	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,200	100¢	$2,198	0x703ad8…
10-28 06:00:20	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x49ad80…
10-28 06:00:13	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x3e3aa3…
10-28 06:00:01	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	6,150	100¢	$6,144	0x6c2fe6…
10-28 05:59:01	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xf41222…
10-28 05:58:25	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x08ee48…
10-28 05:58:23	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xcc140a…
10-28 05:58:16	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd8e162…
10-28 05:58:16	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	635	100¢	$634	0xcb916c…
10-28 05:58:10	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x20ede2…
10-28 05:58:02	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	4,671	100¢	$4,666	0x14beca…
10-28 05:57:56	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xf1b4b3…
10-28 05:57:56	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xabcf8a…
10-28 05:57:43	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5852ab…
10-28 05:57:28	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,110	0x01fa55…
10-28 05:57:22	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5b7f7b…
10-28 05:57:08	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14b625…
10-28 05:57:02	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	649	100¢	$648	0x5464da…
10-28 05:56:55	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa81002…
10-28 05:54:55	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0f331…
10-28 05:53:28	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbdd51…
10-28 05:53:13	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb7731c…
10-28 05:52:07	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf64e9a…
10-28 05:51:26	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,132	0x6e095a…
10-28 05:50:38	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 255.5	Over	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x268a93…
10-28 05:49:01	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 251.5	Over	BUY	839	100¢	$838	0x181dc2…
10-28 05:48:23	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 251.5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc3f37e…
10-28 05:46:37	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x8b5970…
10-28 05:46:13	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 251.5	Over	BUY	1,967	100¢	$1,965	0x1d696d…
10-28 05:45:47	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe0aa87…
10-28 05:44:59	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x759af1…
10-28 05:20:07	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5d44d…
10-28 05:20:07	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	1,788	96¢	$1,717	0x7e16fb…
10-28 05:20:07	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	206	93¢	$193	0x52ea38…
10-28 05:20:05	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	409	94¢	$385	0xdc527b…
10-28 05:20:05	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xcfdcf5…
10-28 05:20:05	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x8fef00…
10-28 05:20:05	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sharks	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x3042aa…
10-28 04:41:53	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x621167…
10-28 04:41:10	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaa0c6f…
10-28 04:40:35	Senators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb53ddf…
10-28 04:24:38	1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x03f829…
10-28 04:24:07	1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdc3572…
10-28 03:58:44	Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x52c015…
10-28 03:58:04	Wild vs. Utah: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x8d3535…
10-28 03:53:22	Spread: Utah (-1.5)	Wild	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x0876aa…
10-28 03:42:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	95¢	$19,080	0xe348dc…
10-28 03:36:15	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38bd67…
10-28 03:30:33	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c3e57…
10-28 03:28:09	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x3e718f…
10-28 03:25:16	Spread: Missouri State (-6.5)	Missouri State	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xabf8cb…
10-28 03:23:03	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x4bbf77…
10-28 03:22:46	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0ffdbe…
10-28 03:22:31	Spread: Missouri State (-5.5)	Missouri State	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf8ed75…
10-28 03:22:21	Spread: Missouri State (-7.5)	Missouri State	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3fa56a…
10-28 03:20:04	Spread: Missouri State (-6.5)	Missouri State	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x07029d…
10-28 03:14:20	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x3fde0d…
10-28 03:12:03	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6fd488…
10-28 03:12:02	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc80d68…
10-28 03:09:59	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x7523d2…
10-28 03:09:21	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	1,496	100¢	$1,494	0x6bb4ac…
10-28 03:05:50	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd48dcd…
10-28 03:05:29	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	833	100¢	$832	0xa6e687…
10-28 03:03:30	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x71db11…
10-28 03:03:12	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x9d703b…
10-28 03:02:23	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc9760c…
10-28 03:01:27	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x57f2a8…
10-28 03:00:29	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,294	100¢	$1,293	0xb09391…
10-28 03:00:20	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdef347…
10-28 03:00:09	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	417	100¢	$416	0x9f63d5…
10-28 03:00:09	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	474	100¢	$474	0x88de20…
10-28 02:58:54	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9fa57c…
10-28 02:58:51	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xd51a86…
10-28 02:58:51	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x1bf9ff…
10-28 02:58:47	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	532	100¢	$531	0xa67650…
10-28 02:58:42	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc0c18d…
10-28 02:58:38	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x88c60e…
10-28 02:58:14	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8e32e8…
10-28 02:58:12	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c41b3…
10-28 02:57:06	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9ec605…
10-28 02:56:45	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ed4bb…
10-28 02:56:14	Canadiens vs. Blues	Canadiens	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xb2e8bc…
10-28 02:56:11	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2bdd5f…
10-28 02:56:05	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,777	100¢	$1,775	0xa10a69…
10-28 02:56:05	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	515	100¢	$515	0x926bd8…
10-28 02:55:41	Canadiens vs. Blues	Canadiens	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f9332…
10-28 02:55:36	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3,277	100¢	$3,274	0x882430…
10-28 02:55:30	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x750db1…
10-28 02:55:05	Canadiens vs. Blues	Canadiens	BUY	530	100¢	$530	0xb6e178…