Decent-Armrest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$272.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$304

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

15,291

Trades

341,145

lifetime

Volume

$308.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$905

Open exposure

$37.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Other

71% 98% +$230,891

Sports

27% 98% +$32,800

Politics

1% 100% +$12,415

Crypto

0% 95% -$3,412

Tech

0% 100% +$87

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2171 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+40,000	$37,296	94¢	$37.6K	+$304	10-27 11:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	769	$3.16M	1,468,962	2,243,205	-774,243	Yes	-$745	02-03 23:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	994	$1.98M	1,231,492	970,294	+261,197	No	+$6,744	03-01 01:36
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	1	$674.3K	675,000	0	+675,000	Yes	+$675	10-02 20:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	127	$668.7K	670,000	0	+670,000	No	+$1,340	09-16 15:01
Broncos vs. Chiefs	11	$668.3K	669,000	0	+669,000	Chiefs	+$669	09-15 03:22
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	9	$664.3K	665,000	0	+665,000	Yes	+$665	10-01 20:46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	2	$639.4K	620,000	20,000	+600,000	Yes	+$600	10-15 18:46
49ers vs. Raiders	4	$629.6K	630,224	0	+630,224	49ers	+$630	08-28 03:00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	141	$629.2K	630,000	0	+630,000	No	+$810	07-07 22:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	3	$621.4K	622,000	0	+622,000	Yes	+$622	10-14 20:56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	151	$619.4K	620,017	0	+620,017	Yes	+$620	07-05 22:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	157	$615.6K	524,708	91,979	+432,728	No	+$869	06-29 22:57
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	1	$611.4K	612,000	0	+612,000	Yes	+$612	09-14 18:27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	6	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	10-13 20:58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	1	$569.4K	570,000	0	+570,000	Yes	+$570	08-30 14:57
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	54	$567.6K	568,127	0	+568,127	Yes	+$568	10-18 15:10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	162	$564.4K	377,713	188,463	+189,250	LGD Gaming	+$1,342	04-30 13:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	11	$563.2K	563,720	0	+563,720	No	+$564	07-06 21:04
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	844	$562.0K	563,550	0	+563,550	Yes	+$1,585	07-04 19:12
cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20	1	$549.5K	550,000	0	+550,000	FURIA	+$550	08-20 19:51
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	421	$529.5K	530,000	0	+530,000	Yes	+$530	10-27 01:39
wnba ind las 2026 07 12	39	$529.0K	529,554	0	+529,554	Indiana Fever	+$530	07-13 03:36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	9	$526.5K	527,000	0	+527,000	Yes	+$527	09-13 14:54
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	40	$499.5K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	+$500	07-03 20:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$499.0K	500,000	0	+500,000	No	+$1,000	06-03 23:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	55	$474.2K	474,793	0	+474,793	Yes	+$599	10-26 01:48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	154	$468.1K	470,000	0	+470,000	No	+$1,860	07-04 00:02
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	50	$449.6K	450,000	0	+450,000	Team Yandex	+$450	08-20 12:55
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?	36	$445.1K	445,591	0	+445,591	Yes	+$446	08-23 20:58
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	55	$444.8K	450,000	0	+450,000	No	+$5,200	07-18 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:34:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,949	93¢	$1,807	0xca8b0e…
10-27 11:34:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	93¢	$368	0x26643c…
10-27 11:34:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	93¢	$123	0xf35205…
10-27 11:34:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	93¢	$368	0x0e3fff…
10-27 11:34:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	93¢	$368	0x200d5f…
10-27 11:34:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,726	93¢	$15,505	0x50bcb7…
10-27 06:17:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,485	94¢	$4,202	0x0961b4…
10-27 04:53:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,516	94¢	$14,554	0x2b67c0…
10-27 04:21:23	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	18,955	100¢	$18,936	0x116a67…
10-27 04:20:03	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x48a93a…
10-27 04:20:02	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xf3b3bb…
10-27 04:19:59	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4,790	100¢	$4,785	0x6d0e3e…
10-27 04:19:39	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc96830…
10-27 04:19:35	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	940	100¢	$939	0xcf2261…
10-27 04:13:36	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x429346…
10-27 04:12:41	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x749ffc…
10-27 04:09:38	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	269	99¢	$267	0x266a8a…
10-27 04:09:21	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9d4697…
10-27 04:09:21	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	582	99¢	$576	0x93e325…
10-27 04:07:57	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xf3e85b…
10-27 04:07:27	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe32078…
10-27 03:50:24	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe0cd62…
10-27 03:48:12	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x420a0e…
10-27 03:47:45	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1629d3…
10-27 03:45:30	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xddee36…
10-27 03:44:41	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x36be12…
10-27 03:44:39	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x009161…
10-27 03:43:20	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	568	100¢	$568	0x79604c…
10-27 03:43:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0xdf765f…
10-27 03:42:50	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfa249c…
10-27 03:41:44	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3759d8…
10-27 03:41:30	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x43ccda…
10-27 03:40:06	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xafb660…
10-27 03:39:20	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe5df81…
10-27 03:38:47	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x9430cd…
10-27 03:38:44	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ff7ba…
10-27 03:38:17	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	454	100¢	$454	0xd06127…
10-27 03:36:38	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x28c68c…
10-27 03:36:24	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x9b8fef…
10-27 03:35:44	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd822bd…
10-27 03:35:11	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbc13d5…
10-27 03:35:02	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x903edd…
10-27 03:34:59	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5536e…
10-27 03:34:29	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x661450…
10-27 03:34:20	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x643f63…
10-27 03:34:12	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x309353…
10-27 03:34:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x5a7749…
10-27 03:33:56	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb79097…
10-27 03:33:39	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	471	100¢	$470	0xef0db3…
10-27 03:33:35	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x20d7c0…
10-27 03:33:14	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	569	100¢	$568	0x37e0c9…
10-27 03:33:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe1b0bb…
10-27 03:33:09	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xce4f44…
10-27 03:33:00	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x571516…
10-27 03:32:45	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x73f589…
10-27 03:32:42	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	589	100¢	$588	0x696d4c…
10-27 03:32:39	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x874a4b…
10-27 03:32:33	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	706	100¢	$705	0xfaba2c…
10-27 03:32:26	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0x5b1a42…
10-27 03:32:24	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0xcc6996…
10-27 03:32:24	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3adb5a…
10-27 03:32:21	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	2,294	100¢	$2,292	0x049d1d…
10-27 03:32:18	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x605932…
10-27 03:32:15	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b4786…
10-27 03:32:06	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x99635c…
10-27 03:31:48	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x7de95f…
10-27 03:31:35	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xa82ce2…
10-27 03:31:27	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1687d…
10-27 03:31:21	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x007048…
10-27 03:31:20	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3dd850…
10-27 03:31:17	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	526	100¢	$526	0xc79bcc…
10-27 03:30:27	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xf22326…
10-27 03:28:50	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x207ca2…
10-27 03:20:50	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x617c59…
10-27 03:19:51	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6a05e9…
10-27 03:18:54	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x43b6d1…
10-27 03:18:53	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x47e925…
10-27 03:18:36	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	1,769	100¢	$1,767	0xd9411b…
10-27 03:15:17	Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)	Flames	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xaec8c1…
10-27 03:14:18	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50b959…
10-27 03:13:18	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4,282	100¢	$4,278	0x7517a6…
10-27 03:11:53	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd3f687…
10-27 03:11:38	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b02ad…
10-27 03:11:35	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x31a9b6…
10-27 03:11:24	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x8aa59e…
10-27 03:10:48	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe39288…
10-27 03:09:36	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfca036…
10-27 03:08:48	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xd406a1…
10-27 03:07:42	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0b6d6…
10-27 03:06:08	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8aa4af…
10-27 03:04:30	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d76a4…
10-27 03:04:12	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x65ea97…
10-27 03:01:47	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Rockets	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfe0385…
10-27 03:01:41	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xc0444c…
10-27 03:01:14	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x489b27…
10-27 02:58:45	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdbcadc…
10-27 02:57:15	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfe5b4…
10-27 02:50:54	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x55c3bb…
10-27 02:48:51	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,760	100¢	$1,758	0x42b6cd…
10-27 02:48:11	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Bucks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe26f4…