Realized P&L
-$43.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved
1,023
Trades
11,591
lifetime
Volume
$9.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$807
Open exposure
$885
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-27 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
87% 92% -$45,019
Sports
11% 84% +$1,049
Crypto
2% 91% +$335
Politics
0% 53% -$29
Tech
0% 70% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,010 $161 18¢ $187 +$26 08-04 16:47
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Lakers +300 $214 58¢ $176 -$38 10-28 05:11
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Trail Blazers +300 $181 42¢ $124 -$57 10-28 05:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +824 $102 12¢ $98 -$4 07-31 15:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +80 $80 100¢ $80 +$0 10-26 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-12 12:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $19 17¢ $17 -$3 08-02 06:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $14 16¢ $16 +$2 07-25 15:11
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +15 $11 96¢ $14 +$3 07-18 06:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +200 $26 6¢ $13 -$13 06-25 00:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +121 $16 10¢ $12 -$5 05-25 19:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15 $12 72¢ $11 -$1 09-10 06:54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 10-27 05:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-22 16:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-11 07:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $9 18¢ $9 $0 05-25 22:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $13 18¢ $9 -$4 06-02 18:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $9 78¢ $9 $0 07-05 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $22 16¢ $8 -$14 06-25 16:51
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $0 10-27 15:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-26 16:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$1 07-15 02:13
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 07-15 13:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 10-24 10:40
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-23 12:52
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-16 03:59
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-22 10:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-14 12:12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +40 $8 10¢ $4 -$5 06-14 18:27
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 $0 05-29 23:44