Grubby-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$416

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

446

Trades

565

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-04 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 63% -$110

Other

10% 41% -$60

Politics

10% 0% -$236

Sports

3% 56% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$118	101,403	0	+101,403	No	-$118	05-21 19:16
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$99	49,535	0	+49,535	No	-$99	05-24 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$80	113	0	+113	Up	+$33	05-26 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$60	94	0	+94	Down	+$34	05-26 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$50	68	0	+68	Up	-$50	05-26 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$50	68	0	+68	Up	-$50	05-26 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$35	49	0	+49	Up	+$14	05-28 18:44
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$30	41	0	+41	Down	+$11	05-28 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$30	39	0	+39	Up	-$30	05-28 16:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$30	44	0	+44	Up	+$14	05-28 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$25	40	0	+40	Down	-$5	05-28 17:14
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17?	5	$25	72	0	+72	No	-$25	05-18 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$21	67	67	+0	Down	-$19	05-25 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Down	-$20	05-28 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$12	05-28 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$20	35	0	+35	Down	+$15	05-26 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	-$20	05-26 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	Down	+$10	05-26 11:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	+$16	05-26 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	05-28 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Down	+$13	05-28 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Down	+$13	05-28 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	05-28 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	+$10	05-28 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	05-28 16:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	05-28 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	05-25 10:36
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	05-28 12:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	05-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-28 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:09:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3e6f8a…
07-03 06:19:56	Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd3c522…
07-03 05:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc9cff7…
07-03 05:00:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xed2a7d…
07-03 04:59:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0e22ca…
07-03 03:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb8e994…
07-03 03:29:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x75791a…
07-03 02:39:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x50d9d6…
07-03 00:49:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0cd2c6…
07-03 00:39:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2c1e47…
07-03 00:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd052ed…
07-02 23:59:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4e59f4…
07-02 23:49:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x124726…
07-02 22:49:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x25bae3…
07-02 22:39:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c4e56…
07-02 22:19:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbba0a8…
07-02 22:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcb9ef8…
06-29 04:19:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb33554…
06-29 02:49:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0f1627…
06-29 01:49:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa18b38…
06-29 01:09:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd99987…
06-29 00:09:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x58b566…
06-28 18:34:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf65573…
06-28 16:44:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb31173…
06-28 16:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x08fe44…
06-28 15:25:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8798c4…
06-28 13:54:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x304e98…
06-28 13:54:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x962aa1…
06-28 12:14:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x30081f…
06-28 12:14:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd4b95e…
06-28 07:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3aa8c9…
06-28 05:14:56	XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfc5f2c…
06-28 04:04:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x018d2b…
06-28 03:54:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x06819d…
06-28 02:14:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xeb0e97…
06-28 02:14:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xba0402…
06-28 00:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4c4cbd…
06-28 00:34:53	BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbf0be1…
06-28 00:14:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x71f55d…
06-27 22:24:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x310c78…
06-27 19:54:53	Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x9a4023…
06-27 16:44:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xe3999e…
06-27 16:34:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2cc0bc…
06-27 16:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfe7243…
06-27 13:15:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2479d2…
06-27 13:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x38ee73…
06-27 13:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x19ee4d…
06-27 12:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x012ff8…
06-27 12:14:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6e9e08…
06-27 12:14:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x47bf65…
06-27 10:34:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x07f36a…
06-27 09:24:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd010ae…
06-27 07:34:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x555c5a…
06-27 04:54:56	XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc90cf5…
06-27 04:14:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x149130…
06-26 22:54:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6f8f27…
06-26 22:34:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x174c34…
06-26 17:54:53	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x22c5f5…
06-26 17:34:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfb0f64…
06-26 17:34:53	XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7807c4…
06-26 15:34:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe4e7b0…
06-22 19:39:53	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7cf48c…
06-22 18:39:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0768d4…
06-22 18:19:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x79f24c…
06-22 17:59:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xd0ef63…
06-22 17:39:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc56744…
06-22 17:39:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x94a0c2…
06-22 17:19:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x96a211…
06-22 17:09:56	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfb5e4a…
06-22 16:39:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5766e8…
06-22 16:29:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x088e41…
06-22 16:29:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1d1c08…
06-22 16:09:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xac3ff4…
06-22 15:59:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x57ad8a…
06-22 15:29:56	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcfdf72…
06-22 14:59:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3b2b41…
06-22 05:20:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0xc471cb…
06-22 04:59:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6b9497…
06-22 04:59:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x0a75a8…
06-22 04:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x127f19…
06-22 03:49:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xba7c8f…
06-22 02:59:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xd1acbc…
06-22 02:29:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x28e468…
06-22 01:59:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x58c2e2…
06-22 01:59:53	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x639061…
06-22 01:59:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x057aea…
06-21 19:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x393bb3…
06-21 19:44:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8a5055…
06-21 19:24:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x886e1d…
06-21 19:04:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdae6a1…
06-21 18:54:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xcf9a85…
06-21 18:24:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x98949d…
06-21 17:55:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1d0b56…
06-21 17:54:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x7745c8…
06-20 16:19:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x080ac8…
06-20 16:09:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0640d1…
06-20 16:09:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd872eb…
06-20 06:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6f1d52…
06-20 06:49:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x240cf2…
06-20 06:29:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4eadcb…