Generous-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,912

lifetime

Volume

$263.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-17 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

70% 33% +$0

Crypto

22% — —

Other

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	64	$32.0K	52,620	54,439	-1,819	open	—	05-26 11:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	113	$31.5K	91,306	81,306	+10,000	open	—	05-30 17:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	248	$25.9K	234,425	217,892	+16,534	open	—	06-15 00:18
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	24	$11.7K	15,354	14,235	+1,119	open	—	06-14 16:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	117	$10.9K	15,253	15,773	-520	open	—	04-28 14:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	101	$9.4K	63,933	62,393	+1,540	open	—	06-01 22:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	76	$9.1K	6,946	6,946	+0	open	—	04-23 17:38
will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	12	$7.9K	5,760	13,097	-7,337	open	—	06-14 23:58
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	66	$6.8K	12,308	12,308	+0	open	—	07-07 18:52
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 14	25	$6.6K	6,891	10,664	-3,773	open	—	06-15 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	78	$5.6K	8,627	10,875	-2,248	open	—	04-21 20:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$3.8K	2,786	2,786	+0	open	—	04-15 21:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	20	$3.7K	5,782	5,782	+0	open	—	06-14 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$3.2K	4,526	4,526	+0	open	—	06-12 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$3.1K	3,038	3,038	+0	open	—	04-17 15:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	39	$3.0K	4,838	4,481	+357	open	—	05-30 21:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	32	$2.5K	8,793	8,793	+0	open	—	05-23 17:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	6	$2.5K	3,177	3,177	+0	open	—	06-11 20:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$2.4K	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
btc updown 4h 1770325200	13	$2.3K	2,976	2,976	+0	open	—	02-05 23:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	7	$2.3K	5,732	5,732	-0	open	—	06-12 00:12
israel closes its airspace by august 31	8	$2.1K	3,551	3,551	+0	open	—	07-13 18:19
Trump kiss by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,477	1,477	-0	open	—	05-20 16:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	35	$2.0K	14,962	14,962	+0	open	—	05-22 17:13
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	34	$1.9K	17,547	17,486	+61	open	—	05-05 23:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	29	$1.8K	8,793	8,793	+0	open	—	07-06 15:09
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	42	$1.6K	2,467	3,067	-600	open	—	04-11 01:27
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	2	$1.5K	998	998	+0	open	—	06-20 21:56
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	14	$1.5K	3,000	4,000	-1,000	open	—	06-20 21:08
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	23	$1.5K	252,791	1,466	+251,325	open	—	05-16 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 01:06:23	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x526132…
07-17 01:00:56	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x86c075…
07-17 01:00:52	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x91e306…
07-17 00:58:49	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	118	20¢	$24	0x019d94…
07-17 00:58:43	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa4331d…
07-17 00:58:23	will trump say israel or israeli during speech to the nation 20260713200621433	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x596068…
07-17 00:54:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	681	13¢	$89	0xc21c25…
07-15 10:48:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,682	25¢	$920	0x0fe86d…
07-13 22:58:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0xca56bb…
07-13 22:25:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe60c4a…
07-13 22:17:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa1d6ea…
07-13 21:24:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x158283…
07-13 21:18:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	55	37¢	$20	0xacdf89…
07-13 20:21:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	65	41¢	$27	0x6e0ec3…
07-13 20:18:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0x2ce00c…
07-13 19:20:58	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x94ef85…
07-13 18:53:23	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x5caac6…
07-13 18:51:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9919cd…
07-13 18:41:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	134	25¢	$34	0xb1d302…
07-13 18:38:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1c6cc6…
07-13 18:38:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeca67d…
07-13 18:38:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaba169…
07-13 18:38:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7909d6…
07-13 18:38:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x56ac46…
07-13 18:26:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xf08b6f…
07-13 18:20:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x06ec46…
07-13 18:19:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	SELL	976	31¢	$303	0x8b847b…
07-13 18:19:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,535	31¢	$796	0x3a04a4…
07-13 18:19:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x0e3df6…
07-13 16:47:10	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd50912…
07-12 18:12:34	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,956	29¢	$567	0xfe3173…
07-12 18:01:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	56	29¢	$16	0xdd1935…
07-12 18:01:10	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x86c34c…
07-12 18:00:44	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,499	29¢	$435	0x4c7f5a…
07-09 21:03:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x326704…
07-09 13:10:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xba43e9…
07-09 13:03:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9a4573…
07-09 12:15:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	503	2¢	$8	0x6fbed8…
07-08 23:21:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9af4ac…
07-08 22:47:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x500cba…
07-07 18:52:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	180	24¢	$42	0x3a57f8…
07-07 18:48:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0x39da33…
07-07 18:46:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	727	28¢	$204	0xa93a27…
07-07 18:46:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	530	28¢	$148	0xd3bbc9…
07-07 18:41:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	695	28¢	$197	0x2f196a…
07-07 18:39:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	305	28¢	$86	0xf90f47…
07-07 18:38:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0x5b4130…
07-07 18:38:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	61	29¢	$17	0xca9c54…
07-07 18:38:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	140	29¢	$40	0x30356b…
07-07 18:38:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	126	29¢	$36	0xc01f1c…
07-07 18:38:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4bb17f…
07-07 18:38:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	83	29¢	$24	0xc1a847…
07-07 18:37:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,502	30¢	$452	0xbbb3d7…
07-07 18:31:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$271	0xf2d835…
07-07 18:25:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	502	22¢	$113	0x99ffae…
07-07 18:23:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xc7cf61…
07-07 18:21:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	995	26¢	$261	0xdb154b…
07-07 18:18:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2,100	29¢	$607	0xcfa2ba…
07-07 17:40:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	408	6¢	$24	0x0eb9ac…
07-07 17:40:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xa2eaea…
07-07 17:40:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x30406b…
07-07 17:40:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x88d8e0…
07-07 17:40:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x01a554…
07-07 17:38:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0x499cfb…
07-07 17:38:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8e5a3f…
07-07 17:37:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$11	0xe3221d…
07-07 17:37:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x8ff4ed…
07-07 17:21:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	700	9¢	$63	0xdcea60…
07-07 11:54:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	790	18¢	$142	0x707f9b…
07-07 09:03:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x12c257…
07-07 02:17:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xe4418f…
07-07 01:32:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	710	36¢	$255	0x3af5e2…
07-07 01:30:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0x28f9ba…
07-07 00:46:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	181	61¢	$110	0x3f6494…
07-07 00:46:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	319	61¢	$195	0xc300aa…
07-07 00:43:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x797370…
07-07 00:35:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	130	45¢	$59	0xa1ea8e…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0xf5ae8e…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xe382e5…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	182	45¢	$82	0xd00c66…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0x7b9e5c…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0x188320…
07-07 00:35:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0x15e05c…
07-07 00:35:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0xf4d5f6…
07-07 00:35:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	222	45¢	$100	0xe2c7f7…
07-07 00:35:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xb14ae5…
07-07 00:35:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	258	45¢	$116	0x785864…
07-07 00:35:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x574e3c…
07-07 00:35:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xff5f46…
07-07 00:35:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x77d9de…
07-07 00:35:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x566585…
07-07 00:35:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x510810…
07-07 00:35:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,923	42¢	$808	0xad44e0…
07-07 00:02:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x583b7e…
07-06 23:57:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x0abf3b…
07-06 23:56:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x655d36…
07-06 23:49:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	359	22¢	$79	0x951fc0…
07-06 23:48:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2,779	19¢	$528	0xef8ce9…
07-06 23:41:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0xffe869…
07-06 23:41:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xd2729b…