Generous-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1.12K

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,749

lifetime

Volume

$251.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$80

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-24 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 33% +$0

Crypto

23% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		+19,959	$1,195	0¢	$80	$-1,115	06-19 13:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	64	$32.0K	52,620	54,439	-1,819	open	—	05-26 11:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	113	$31.5K	91,306	81,306	+10,000	open	—	05-30 17:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	248	$25.9K	234,425	217,892	+16,534	open	—	06-15 00:18
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	24	$11.7K	15,354	14,235	+1,119	open	—	06-14 16:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	117	$10.9K	15,253	15,773	-520	open	—	04-28 14:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	101	$9.4K	63,933	62,393	+1,540	open	—	06-01 22:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	76	$9.1K	6,946	6,946	+0	open	—	04-23 17:38
will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	12	$7.9K	5,760	13,097	-7,337	open	—	06-14 23:58
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 14	25	$6.6K	6,891	10,664	-3,773	open	—	06-15 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	78	$5.6K	8,627	10,875	-2,248	open	—	04-21 20:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$3.8K	2,786	2,786	+0	open	—	04-15 21:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	20	$3.7K	5,782	5,782	+0	open	—	06-14 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$3.2K	4,526	4,526	+0	open	—	06-12 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$3.1K	3,038	3,038	+0	open	—	04-17 15:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	39	$3.0K	4,838	4,481	+357	open	—	05-30 21:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	32	$2.5K	8,793	8,793	+0	open	—	05-23 17:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	6	$2.5K	3,177	3,177	+0	open	—	06-11 20:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$2.4K	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	05-15 17:01
btc updown 4h 1770325200	13	$2.3K	2,976	2,976	+0	open	—	02-05 23:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	7	$2.3K	5,732	5,732	-0	open	—	06-12 00:12
Trump kiss by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,477	1,477	-0	open	—	05-20 16:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	35	$2.0K	14,962	14,962	+0	open	—	05-22 17:13
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	34	$1.9K	17,547	17,486	+61	open	—	05-05 23:04
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	42	$1.6K	2,467	3,067	-600	open	—	04-11 01:27
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	2	$1.5K	998	998	+0	open	—	06-20 21:56
will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	14	$1.5K	3,000	4,000	-1,000	open	—	06-20 21:08
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	23	$1.5K	252,791	1,466	+251,325	open	—	05-16 20:11
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.4K	7,484	7,484	+0	open	—	05-18 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	8	$1.4K	4,003	4,003	+0	open	—	05-22 23:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	59	$1.4K	5,546	5,546	+0	open	—	04-14 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 20:16:41	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	184	8¢	$15	0xfcdb8e…
06-24 20:15:38	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	934	2¢	$17	0x0fe105…
06-24 20:15:26	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0x84c26c…
06-24 20:14:07	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0xa011f1…
06-24 20:13:02	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0xfaf1b8…
06-24 20:12:19	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	Yes	SELL	970	2¢	$20	0xc08cbd…
06-24 00:07:02	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	280	1¢	$2	0x93321c…
06-23 11:21:34	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,095	1¢	$11	0x927bbd…
06-22 22:40:26	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0x5229db…
06-22 22:39:56	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x08c5c7…
06-22 22:39:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	366	13¢	$47	0x269434…
06-22 21:47:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	412	9¢	$35	0xae8a30…
06-22 21:47:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x3ddec8…
06-22 21:47:40	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	491	8¢	$40	0x5903ed…
06-22 21:47:37	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb6684d…
06-22 21:47:17	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7b7a6d…
06-22 21:47:07	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x54225b…
06-22 13:40:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	173	96¢	$166	0x2fdae9…
06-22 00:08:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc51dbf…
06-22 00:05:08	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	627	13¢	$80	0x833cb7…
06-22 00:04:25	bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf344a7…
06-22 00:04:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	154	31¢	$48	0x61d145…
06-22 00:00:35	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9eb98a…
06-21 23:53:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	992	13¢	$129	0x768d57…
06-21 23:49:26	btc updown 15m 1782085500	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb37426…
06-21 17:13:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,232	3¢	$246	0xb56a4e…
06-21 04:02:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	298	3¢	$10	0x8f4155…
06-21 04:00:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xd8a54a…
06-21 04:00:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x901475…
06-21 03:51:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xe1cef4…
06-21 03:51:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd05f6c…
06-21 03:51:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,774	3¢	$191	0xdae61b…
06-21 03:06:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x476161…
06-21 01:40:02	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0xc50dbd…
06-21 01:40:01	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x536d1d…
06-21 01:39:58	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xed5357…
06-21 01:39:46	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	125	17¢	$21	0x74dddd…
06-21 01:39:41	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x9ab35e…
06-21 01:39:37	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x1e83d8…
06-21 01:20:13	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	443	40¢	$177	0x5bac7d…
06-21 01:20:10	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x6fc302…
06-21 01:04:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xe139c8…
06-21 00:46:20	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xca47f1…
06-21 00:42:23	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x101f5f…
06-21 00:42:22	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	99	27¢	$27	0xede004…
06-21 00:40:34	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x963915…
06-21 00:37:35	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	59	39¢	$23	0x2c59e1…
06-21 00:37:34	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf14b4e…
06-21 00:37:34	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x0360bd…
06-20 23:34:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	652	3¢	$22	0x4ec21e…
06-20 21:56:52	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	998	98¢	$978	0xce8505…
06-20 21:08:10	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	221	21¢	$47	0x0fd2d1…
06-20 21:03:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xf696f4…
06-20 20:56:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	998	57¢	$569	0x29e994…
06-20 20:41:20	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x1015c3…
06-20 20:34:35	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	173	18¢	$31	0xedff21…
06-20 20:34:22	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	2,349	20¢	$476	0x800590…
06-20 15:05:28	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	191	35¢	$67	0x95869c…
06-19 13:34:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,931	6¢	$224	0xf0af07…
06-19 13:33:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,290	6¢	$131	0x5a1163…
06-19 13:32:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1c83f1…
06-19 13:15:08	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	651	13¢	$85	0xe8f3a4…
06-19 13:14:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc6f349…
06-19 13:10:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x40fdb3…
06-19 13:07:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,763	15¢	$271	0xfd2404…
06-18 21:43:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,194	6¢	$121	0x7b7c87…
06-18 19:55:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,421	13¢	$315	0x479633…
06-18 16:09:20	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0xd598c1…
06-18 14:02:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xb03f03…
06-18 13:57:34	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1,982	19¢	$377	0x622305…
06-18 13:55:13	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe91bff…
06-18 13:54:43	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeaa033…
06-18 13:54:13	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x15b851…
06-18 13:53:43	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x7decbf…
06-18 12:44:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdd38ed…
06-18 12:40:47	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,382	6¢	$77	0x0ca41c…
06-18 07:00:56	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	920	33¢	$304	0x3fb39d…
06-18 06:26:05	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0xdc9592…
06-18 00:55:56	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x2bb68e…
06-18 00:55:55	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x1aa09b…
06-18 00:55:55	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x024a1e…
06-18 00:51:32	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x53c130…
06-18 00:26:52	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x25a8a6…
06-18 00:26:50	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	248	54¢	$134	0x87a6ec…
06-18 00:26:50	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x2c85ea…
06-18 00:21:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,996	7¢	$344	0x99a55d…
06-18 00:20:38	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,090	6¢	$244	0x8ef029…
06-17 19:28:16	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x16db3f…
06-17 19:27:11	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3e303f…
06-17 19:27:02	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9b304d…
06-17 19:26:47	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xdffec6…
06-17 19:26:34	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x716a2e…
06-17 19:26:29	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe73390…
06-17 19:26:29	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3e9f92…
06-17 19:26:29	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x202972…
06-17 19:26:26	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x22e287…
06-17 19:26:20	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xed01f1…
06-17 18:51:31	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	SELL	300	67¢	$201	0x584de0…
06-17 18:03:11	btc updown 4h 1781712000	Up	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0x20a478…
06-17 17:59:34	btc updown 5m 1781718900	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe8b783…