Generous-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

430

Trades

6,871

lifetime

Volume

$381.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-25 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Politics

72% 44% +$17,051

Crypto

17% 27% +$9,493

Other

10% 48% -$522

Sports

2% 100% +$535

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		-30	-$1	3¢	$-1	+$0	08-26 18:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	05-13 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	71	$33.0K	54,439	54,439	+0	No	+$1,623	05-26 11:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	113	$31.5K	91,306	81,306	+10,000	No	-$106	05-30 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	267	$29.5K	245,128	227,883	+17,245	Yes	+$16,875	06-15 00:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	84	$22.3K	23,105	23,105	+0	open	—	10-23 19:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	34	$12.7K	15,763	15,763	+0	Yes	+$572	06-14 16:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	117	$10.9K	15,253	15,773	-520	Yes	+$367	04-28 14:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	104	$9.5K	65,643	62,393	+3,250	No	+$121	06-01 22:03
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?	14	$9.3K	15,097	15,097	+0	No	+$7,056	06-14 23:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	76	$9.1K	6,946	6,946	+0	No	+$235	04-23 17:38
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14?	33	$8.5K	17,279	13,872	+3,407	No	+$3,854	06-15 03:56
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	66	$6.8K	12,308	12,308	+0	Yes	+$535	07-07 18:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	23	$6.5K	3,467	3,467	+0	No	+$208	08-25 00:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	12	$5.6K	5,872	5,872	+0	Yes	+$1,777	09-22 18:09
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	78	$5.6K	8,627	10,875	-2,248	No	+$891	04-21 20:52
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	48	$5.4K	3,440	3,440	+0	No	+$254	10-22 14:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	37	$4.8K	5,779	5,779	+0	Yes	-$749	09-14 22:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	42	$4.3K	13,005	13,005	+0	open	—	10-15 21:30
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	47	$4.1K	19,048	19,048	+0	Yes	+$862	10-23 08:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	12	$3.9K	16,205	16,205	+0	No	-$1,109	08-26 18:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$3.8K	2,786	2,786	+0	No	+$28	04-15 21:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	20	$3.7K	5,782	5,782	+0	Yes	+$278	06-14 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$3.2K	4,526	4,526	+0	Yes	+$45	06-12 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$3.1K	3,038	3,038	+0	No	+$36	04-17 15:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	41	$3.0K	4,888	4,484	+404	No	-$112	05-30 21:51
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	16	$2.8K	10,241	10,241	+0	open	—	09-28 17:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	12	$2.8K	5,108	5,108	-0	No	+$700	08-05 14:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	32	$2.5K	8,793	8,793	+0	No	-$430	05-23 17:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	4	$2.5K	11,230	11,230	+0	open	—	09-28 18:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	6	$2.5K	3,177	3,177	+0	Yes	-$139	06-11 20:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$2.4K	1,908	1,908	+0	No	+$1,386	05-15 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:43:51	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8ce772…
10-24 12:20:56	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	413	60¢	$249	0xcad0af…
10-24 12:07:38	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	165	20¢	$33	0x4079b5…
10-24 12:07:29	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	693	19¢	$132	0x58eb30…
10-23 20:10:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,250	5¢	$213	0x42b66f…
10-23 19:52:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,300	68¢	$2,244	0x8277a1…
10-23 19:32:24	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,701	25¢	$925	0x2443f1…
10-23 19:32:11	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	24¢	$26	0x6503a5…
10-23 19:32:06	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd6348e…
10-23 19:31:59	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x1d0e95…
10-23 19:31:51	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	23¢	$33	0xac4303…
10-23 19:31:47	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	22¢	$49	0xd2bd80…
10-23 19:31:38	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x4b5d71…
10-23 19:31:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,300	57¢	$1,881	0xbe6598…
10-23 19:17:56	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	21¢	$36	0xf47c4c…
10-23 19:17:44	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xd2fc70…
10-23 18:57:14	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	22¢	$46	0x5030e6…
10-23 18:55:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,637	61¢	$2,829	0x590538…
10-23 18:55:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0xe74773…
10-23 18:54:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	61¢	$58	0x970450…
10-23 18:32:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x8e220b…
10-23 18:18:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	61¢	$58	0xe9ad1d…
10-23 18:16:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	283	61¢	$173	0xa9c523…
10-23 18:10:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	64¢	$39	0x45067d…
10-23 18:09:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x41eb74…
10-23 18:08:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xbd46a1…
10-23 18:07:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x70dfba…
10-23 18:07:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x9e3106…
10-23 18:06:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x676d2f…
10-23 18:05:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	275	64¢	$176	0x4669c7…
10-23 18:00:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	63¢	$668	0x3cef59…
10-23 17:58:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4995c0…
10-23 17:57:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	63¢	$82	0x9c580f…
10-23 17:56:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x52e4c9…
10-23 17:56:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x78aa7e…
10-23 17:56:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x72e63b…
10-23 17:56:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x65d5de…
10-23 17:56:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	62¢	$143	0x14bc03…
10-23 17:56:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb9612a…
10-23 17:55:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9656c7…
10-23 17:55:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x680ba7…
10-23 17:55:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x34b726…
10-23 17:53:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	920	62¢	$571	0xa7b786…
10-23 17:49:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc2f0a9…
10-23 17:49:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x66b0a0…
10-23 17:49:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xd0c893…
10-23 17:48:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x1c4334…
10-23 17:48:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x4006c7…
10-23 17:48:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x38356f…
10-23 17:48:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	61¢	$203	0xe924b2…
10-23 17:48:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	219	61¢	$133	0x20b545…
10-23 17:48:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xfa2d5c…
10-23 17:47:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,630	61¢	$994	0xbbdd01…
10-23 17:31:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	468	38¢	$178	0xfdbbf5…
10-23 17:30:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,255	39¢	$879	0x0229fa…
10-23 17:29:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,504	39¢	$976	0x7021a6…
10-23 17:29:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x67fbc6…
10-23 17:27:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xb46907…
10-23 17:27:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,690	40¢	$676	0x7932ff…
10-23 17:19:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	43¢	$198	0xe22cb6…
10-23 16:50:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,771	35¢	$1,320	0x47441b…
10-23 16:50:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	35¢	$71	0x5f00b0…
10-23 16:50:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,473	35¢	$516	0xb95ec6…
10-23 16:50:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5b7bf5…
10-23 16:49:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xfce018…
10-23 16:49:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x607246…
10-23 16:49:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,019	35¢	$357	0xba4964…
10-23 16:48:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,030	65¢	$1,320	0xba3ce0…
10-23 16:48:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	147	65¢	$96	0x7fa910…
10-23 16:46:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe3839e…
10-23 16:46:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe4911a…
10-23 16:46:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xdbaaf5…
10-23 16:46:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	292	62¢	$181	0x2c596e…
10-23 16:46:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa4b49c…
10-23 16:45:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0x62dd02…
10-23 16:45:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x33b5be…
10-23 16:45:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xeb5675…
10-23 16:45:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	410	62¢	$254	0x2089d2…
10-23 16:44:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0x491ebe…
10-23 16:44:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x1573c7…
10-23 16:43:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	632	62¢	$392	0x0fdd6c…
10-23 16:04:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	408	70¢	$286	0x1a24d6…
10-23 16:01:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa40e09…
10-23 16:00:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x1763ca…
10-23 16:00:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x321643…
10-23 16:00:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,852	73¢	$1,352	0x3945f2…
10-23 15:59:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	379	73¢	$277	0x6e8684…
10-23 13:29:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xd0660f…
10-23 13:29:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xadceb8…
10-23 13:28:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x3e3344…
10-23 13:28:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4633bd…
10-23 13:28:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x60c7df…
10-23 13:24:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x27102e…
10-23 13:24:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x56fc5a…
10-23 08:47:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	882	4¢	$34	0x7fdd30…
10-23 08:46:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	4¢	$10	0xe56994…
10-23 08:45:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x3798e5…
10-23 08:44:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	4¢	$10	0x8432ec…
10-23 08:42:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	497	4¢	$19	0x2fbdde…
10-23 08:28:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,135	4¢	$83	0xd49138…