Insecure-Mosque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.82K

Unrealized P&L

+$107

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,145

lifetime

Volume

$1.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$526

Open exposure

$1.53K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-20 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$3,224

Politics

47% 100% +$590

Crypto

4% 100% +$8

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+1,500	$1,035	74¢	$1.1K	+$82	07-19 01:15
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+542	$390	76¢	$415	+$24	06-08 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	41	$71.8K	56,721	16,418	+40,303	Yes	+$1,014	05-03 19:28
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	79	$68.6K	37,634	37,133	+502	open	—	04-30 22:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	44	$64.8K	53,588	13,586	+40,002	open	—	04-30 22:07
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	50	$48.8K	34,561	35,407	-847	open	—	05-11 20:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	40	$41.1K	22,252	20,322	+1,930	open	—	04-24 06:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$36.5K	18,683	18,683	+0	open	—	04-29 01:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$36.2K	38,186	1,274	+36,912	open	—	06-04 00:18
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	115	$33.4K	18,110	18,109	+1	Yes	+$2,210	05-03 12:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	41	$31.4K	18,445	13,411	+5,034	open	—	03-30 16:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	13	$25.4K	13,865	13,865	+0	open	—	04-28 19:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$21.4K	20,304	5,200	+15,104	open	—	04-09 05:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$19.4K	22,638	7,550	+15,088	open	—	04-07 21:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	60	$19.2K	20,771	5,800	+14,971	open	—	06-17 06:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	22	$19.1K	10,626	10,626	+0	open	—	05-01 22:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	23	$18.1K	13,820	8,920	+4,900	open	—	04-24 01:10
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	8	$17.9K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	05-15 20:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	14	$17.7K	17,753	0	+17,753	open	—	04-16 20:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$16.4K	10,000	6,579	+3,421	open	—	03-30 15:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$16.0K	8,105	8,105	+0	open	—	04-30 06:45
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	11	$12.9K	5,558	7,417	-1,859	open	—	05-16 11:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$12.8K	10,462	4,717	+5,745	open	—	04-01 01:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	16	$12.7K	8,364	6,864	+1,500	open	—	05-23 10:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$12.6K	10,322	3,500	+6,822	Yes	+$537	05-09 14:45
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	31	$11.3K	12,050	2,950	+9,100	open	—	05-18 13:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	57	$10.8K	6,014	5,171	+843	open	—	03-24 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$10.5K	7,550	3,550	+4,000	open	—	05-31 21:07
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$10.0K	10,020	0	+10,020	open	—	06-06 00:06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	2	$10.0K	10,030	0	+10,030	open	—	05-16 12:08
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-30 18:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	14	$10.0K	5,150	5,150	+0	open	—	04-18 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:53:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	158	41¢	$65	0x4c036a…
07-20 15:51:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x2aa041…
07-20 15:27:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x9e7f5b…
07-20 15:27:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x4b748f…
07-20 15:26:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	131	36¢	$47	0x830b3a…
07-20 15:25:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4a0752…
07-20 15:25:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x881ced…
07-20 15:23:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xa28404…
07-20 13:17:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0xfb12b3…
07-20 13:11:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	478	67¢	$320	0x6fcbb5…
07-20 13:00:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6612fc…
07-20 13:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x7d0265…
07-20 13:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x57d868…
07-20 13:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x36c007…
07-20 13:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x0a6b57…
07-20 13:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x051d4b…
07-20 13:00:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa158ae…
07-20 13:00:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x351052…
07-20 12:27:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	51¢	$29	0xabfa83…
07-20 12:27:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	51¢	$204	0x74378b…
07-20 12:27:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	51¢	$29	0xda767c…
07-20 12:24:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	162	51¢	$82	0xc7b761…
07-20 12:22:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xf53f93…
07-20 12:21:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x0a4a93…
07-20 12:11:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x0b0e12…
07-20 12:02:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2258bd…
07-20 12:00:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2378b1…
07-20 12:00:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0xdafd00…
07-20 11:02:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0xb25e21…
07-20 01:54:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	700	100¢	$696	0xaf5474…
07-20 01:52:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	877	100¢	$873	0xd33d52…
07-19 23:16:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	794	99¢	$785	0xe97755…
07-19 23:16:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	206	99¢	$203	0x7c31fe…
07-19 23:16:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	927	99¢	$914	0x5c1a9d…
07-19 23:15:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,098	99¢	$1,083	0x3154eb…
07-19 23:15:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xade092…
07-19 23:14:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0xfe598a…
07-19 23:14:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x79f8ee…
07-19 23:14:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xd3b64e…
07-19 23:14:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xcd081e…
07-19 23:14:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xa55349…
07-19 23:14:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4780e2…
07-19 23:14:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xbf03cc…
07-19 23:14:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xaa02fb…
07-19 23:14:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0x90f0f0…
07-19 23:14:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x03eb56…
07-19 23:14:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd4bf44…
07-19 23:14:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc6f02c…
07-19 23:14:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x6bad94…
07-19 23:13:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x108cfc…
07-19 23:13:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	188	97¢	$183	0x0e34c7…
07-19 21:56:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x023ac1…
07-19 21:56:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	14	84¢	$11	0xc87068…
07-19 21:56:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	68	84¢	$57	0xbf007f…
07-19 21:51:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x3b2caf…
07-19 21:51:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x0ad851…
07-19 21:51:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa8357b…
07-19 21:51:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	402	89¢	$358	0x4d443a…
07-19 21:49:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x718fd9…
07-19 21:48:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	217	88¢	$191	0x082feb…
07-19 21:48:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xeff4fa…
07-19 21:48:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0xfbc1a9…
07-19 21:48:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x3154f3…
07-19 21:43:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	350	92¢	$322	0x0ccca3…
07-19 21:32:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	424	66¢	$279	0x0b075c…
07-19 19:36:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0x2e6f9c…
07-19 19:36:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x33aa15…
07-19 19:32:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	165	60¢	$98	0x1266c6…
07-19 19:29:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0xb11015…
07-19 08:29:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	681	95¢	$650	0x6a73df…
07-19 08:29:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	4,319	95¢	$4,120	0x5c32a0…
07-19 01:15:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x073652…
07-18 22:06:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots ousmane dembele gte2	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x6c2b90…
07-18 21:56:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x0c6a0b…
07-18 21:52:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb6a1a3…
07-18 21:52:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots ousmane dembele gte2	No	BUY	144	60¢	$86	0x06dbe5…
07-18 21:17:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	474	86¢	$408	0x517ba9…
07-18 20:52:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd086fb…
07-18 20:42:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x65e332…
07-18 20:10:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	317	86¢	$273	0x92d6dd…
07-18 19:34:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	183	86¢	$157	0xb7087a…
07-18 19:25:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x076cf4…
07-18 19:20:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x231e83…
07-18 01:37:07	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0ef9c2…
07-18 01:36:52	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x33cae6…
07-18 01:30:24	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x6713ef…
07-17 20:32:39	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	182	78¢	$142	0x10e946…
07-16 23:13:26	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	633	83¢	$525	0xe4088f…
07-16 23:00:04	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	64	83¢	$53	0xac308e…
07-16 22:54:01	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xfe781b…
07-16 22:52:56	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	1,000	84¢	$839	0xeb197c…
07-16 22:34:01	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x0cf5be…
07-16 08:15:22	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$18	0x0ed9f1…
07-16 07:09:25	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x7f36e3…
07-16 06:59:59	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x5fcb24…
07-15 20:16:28	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	350	77¢	$270	0x46505d…
07-15 19:54:17	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x2bdec3…
07-15 11:57:44	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	164	92¢	$151	0x566c62…
07-15 09:11:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	68	77¢	$52	0x8d1689…
07-15 09:10:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0xb1a922…