Linear-Scenario 0xa3f98f…198b49
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$134
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,344
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$162
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-15 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
61% 50% $-12
Politics
31% — —
Other
7% 50% $-1
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 487 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -698 $-105 8¢ $-59 +$45 05-28 20:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,068 $-67 5¢ $-57 +$10 06-03 22:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $66 15¢ $44 $-22 05-28 00:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -394 $-83 0¢ $-1 +$82 05-28 00:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-20 0¢ $-1 +$19 06-14 01:09