Attentive-Progression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$813

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

87% — —

Other

11% 0% $-29

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes		+451	$14	3¢	$15	+$1	07-02 00:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	23	$243	38,811	0	+38,811	open	—	05-21 06:21
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	12	$94	171	171	+0	open	—	05-05 18:55
Will Trump dance today?	16	$64	47,758	0	+47,758	open	—	04-28 22:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$55	17,288	0	+17,288	open	—	05-21 18:48
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$52	16,503	0	+16,503	open	—	05-21 18:49
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	6	$29	1,255	246	+1,009	open	—	05-14 11:00
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$24	22,008	0	+22,008	open	—	06-07 12:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$20	6,567	0	+6,567	open	—	05-28 19:29
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?	1	$20	19,660	0	+19,660	open	—	05-25 12:30
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	1	$19	19,140	0	+19,140	open	—	05-26 11:54
israel closes its airspace by june 10	2	$15	167	0	+167	open	—	06-09 21:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$14	451	0	+451	open	—	07-02 00:10
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	7	$14	730	0	+730	open	—	05-15 06:44
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	06-09 21:48
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-24 09:12
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	6	$10	6,074	0	+6,074	Yes	$-10	05-04 23:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$9	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	06-16 15:54
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$9	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	$-9	05-05 05:30
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$7	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	$-7	05-04 17:46
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	3	$6	76	32	+43	open	—	01-07 22:06
Nothing Ever Happens: April	3	$6	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-10 19:18
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	4	$5	222	0	+222	open	—	01-04 00:22
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	4	$5	62	62	+0	open	—	06-02 08:42
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	3	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-18 20:05
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	1	$4	1,333	0	+1,333	open	—	05-03 01:28
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 09:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$3	750	0	+750	open	—	05-28 19:44
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$3	500	0	+500	open	—	05-01 09:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$3	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 21:29
israel strike on the west bank by december 31 586	2	$3	500	500	+0	open	—	01-04 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:10:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1fb988…
07-01 23:49:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	419	3¢	$13	0x105e6e…
06-16 15:54:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x615919…
06-16 15:52:17	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb0173b…
06-16 15:44:50	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9f36af…
06-16 15:41:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x351b34…
06-16 15:41:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3739f4…
06-16 15:40:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x150d69…
06-09 21:54:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xdae677…
06-09 21:48:36	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbc4106…
06-09 21:48:07	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x218ec3…
06-07 12:29:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x6b3c7b…
06-06 17:40:09	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf8a8db…
06-06 13:51:19	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	659	0¢	$1	0x26aaf2…
06-06 13:48:43	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x01436f…
06-06 13:48:30	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x524a4e…
06-06 13:36:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d63c0…
06-06 13:30:46	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c3595…
06-02 08:42:59	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	No	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x5cefcc…
06-02 08:03:37	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3b4e49…
06-01 23:52:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc93aa4…
06-01 23:51:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e419b…
06-01 22:41:25	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8c4954…
06-01 22:41:20	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xedcf85…
06-01 22:41:20	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe07284…
06-01 19:17:17	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/25-5/31)	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x580362…
06-01 19:13:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x577c8a…
05-28 19:44:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xd7b9f7…
05-28 19:38:06	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63ea5e…
05-28 19:29:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x7af2c4…
05-27 13:24:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,567	1¢	$10	0xed9fd8…
05-26 11:54:11	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	19,140	0¢	$19	0x26f0d9…
05-25 12:30:48	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?	No	BUY	19,660	0¢	$20	0xa98cf1…
05-24 09:12:48	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6249f7…
05-21 18:49:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14,440	0¢	$14	0x5b2330…
05-21 18:48:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0xd23edf…
05-21 06:21:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19,305	0¢	$39	0x7f2dc6…
05-21 06:21:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0xf4eecd…
05-20 11:01:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,382	1¢	$8	0xc11597…
05-20 11:00:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,029	1¢	$30	0x4ddd70…
05-20 11:00:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,718	1¢	$10	0x7ab080…
05-18 20:07:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x71c0a1…
05-18 20:05:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd07bff…
05-18 20:00:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x21f0a1…
05-18 19:45:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55de41…
05-18 12:40:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	391	2¢	$9	0x3eced6…
05-18 12:40:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xdc3a52…
05-18 08:42:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x8af010…
05-18 08:42:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x11e98c…
05-18 08:41:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x6c521e…
05-18 08:41:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x74186f…
05-17 21:19:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x67504a…
05-17 20:14:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,088	2¢	$48	0xf6d042…
05-17 19:24:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x9a9b17…
05-17 19:24:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	437	2¢	$10	0x919119…
05-17 19:24:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x1dded6…
05-17 09:24:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x32d00e…
05-16 22:56:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x608333…
05-16 22:52:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x9d66c2…
05-16 22:52:45	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xf5a3af…
05-16 21:09:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x40b035…
05-16 21:08:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xbe78d1…
05-16 21:08:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xed8119…
05-16 19:25:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0xa11342…
05-16 16:14:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x64599d…
05-16 16:14:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x63d219…
05-16 12:45:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x109ff9…
05-16 11:50:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xe174ed…
05-16 11:49:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4bc352…
05-16 11:26:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x86b058…
05-16 11:26:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x557848…
05-16 11:20:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x844896…
05-16 11:19:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x529638…
05-16 11:19:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x5fe68f…
05-16 11:17:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x81fd6e…
05-16 11:16:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x42c045…
05-15 06:44:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xefbc70…
05-14 21:15:51	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x2e38ab…
05-14 21:14:19	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc2a509…
05-14 21:13:42	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6f0acf…
05-14 20:29:38	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x902fde…
05-14 11:01:05	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd3cca5…
05-14 11:00:46	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x42ad79…
05-14 11:00:28	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0x77dd34…
05-14 11:00:18	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x49c006…
05-14 10:59:57	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0xb113bc…
05-14 10:26:47	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0xbc3eed…
05-14 10:26:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xf7542b…
05-14 10:21:56	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	755	2¢	$15	0x392eb9…
05-14 09:22:07	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeee20e…
05-14 04:55:57	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5c3e4b…
05-14 04:54:10	Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x918ba1…
05-13 23:32:05	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0xf2ebbf…
05-13 23:29:20	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb7c667…
05-13 15:07:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe4eab6…
05-13 05:17:08	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff18c9…
05-13 05:15:32	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe4dcb6…
05-10 19:18:46	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	2,000	0¢	$4	0x856aa2…
05-05 18:55:16	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xb49903…
05-05 18:55:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x2eb2b9…