Clueless-Sage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$787

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,356

lifetime

Volume

$69.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-11 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 43% +$787

Other

19% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$8.1K	25,867	25,867	+0	open	—	04-07 23:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	35	$8.1K	72,230	72,230	+0	open	—	04-21 20:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	22	$4.7K	4,067	4,067	+0	open	—	08-09 22:11
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	91	$3.3K	205,903	205,903	+0	open	—	04-22 19:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	87	$2.9K	58,514	62,522	-4,008	open	—	05-01 03:47
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	46	$2.5K	28,216	23,389	+4,827	open	—	08-10 16:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	32	$2.4K	58,582	18,582	+40,000	open	—	04-30 04:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	30	$2.1K	86,791	59,447	+27,345	open	—	03-31 22:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$2.1K	153,455	153,455	+0	open	—	04-24 10:41
will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	15	$2.0K	1,749	1,052	+698	open	—	08-11 10:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$1.9K	20,049	20,049	+0	open	—	04-24 11:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.7K	2,020	2,020	+0	Yes	+$802	05-09 07:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$1.7K	21,725	21,725	+0	open	—	05-24 19:50
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	29	$1.6K	29,685	10,610	+19,075	open	—	08-10 21:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	45	$1.3K	79,257	79,257	+0	open	—	04-12 13:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	26	$1.3K	105,612	54,398	+51,214	open	—	05-27 00:56
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	10	$1.1K	943	943	+0	open	—	06-17 10:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	17	$1.1K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	05-24 10:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.0K	733	733	+0	open	—	05-31 02:11
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	7	$982	1,341	1,175	+166	open	—	06-14 21:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	122	$907	30,016	30,016	+0	open	—	05-14 16:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$848	2,870	2,870	+0	open	—	04-22 06:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	45	$772	30,052	30,052	+0	open	—	05-14 17:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	5	$719	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	04-25 05:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	3	$658	501	501	+0	open	—	08-06 10:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	29	$650	23,019	23,019	+0	open	—	04-20 03:58
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$553	601	601	+0	open	—	06-01 19:10
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	13	$486	300,603	0	+300,603	open	—	05-25 05:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	6	$443	32,828	32,828	+0	open	—	04-24 17:02
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	5	$419	2,992	2,992	+0	open	—	04-22 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:18:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	3,176	3¢	$100	0x980b7c…
08-11 10:45:01	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x29b2f6…
08-11 10:11:15	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	106	92¢	$97	0x316771…
08-10 21:00:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,871	4¢	$78	0xbbe378…
08-10 20:59:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	1,910	4¢	$77	0x29c9f6…
08-10 20:58:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	2,072	4¢	$89	0x0ea7a9…
08-10 20:58:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	29,750	0¢	$89	0xd5a9ea…
08-10 20:24:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	29,750	0¢	$119	0x0fb4fe…
08-10 16:49:43	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xb50153…
08-10 16:49:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	463	4¢	$19	0x9cbe48…
08-10 16:47:52	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	84	8¢	$7	0x4a530f…
08-10 16:47:12	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x70879a…
08-10 15:33:21	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	494	8¢	$39	0xb47992…
08-10 15:32:24	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,030	8¢	$160	0x234450…
08-10 15:30:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,180	4¢	$90	0x912a75…
08-10 15:30:31	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	112	80¢	$90	0x97dac3…
08-10 07:19:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x565837…
08-09 22:43:06	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,861	6¢	$105	0xd69e36…
08-09 22:15:34	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	139	4¢	$5	0xce9e7d…
08-09 22:13:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x66436a…
08-09 22:12:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,343	4¢	$60	0xf9565a…
08-09 22:11:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0xb20948…
08-09 20:54:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	822	4¢	$30	0x3b43be…
08-09 20:33:30	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x53c3fa…
08-09 20:26:33	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x6efa7e…
08-09 18:22:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,458	3¢	$50	0x05d9f5…
08-09 18:16:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x38e1f5…
08-09 14:42:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x467081…
08-09 14:15:46	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x23e052…
08-09 14:14:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	236	4¢	$10	0xd38853…
08-09 13:46:28	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4bfdd6…
08-09 09:54:21	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaa9ff3…
08-09 09:01:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	312	86¢	$268	0xe63e03…
08-08 22:47:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	612	86¢	$526	0x712a1e…
08-08 15:26:24	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6,999	4¢	$280	0x945b4b…
08-08 15:25:21	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x14d1ef…
08-08 15:25:01	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,151	3¢	$32	0x8ef959…
08-08 14:21:18	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2,455	4¢	$92	0xca4d0a…
08-08 13:18:01	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2,504	4¢	$106	0xe7c895…
08-08 06:03:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	6,148	0¢	$18	0x4cbee4…
08-08 06:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	8,358	0¢	$12	0x4b016d…
08-08 00:25:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0xcae823…
08-07 21:54:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$1	0x7a73b9…
08-07 21:54:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1,502	1¢	$10	0xcb2c4c…
08-07 21:14:10	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$3	0x6e6dc0…
08-07 19:15:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4,456	2¢	$70	0xf80cad…
08-07 19:15:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,882	4¢	$75	0x49a3d5…
08-07 19:12:00	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,124	9¢	$97	0x65329a…
08-07 19:11:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,570	4¢	$105	0x47225d…
08-07 19:10:03	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xf01824…
08-07 19:08:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	965	4¢	$40	0x8b2830…
08-07 19:01:45	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$2	0x6db3af…
08-07 19:01:09	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	612	1¢	$9	0x29be51…
08-07 17:44:34	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	146	83¢	$121	0x917351…
08-07 17:44:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	3,064	4¢	$122	0xa5f0da…
08-07 17:34:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	3,450	1¢	$44	0x595225…
08-07 17:19:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	8,326	1¢	$50	0x57addf…
08-07 15:39:04	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0x90de6a…
08-07 12:41:55	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2,296	5¢	$121	0x985f54…
08-07 11:26:06	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xe2aaca…
08-07 10:59:49	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	899	1¢	$13	0xebf80d…
08-07 06:08:37	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	222	82¢	$182	0x2d41b2…
08-07 06:08:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,128	5¢	$99	0x32cf61…
08-07 05:47:55	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x3be96f…
08-06 23:51:08	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,482	7¢	$100	0x2ca004…
08-06 23:26:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	521	5¢	$25	0x3801cc…
08-06 23:25:53	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	814	3¢	$27	0x47eac6…
08-06 22:55:26	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x027d2f…
08-06 22:55:09	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	866	3¢	$26	0xea8617…
08-06 22:13:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	354	5¢	$17	0x2e9629…
08-06 22:13:32	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	3,181	1¢	$18	0xba7368…
08-06 22:13:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x2e28e4…
08-06 22:12:56	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	146	4¢	$5	0x5b58f5…
08-06 22:12:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	479	5¢	$23	0x02ed0a…
08-06 22:12:12	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	451	4¢	$18	0xdd2d3c…
08-06 22:07:42	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	152	4¢	$7	0xb748fc…
08-06 22:06:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,458	5¢	$70	0x22d1bd…
08-06 22:05:54	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,688	4¢	$73	0x4aa2b0…
08-06 22:05:05	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,173	5¢	$100	0x05115a…
08-06 22:04:26	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	703	4¢	$30	0x160cd9…
08-06 22:04:08	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	178	4¢	$8	0x85b159…
08-06 22:03:56	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,544	5¢	$70	0x8b2365…
08-06 21:48:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,594	4¢	$71	0xd4a644…
08-06 21:47:45	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,232	5¢	$60	0x1621dd…
08-06 21:34:53	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	930	2¢	$14	0xd43fb7…
08-06 21:28:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,273	4¢	$100	0x8ba476…
08-06 19:01:38	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,409	4¢	$100	0xf91abb…
08-06 17:50:32	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	3,003	3¢	$99	0xd412ee…
08-06 17:11:53	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	594	3¢	$19	0x7b2357…
08-06 16:14:44	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0x7f639e…
08-06 12:59:24	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	946	63¢	$596	0x363346…
08-06 12:38:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	276	3¢	$8	0xae0e74…
08-06 12:00:48	will bitcoin dip to 56k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1,998	0¢	$9	0xca71a0…
08-06 10:06:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	386	73¢	$283	0x1044c5…
08-06 08:31:27	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	279	66¢	$184	0xed939f…
08-06 07:18:14	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	331	1¢	$4	0x287115…
08-06 07:18:06	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	409	1¢	$5	0x38824a…
08-06 07:17:57	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$6	0xe29253…
08-06 07:14:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	115	65¢	$75	0xa78bd6…
08-05 22:14:56	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	161	59¢	$95	0x7f7776…