Realized P&L
-$216
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
364
Trades
90,178
lifetime
Volume
$656.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$3
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 09-09 09:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% -$69
Sports
33% 0% -$110
Other
17% 0% -$34
Crypto
1% 0% -$2
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 593 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $2 100¢ $1 $0 08-22 12:43
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-20 08:12
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 05-28 00:03
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 09:22
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 07:22
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 07-05 03:04
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 01:09
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 06-29 01:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 04:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-13 21:41
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 07:40
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $0 08-21 09:08
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-21 19:32
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 08-20 00:48
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 08-21 05:40
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $0 08-20 11:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-22 01:40
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-22 04:52
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-20 23:24
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-15 20:39
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-20 22:55
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-22 06:38
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $2 100¢ $0 -$2 08-20 19:08
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-18 11:08
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $2 100¢ $0 -$2 08-20 09:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 07-06 16:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-22 09:08
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-20 01:38
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 08-15 05:32
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 08-20 11:55