Soupy-Bowl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.46K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-03 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% — —

Other

25% 100% +$90

Crypto

8% 0% $-5

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$144.7K	105,000	40,000	+65,000	Yes	+$90	05-03 18:48
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	9	$135.0K	67,598	67,598	+0	open	—	03-03 20:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	24	$132.9K	96,685	36,925	+59,760	open	—	06-03 03:00
will trump say waste this week march 1	12	$132.0K	66,146	66,146	+0	open	—	03-05 18:06
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	10	$114.1K	89,917	25,230	+64,687	open	—	05-11 21:10
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	40	$89.5K	70,000	20,000	+50,000	open	—	02-27 23:47
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	17	$88.8K	44,513	44,513	+0	open	—	03-03 16:23
will iran strike israel on march 10	13	$85.7K	75,830	10,236	+65,595	open	—	03-16 14:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$80.3K	40,881	40,881	+0	open	—	05-26 01:09
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$75.3K	65,355	10,000	+55,355	open	—	03-13 19:14
us strikes iraq by february 28	41	$69.2K	34,691	34,691	-0	open	—	03-04 01:26
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	202	$67.1K	23,784	43,571	-19,788	open	—	03-18 21:54
will iran strike israel on march 6	14	$65.1K	65,289	0	+65,289	open	—	03-10 20:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$64.8K	65,030	0	+65,030	open	—	04-29 05:56
Will Trump dance today?	13	$64.6K	64,841	0	+64,841	open	—	04-28 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$62.2K	31,149	31,149	+0	open	—	05-30 01:37
will iran strike israel on march 4	21	$50.4K	50,500	0	+50,500	open	—	03-06 19:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$46.6K	23,308	23,308	+0	open	—	03-03 16:12
Will the US strike Iran next?	30	$42.9K	44,147	0	+44,147	open	—	02-28 22:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$41.5K	41,560	65	+41,495	open	—	05-21 17:05
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	7	$39.8K	19,930	20,000	-70	open	—	06-01 00:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$4.0K	3,976	0	+3,976	open	—	02-28 07:36
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	3	$976	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-01 02:52
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 06:28
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 09:33
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 19:17
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$6	57	0	+57	open	—	05-13 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-13 22:17
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	05-13 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 03:00:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,360	100¢	$7,331	0xbb0384…
06-03 00:08:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x720f2b…
06-03 00:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x8f9931…
06-03 00:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x441cbe…
06-03 00:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$117	0x332fed…
06-03 00:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x30b468…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xeb0589…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xc7b70b…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xaf2f15…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x4fe2c5…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x4c2a38…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x20bc38…
06-03 00:08:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x16b2e8…
06-03 00:08:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,517	99¢	$2,502	0x43e436…
06-02 23:54:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,378	99¢	$1,367	0xbbfd1b…
06-02 23:50:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	99¢	$2,381	0x509cab…
06-02 23:48:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,570	99¢	$1,557	0x1bfc7a…
06-02 23:47:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x73d7db…
06-02 23:42:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x951426…
06-02 22:19:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,388	99¢	$6,330	0xf993b8…
06-01 23:29:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36,946	99¢	$36,724	0x353e98…
06-01 22:32:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36,925	100¢	$36,740	0x167738…
06-01 21:35:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,625	100¢	$5,608	0x8411f0…
06-01 21:32:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31,300	100¢	$31,175	0x7c3664…
06-01 00:24:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xb541f1…
05-31 21:10:47	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,940	0x38deb7…
05-31 21:10:31	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9,300	100¢	$9,254	0x62df13…
05-31 21:09:11	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x690244…
05-31 21:06:18	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6b5e01…
05-31 21:04:59	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x36d4b8…
05-31 20:59:39	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x674c2f…
05-30 01:37:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	31,149	100¢	$31,118	0x5ee9e9…
05-30 00:52:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	6,149	100¢	$6,124	0x2a1fec…
05-30 00:03:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	18,885	100¢	$18,828	0xd4b01e…
05-30 00:02:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,112	0xed1ed4…
05-30 00:01:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x98d77a…
05-26 01:09:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	342	99¢	$338	0xfd9f7d…
05-26 00:58:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xf68d00…
05-26 00:58:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	20,941	99¢	$20,668	0xd0a004…
05-26 00:58:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x35c6c7…
05-26 00:44:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	21,324	98¢	$20,834	0xfefa29…
05-26 00:24:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5,833	99¢	$5,746	0x28e77e…
05-26 00:23:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	13,724	99¢	$13,522	0xb79061…
05-26 00:18:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	9,993	98¢	$9,793	0xfb23e7…
05-26 00:17:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,969	98¢	$4,860	0xf5e30d…
05-26 00:09:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,545	98¢	$4,445	0x8a5cd6…
05-26 00:09:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd396ca…
05-21 17:05:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	41,495	100¢	$41,454	0x6d4dea…
05-14 19:17:33	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xaa0a28…
05-14 19:16:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	65	45¢	$29	0xe51143…
05-14 09:33:49	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0833a5…
05-14 06:28:40	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5bbee…
05-13 22:30:02	Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1,024	0¢	$2	0xa21c48…
05-13 22:20:06	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0fe88c…
05-13 22:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x201870…
05-13 21:59:41	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x0e436d…
05-13 21:39:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0xc445c6…
05-11 21:10:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	64,687	100¢	$64,558	0x1f29f4…
05-11 03:11:46	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	12,451	99¢	$12,327	0x524a53…
05-11 00:21:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	12,778	96¢	$12,226	0x20a396…
05-10 23:50:47	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x6d956c…
05-10 23:50:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0x3fed8b…
05-10 23:46:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0xfa671e…
05-10 23:42:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	789	98¢	$774	0x67d8cf…
05-10 23:40:45	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1,186	98¢	$1,163	0xdecb5b…
05-10 22:44:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	17,449	99¢	$17,275	0x69c92c…
05-10 20:45:27	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5,079	99¢	$5,023	0x483a28…
05-03 18:48:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	65,000	100¢	$64,870	0xc036bb…
05-03 08:51:34	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40,000	100¢	$39,880	0xbe3dcc…
05-03 04:25:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,920	0xc91b9e…
04-29 05:56:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	65,030	100¢	$64,835	0xc49a56…
04-28 00:00:46	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	6,223	100¢	$6,210	0x8f1dd7…
04-27 23:59:26	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	895	100¢	$893	0xf51ee7…
04-27 23:58:48	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xc995d9…
04-27 23:58:08	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc0bb94…
04-27 20:03:36	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,920	0xc767b4…
04-27 01:34:02	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	7,110	99¢	$7,039	0xcd2905…
04-27 01:32:32	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	857	99¢	$848	0x045f5e…
04-27 01:27:32	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	6,632	99¢	$6,599	0x8c5068…
04-27 01:14:04	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,089	0x238994…
04-27 01:01:10	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x3c159c…
04-27 00:59:02	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x897eed…
04-27 00:58:20	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x4f1d67…
04-27 00:52:34	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x97e57d…
03-18 21:54:43	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	30,204	100¢	$30,143	0x18dd49…
03-18 21:54:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf81209…
03-18 21:52:53	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1,240	100¢	$1,237	0x33b94b…
03-18 21:44:59	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1,161	100¢	$1,158	0x1e0689…
03-18 21:38:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1,898	100¢	$1,894	0x855b81…
03-18 18:12:09	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xda7de0…
03-18 18:11:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfef7bb…
03-18 18:11:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf55141…
03-18 18:11:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe24144…
03-18 18:11:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d277e…
03-18 18:11:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6aee41…
03-18 17:53:33	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x918f91…
03-18 17:53:33	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x063ab7…
03-18 17:53:31	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd3f436…
03-18 17:53:31	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x84c29c…
03-18 17:53:31	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x40e6e8…