Shadowy-Culture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

255

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$566

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-27 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

82% 47% -$31

Politics

8% 75% +$5

Sports

8% 35% -$9

Crypto

1% 40% -$1

Tech

1% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+17	$2	12¢	$2	+$0	08-17 02:40
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+16	$2	12¢	$2	+$0	08-17 02:40
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+14	$2	12¢	$2	$0	08-17 02:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	08-17 02:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	07-20 01:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	16¢	$1	+$0	08-17 02:40
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	6¢	$0	$0	07-20 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 16c	2	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$6	03-27 05:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$24	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 04:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 20c	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	04-02 04:04
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 22c	2	$15	16	16	+0	Yes	-$12	03-30 06:41
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	5	$13	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-09 09:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	04-03 10:00
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 19c	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	03-27 05:34
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	03-30 04:06
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 26c	5	$9	24	23	+1	No	+$1	04-05 13:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 20c	3	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	-$8	04-04 06:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 15c	3	$8	11	4	+7	No	-$1	04-07 02:18
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	3	$6	7	1	+5	No	-$4	04-16 02:22
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	1	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	-$6	03-27 05:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	4	$6	9	8	+0	Yes	+$2	04-05 13:30
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	4	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-16 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 04:45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	07-07 07:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	04-14 06:04
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	04-03 10:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 19corhigher	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 01:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 25c	2	$4	18	17	+1	No	+$2	04-04 06:09
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	04-23 09:05
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 23c	4	$4	13	13	+1	No	+$0	04-05 04:13
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	07-13 01:09
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 27corhigher	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 06:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 29c	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 09:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 24c	3	$3	7	4	+3	No	-$1	04-05 16:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-17 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 09:38
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:01:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x900d54…
09-09 05:50:15	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf7752e…
09-09 05:49:55	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x896e8b…
09-01 09:54:10	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xebde91…
09-01 09:52:55	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb4d17e…
09-01 09:51:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xb7c012…
08-17 02:40:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaed88b…
08-17 02:40:09	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfae661…
08-17 02:40:06	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xddaa5b…
08-17 02:40:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3043b…
08-17 02:39:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x833fb1…
08-17 02:38:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x105f8a…
08-17 02:37:40	Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdb2914…
08-17 02:37:06	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x2c013b…
08-17 02:36:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe486db…
08-17 02:36:43	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb2d1b2…
08-03 03:47:33	Will Henan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x644d0a…
08-03 03:47:08	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x400a24…
08-03 03:47:02	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x26a078…
08-03 03:46:54	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x924eaf…
08-03 03:40:33	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbf3e5f…
08-03 03:40:29	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4c6a1c…
08-03 03:38:05	Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x159389…
08-03 03:37:47	Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd09c3d…
08-03 03:37:29	Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8e2e98…
08-03 03:37:24	Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76d006…
08-03 03:36:53	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x985319…
08-03 03:36:44	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x35e751…
08-03 03:36:44	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x332875…
07-31 08:10:17	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe62e40…
07-31 08:09:50	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x21ed84…
07-31 08:09:24	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x13e857…
07-31 08:08:39	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd29614…
07-31 08:07:54	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7f3c3c…
07-31 08:04:35	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xde0c24…
07-31 08:04:11	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5f91b7…
07-31 07:52:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a0cd4…
07-31 07:50:48	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2e8a87…
07-31 07:45:50	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4ebad3…
07-31 07:44:03	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3ad537…
07-31 07:43:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x97404f…
07-31 07:43:47	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x9da438…
07-28 03:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf3a96f…
07-28 03:46:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbf1d07…
07-28 03:46:01	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x584a5e…
07-20 01:59:21	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b5601…
07-20 01:59:03	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc5f1b6…
07-20 01:58:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6bdc8d…
07-20 01:58:36	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x524c15…
07-20 01:56:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1b2674…
07-20 01:56:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x309748…
07-20 01:55:39	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3e12b0…
07-20 01:54:40	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2d2a88…
07-17 07:56:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0bcdf4…
07-17 07:56:48	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9fecfe…
07-17 07:55:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcb5510…
07-16 01:38:46	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8736e3…
07-16 01:38:32	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf277e3…
07-16 01:37:23	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x5a3a8e…
07-13 01:13:01	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a6357…
07-13 01:12:46	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x21736f…
07-13 01:12:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7deb7e…
07-13 01:10:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x95cd58…
07-13 01:10:05	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1566ed…
07-13 01:09:59	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9ca010…
07-13 01:09:53	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdd7ba0…
07-13 01:09:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e1784…
07-13 01:09:29	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbd926a…
07-10 04:20:43	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7ba73a…
07-10 04:20:17	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c7655…
07-10 04:19:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x205a57…
07-10 04:19:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0e3e56…
07-08 01:21:52	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x495d84…
07-08 01:21:37	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x477068…
07-08 01:21:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0d5d11…
07-07 07:54:34	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d1376…
07-07 07:54:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc55342…
07-07 07:53:58	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5002be…
07-07 07:53:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xfc131e…
07-07 07:53:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20cb8b…
07-07 07:53:56	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0fe403…
07-07 07:53:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x105c53…
07-07 07:52:10	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4f5fe2…
07-07 01:28:02	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x910a72…
07-07 01:27:29	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc1d305…
07-07 01:27:07	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfbe7a1…
07-07 01:26:56	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0f4b47…
07-07 01:26:46	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3360f0…
07-07 01:26:23	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9a0a44…
07-07 01:25:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x189b76…
07-07 01:25:13	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x80291a…
07-07 01:24:59	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff8c36…
07-06 03:21:13	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x88b675…
07-06 03:21:10	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x52928b…
07-06 03:20:59	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x72b172…
07-06 03:20:53	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c350c…
07-06 03:20:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc788c3…
07-06 03:20:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x175ea2…
07-06 03:20:07	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf62b41…
07-06 03:20:01	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xeff568…