Realized P&L
-$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved
4,344
Trades
13,247
lifetime
Volume
$486.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$781
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-28 22:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% +$23,092
Sports
27% 39% -$36,230
Politics
4% 33% -$51
Crypto
2% 28% -$399
Tech
0% 38% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +581 $500 96¢ $558 +$58 10-25 15:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +241 $53 18¢ $44 -$9 09-29 16:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +91 $25 46¢ $41 +$16 10-27 16:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +217 $9 15¢ $31 +$22 10-27 12:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $6 90¢ $15 +$9 06-07 19:17
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$1 05-17 20:36
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42 $11 18¢ $7 -$3 10-25 01:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$2 05-22 22:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 08-16 12:33
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-13 06:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-16 07:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 -$1 16¢ $5 +$6 09-29 15:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +26 $4 18¢ $5 +$1 10-12 13:53
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7 $5 62¢ $4 -$1 09-11 16:07
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 8¢ $4 $0 10-28 14:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +44 $4 8¢ $3 -$1 10-28 14:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +101 $29 3¢ $3 -$25 10-28 14:27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7 $3 42¢ $3 $0 10-28 14:28
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +406 $9 1¢ $3 -$6 10-27 02:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-27 10:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6 -$7 39¢ $2 +$9 09-16 08:59
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +161 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 07-12 03:36
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +2,000 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 07-01 00:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +59 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-28 14:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 10-28 14:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $2 23¢ $2 $0 10-28 14:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-28 14:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +64 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 10-28 14:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-02 17:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-28 14:25