Will Egypt win on 2026-11-17?
open
Total volume
$2,725
$2,161 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$2,622
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2026-11-17
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-14 14:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 87% YES on $2.1K
vs crowd: 89% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $496 | $12 | +$485 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1.9K | $7 | +$1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $294 | $294 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $45 | $3 | +$41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1.9K | $279 | +$1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 2 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $561 | $3 | +$558 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x578a…c93e | Yes | +2,053 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 1 | 11-14 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | +1,968 | $196 | $196 | 6 | 11-14 09:49 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +583 | $496 | $496 | 2 | 11-13 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc73b…f046 | No | +500 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 11-13 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-14 09:49 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +80 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-14 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf030…dbba | Yes | +71 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 11-14 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x57d8…5296 | Yes | +47 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-13 12:02 |
| Tired-Drawing 0x576c…f218 | No | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 03:27 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-14 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbce1…197a | No | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc732…3561 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-14 10:48 |
| Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | +12 | $1 | $19 | 6 | 11-14 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bce…22a2 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b8a…69a4 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-14 09:49 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 23:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 14:52:11 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | SELL | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x04c726… |
| 11-14 14:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x04c726… |
| 11-14 14:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x3bce…22a2 | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x04c726… |
| 11-14 10:49:19 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x80ff94… |
| 11-14 10:49:19 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x80ff94… |
| 11-14 10:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xc732…3561 | No | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa8056a… |
| 11-14 10:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa8056a… |
| 11-14 10:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | No | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa8056a… |
| 11-14 09:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 71 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x5f90e9… |
| 11-14 09:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x19bb1c… |
| 11-14 09:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xf030…dbba | Yes | BUY | 71 | 91¢ | $65 | 0x5f90e9… |
| 11-14 09:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x0b8a…69a4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x19bb1c… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | No | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 1,342 | 9¢ | $121 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-14 09:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x578a…c93e | Yes | BUY | 2,053 | 90¢ | $1,850 | 0x5fc849… |
| 11-13 12:02:36 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc40ba8… |
| 11-13 12:02:36 | (anonymous) 0xbce1…197a | No | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc40ba8… |
| 11-13 12:02:36 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | BUY | 24 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xc40ba8… |
| 11-13 12:02:36 | (anonymous) 0x57d8…5296 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xc40ba8… |
| 11-13 06:43:09 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 42 | 16¢ | $7 | 0xaeb9f5… |
| 11-13 06:43:09 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | SELL | 36 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xaeb9f5… |
| 11-13 06:43:09 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | No | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaeb9f5… |
| 11-13 03:27:37 | Tired-Drawing 0x576c…f218 | No | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x0a6eca… |
| 11-13 03:27:37 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 359 | 85¢ | $306 | 0x0a6eca… |
| 11-13 03:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xc73b…f046 | No | BUY | 281 | 15¢ | $42 | 0x0a6eca… |
| 11-13 03:27:37 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | No | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x0a6eca… |
| 11-13 03:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xee96…86b4 | No | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0a6eca… |
| 11-12 23:37:40 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 224 | 85¢ | $190 | 0xe261ea… |
| 11-12 23:37:40 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe261ea… |
| 11-12 23:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xc73b…f046 | No | BUY | 219 | 15¢ | $33 | 0xe261ea… |