Common-Haunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

7,646

Trades

12,761

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-30 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 41% -$332

Other

35% 54% +$129

Politics

4% 38% -$42

Sports

2% 58% +$32

Tech

0% 67% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	—	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-30 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	25	$116	146	146	+0	No	+$2	03-27 16:35
Al-Sailiya SC vs. Al Rayyan SC: Al-Sailiya SC 1st Half O/U 0.5	2	$100	100	100	+0	Under	+$98	10-23 17:37
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	25	$99	126	126	+0	Yes	-$5	03-27 13:08
ethereum above 1900 on march 4	6	$85	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	03-04 03:34
ethereum above 1900 on march 6	4	$81	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 15:58
atp basavar dietric 2026 09 26	31	$78	85	76	+9	Nishesh Basavareddy	-$3	09-27 03:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	4	$66	37	37	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 07:11
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	11	$61	68	68	+0	Yes	+$5	03-28 14:21
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	4	$58	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 08:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	6	$58	33	33	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 09:31
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	12	$51	48	48	+0	No	-$2	04-07 20:34
atp droguet prizmic 2026 09 26	16	$50	41	41	+0	Titouan Droguet	+$3	09-26 17:15
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	10	$49	88	63	+25	Yes	-$8	03-26 16:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	11	$47	75	75	+0	Yes	-$2	03-27 02:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$47	31	31	+0	No	-$1	04-20 08:18
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$47	61	61	+0	Yes	-$1	04-07 20:34
ethereum above 1800 on march 5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 01:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$41	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 03:45
ethereum above 1800 on march 9	4	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	03-08 07:49
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	2	$40	22	22	+0	No	-$1	03-06 06:29
ethereum above 1700 on february 25	5	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 05:18
bitcoin above 68k on march 8	2	$40	22	22	+0	No	$0	03-05 10:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	2	$39	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	03-04 22:44
bitcoin above 62k on february 20	5	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 21:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	11	$39	46	45	+1	No	-$1	03-30 19:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$39	25	25	+0	No	-$2	03-27 13:53
atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	14	$39	40	40	+0	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	+$10	09-27 00:16
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	8	$37	162	162	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 01:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	4	$36	23	23	+0	No	-$1	03-26 03:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 13:35 UTC	3	$35	28	28	+0	Down	-$5	02-23 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb9cfd8…
10-30 09:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xec4dc5…
10-30 09:13:36	Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd70f46…
10-30 09:12:10	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8a9a6d…
10-30 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9cd73b…
10-30 09:11:46	Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeca9b9…
10-30 09:11:46	Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)	Auckland FC	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x579d0c…
10-30 09:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x39f041…
10-30 09:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x46fed0…
10-30 09:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2b9fa5…
10-30 09:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x14ba46…
10-30 08:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1099ad…
10-30 08:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c422f…
10-30 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1acbdb…
10-30 08:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3c4b3b…
10-30 08:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x93be6c…
10-30 08:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd0aa4d…
10-30 07:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe063ea…
10-30 07:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1956a8…
10-30 07:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe3acf8…
10-30 07:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8abbc2…
10-30 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7f88a2…
10-30 07:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xabbd48…
10-30 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xced3d6…
10-30 07:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x172c57…
10-30 07:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6bb68f…
10-30 07:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95df17…
10-30 07:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x683364…
10-30 07:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa597de…
10-30 07:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53b4e1…
10-30 06:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab48ec…
10-30 06:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x849959…
10-30 06:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b0d20…
10-30 06:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xadc5f9…
10-30 06:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x600314…
10-30 06:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x95b34a…
10-30 06:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6e2a4d…
10-30 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9f1ebd…
10-30 05:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68039e…
10-30 05:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd97246…
10-30 05:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x877806…
10-30 05:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ba15c…
10-30 05:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbe161c…
10-30 05:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9fcf40…
10-30 05:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf0c13d…
10-30 05:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x1d2922…
10-30 05:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80ac93…
10-30 05:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x42d1d2…
10-30 05:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed3ac3…
10-30 05:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb30ff6…
10-30 05:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf69cfb…
10-30 05:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9df47a…
10-30 05:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x602806…
10-30 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x54ef09…
10-30 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2a432…
10-30 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa232d…
10-30 04:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x77fae1…
10-30 04:36:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x76f167…
10-30 04:19:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5	Under	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x09d17b…
10-30 04:19:37	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8676e5…
10-30 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd5ffed…
10-30 04:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b168e…
10-30 04:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd4c5d2…
10-30 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x324ad3…
10-30 04:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ced1d…
10-30 04:08:54	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4657c9…
10-30 04:07:55	Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed4986…
10-30 04:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x827f0d…
10-30 04:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd4c9fc…
10-30 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x95da40…
10-30 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b0122…
10-30 03:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c2dbd…
10-30 03:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x0617d1…
10-30 03:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5e3aa1…
10-30 03:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x05daa0…
10-30 03:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5d3a4a…
10-30 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed6954…
10-30 03:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa5ea79…
10-30 03:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f93b3…
10-30 03:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x4c03d6…
10-30 03:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa1e32d…
10-30 02:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfb623c…
10-30 02:40:25	Will Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x2eadde…
10-30 02:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaecf73…
10-30 02:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcfc060…
10-30 02:28:57	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xefd231…
10-30 02:28:57	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1cfe0f…
10-30 02:28:54	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6f5c1e…
10-30 02:27:19	Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd9959f…
10-30 02:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcbadbb…
10-30 02:22:36	Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)	Pelicans	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc649ad…
10-30 02:20:43	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xebe703…
10-30 02:19:33	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f0829…
10-30 02:18:01	Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x897fc4…
10-30 02:17:57	FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7250c…
10-30 02:10:00	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x74048a…
10-30 02:09:54	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4551a8…
10-30 02:09:18	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40b2c3…
10-30 02:09:03	Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf48f0…
10-30 02:07:51	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Hawks	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb416d7…