Dense-Ninja 0x70d94a…e7a684
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$39.5K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
3,175
Trades
136,385
lifetime
Volume
$3.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$181.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-28 02:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Sports
72% 94% +$598
Other
21% 95% +$6,091
Politics
6% 91% +$9,305
Tech
1% 60% -$6,937
Crypto
0% 95% +$7
Pop-Culture
0% 91% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -62,788 -$46,597 97¢ $-60873 -$14,276 07-04 05:09
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -46,010 -$30,427 97¢ $-44791 -$14,363 06-24 11:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -25,587 -$12,178 100¢ $-25497 -$13,319 07-03 16:19
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -13,933 -$11,388 100¢ $-13884 -$2,496 07-04 09:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -11,973 -$7,313 94¢ $-11194 -$3,882 07-02 05:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -5,145 -$3,286 58¢ $-2984 +$302 06-18 06:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -3,592 -$2,759 81¢ $-2924 -$165 07-04 15:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5,141 -$1,817 46¢ $-2339 -$522 06-30 17:08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -5,145 -$1,099 42¢ $-2153 -$1,054 06-17 17:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,925 -$1,605 86¢ $-1651 -$46 06-30 07:19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -2,123 -$950 66¢ $-1412 -$462 06-05 11:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5,141 -$1,975 25¢ $-1306 +$669 06-30 19:58
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -46,010 -$3,625 3¢ $-1265 +$2,360 06-24 10:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,744 -$177 43¢ $-1184 -$1,007 06-30 16:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -62,788 -$9,622 2¢ $-1005 +$8,618 07-03 20:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -830 -$697 92¢ $-768 -$71 07-04 09:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -11,973 -$1,766 6¢ $-712 +$1,054 07-03 06:03
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -1,167 -$1,004 52¢ $-601 +$403 06-28 04:54
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,989 -$204 15¢ $-592 -$389 06-02 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -2,123 -$726 28¢ $-584 +$142 06-07 12:17
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -1,167 -$156 45¢ $-526 -$369 06-26 12:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -3,592 -$528 15¢ $-521 +$7 07-03 19:34
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,744 -$498 18¢ $-480 +$18 07-01 18:55
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,989 -$287 12¢ $-459 -$172 06-02 06:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,744 -$70 15¢ $-419 -$349 06-27 11:24
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,989 -$279 10¢ $-401 -$122 06-03 04:45
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes -381 -$153 96¢ $-364 -$211 05-30 17:38
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,989 -$371 8¢ $-299 +$72 06-02 05:42
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,989 -$395 8¢ $-299 +$96 06-04 13:59
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,744 -$291 11¢ $-288 +$3 07-05 13:32