Realized P&L
-$762
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
1,139
Trades
5,066
lifetime
Volume
$50.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$583
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-28 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
71% 53% -$612
Crypto
12% 59% -$115
Politics
10% 77% -$38
Sports
7% 63% +$2
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +64 $49 84¢ $54 +$4 08-18 01:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +34 $30 98¢ $34 +$4 10-13 18:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +31 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 09-25 16:44
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +35 $30 88¢ $31 +$1 10-26 20:48
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 10-26 00:19
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-20 13:04
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-26 11:28
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $33 90¢ $30 -$3 10-17 07:09
GTA VI released by October 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-28 12:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 10-28 16:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 10-26 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 10-27 13:22
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +33 $30 92¢ $30 $0 10-26 00:17
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 09-16 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $30 91¢ $30 $0 09-18 02:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +34 $30 84¢ $28 -$2 10-13 20:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +51 $30 45¢ $23 -$7 09-30 18:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $17 68¢ $19 +$2 09-26 12:55
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +19 $17 91¢ $17 $0 10-26 00:17
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-01 00:13
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $6 26¢ $8 +$1 09-22 17:11