Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.34K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

141

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$166.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$316

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-04 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

47% 62% -$1,766

Other

47% 73% -$109

Tech

3% 67% +$2

Crypto

1% 20% -$253

Pop-Culture

1% 67% -$135

Sports

0% 38% -$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191456653	No		+10	$8	87¢	$9	+$1	08-21 21:30
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No		+10	$5	66¢	$7	+$1	08-14 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	19	$22.0K	11,965	10,160	+1,805	No	+$16	01-19 04:52
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	12	$12.8K	7,150	5,710	+1,440	No	+$13	02-16 22:34
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	30	$12.4K	6,196	6,196	+0	No	+$10	03-30 03:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	58	$7.0K	3,509	3,509	+0	No	+$8	09-16 13:52
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	5	$6.4K	3,230	3,230	+0	No	+$21	02-24 04:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	20	$5.8K	3,396	2,400	+996	Yes	+$2	04-01 00:59
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	9	$5.7K	2,836	2,836	+0	No	+$7	02-16 04:41
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	5	$4.2K	2,800	1,400	+1,400	No	+$14	02-10 18:27
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	13	$4.2K	2,760	1,410	+1,350	No	+$10	02-12 03:22
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	8	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$117	02-28 04:44
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	5	$3.3K	1,680	1,680	+0	No	+$24	02-27 04:28
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$3.3K	1,650	1,650	+0	No	+$23	02-25 03:15
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$13	02-23 04:07
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	11	$3.1K	1,590	1,590	+0	Vitality	+$45	02-22 19:10
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	3	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$5	01-27 04:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$24	01-31 23:44
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$36	02-20 03:40
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	6	$2.9K	1,480	1,480	+0	No	+$16	02-19 03:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$19	02-08 19:57
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	13	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$7	02-15 02:05
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$2.7K	1,340	1,340	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$2.7K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	+$7	04-30 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$2.6K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	+$15	04-28 16:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$2.6K	1,327	1,327	+0	No	+$25	02-21 03:24
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	2	$2.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	Yes	$0	04-12 21:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$2.6K	1,319	1,319	+0	Yes	-$2	04-23 17:08
deepseek v4 released by march 21	6	$2.3K	1,153	1,153	+0	No	+$6	03-22 03:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$2.3K	1,430	1,430	+0	No	+$0	03-20 18:32
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	02-12 22:29
will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	8	$1.9K	967	967	+0	Yes	+$53	01-29 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 21:53:47	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x45adc1…
10-04 21:53:44	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x83d810…
10-04 21:53:35	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa625a5…
10-02 01:51:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	237	98¢	$232	0x73747c…
10-02 01:14:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb126e7…
10-02 00:14:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b75f5…
10-02 00:14:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x42b022…
10-02 00:13:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x8de90b…
10-01 00:44:47	Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?	No	BUY	617	100¢	$616	0x02090f…
09-16 13:52:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	610	100¢	$609	0xfd88f2…
09-08 07:29:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	610	100¢	$607	0xea1c3d…
08-30 17:13:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$215	0x2e79a1…
08-30 16:20:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$502	0x6f4991…
08-28 09:23:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x508d18…
08-27 08:52:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	620	99¢	$613	0xe3cb42…
08-26 12:46:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	720	99¢	$713	0xca4cfd…
08-21 21:30:27	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723191456653	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7f393b…
08-21 01:33:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	720	99¢	$711	0x676a8e…
08-19 20:15:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	729	99¢	$720	0xd32f72…
08-18 20:47:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	729	99¢	$721	0xb9832a…
08-17 18:16:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$282	0x8da887…
08-17 18:16:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$195	0x611331…
08-17 18:16:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc7abd…
08-17 18:16:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x7fc419…
08-17 18:16:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0x6d3d7b…
08-15 07:46:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb23cfe…
08-15 07:45:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3fd7e3…
08-15 07:45:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x15299e…
08-15 07:36:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x77fd1b…
08-15 07:36:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa4f88c…
08-15 07:36:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x251a4a…
08-15 07:36:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xadce11…
08-15 07:35:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc11200…
08-15 07:35:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd5d51b…
08-15 07:35:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xb41a7c…
08-15 07:35:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcd861b…
08-15 07:35:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4251f1…
08-15 07:35:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe25c78…
08-15 07:35:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xad8c26…
08-15 07:34:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x429177…
08-15 07:34:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x94a45c…
08-15 07:34:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc684ed…
08-15 07:34:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x49b12a…
08-15 07:34:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x083225…
08-15 07:34:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x04cb3a…
08-15 07:34:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x80f20a…
08-15 07:34:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xae199b…
08-15 07:18:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0xaf54e7…
08-15 07:14:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x00f774…
08-15 07:14:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x60feed…
08-15 07:14:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x99bb76…
08-15 07:14:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xad36e4…
08-15 07:14:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0623a1…
08-15 07:14:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa4b9aa…
08-15 07:14:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaa398b…
08-15 07:14:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x96ed46…
08-15 07:13:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc9580e…
08-15 07:13:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x51aca3…
08-15 07:13:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x80b80a…
08-15 07:13:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe17294…
08-15 07:13:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc283e6…
08-15 07:13:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe276fa…
08-15 07:13:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x822c57…
08-15 07:13:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd5c29b…
08-15 06:35:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x6b3f86…
08-15 06:34:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9610ce…
08-15 06:33:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd2690f…
08-15 06:33:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf0bc35…
08-14 20:11:18	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	BUY	620	100¢	$618	0xe51b14…
08-14 20:10:55	will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c7bb0…
08-14 16:49:00	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	No	BUY	718	100¢	$717	0x498169…
08-14 16:37:49	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x521a5e…
08-13 20:07:01	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xee9a24…
08-13 19:25:36	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x6c5dd1…
07-20 15:59:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	717	93¢	$669	0x033a43…
07-18 22:58:58	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5e64a6…
07-18 22:55:28	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x405a82…
07-18 22:54:28	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa59544…
07-18 22:54:28	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x1d09c7…
07-18 10:09:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xf4c8b1…
07-18 00:00:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x6502b2…
07-17 14:25:45	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xfbd3ed…
07-16 22:16:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xfff0c3…
07-14 20:59:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xb364a1…
07-05 04:43:31	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0x4135a8…
07-02 22:18:52	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x616b6a…
07-02 22:18:05	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf2f02d…
06-09 10:58:33	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	699	100¢	$698	0x001fa1…
06-09 10:56:49	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x531fcf…
06-07 23:46:40	Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?	Yes	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0x217735…
06-06 15:04:51	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	323	2¢	$6	0x97f241…
06-06 15:03:51	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	142	2¢	$3	0x239446…
06-06 15:03:15	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	407	2¢	$8	0x11d7a8…
06-06 15:02:31	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$2	0x70033d…
06-05 05:38:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0x016867…
06-03 19:41:15	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x280947…
05-21 13:39:19	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	348	97¢	$339	0xa837d1…
05-21 12:29:08	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xda4e0c…
05-21 11:27:22	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$168	0x461e0e…
05-21 10:45:25	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x798842…