Tasty-Balalaika — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

1.1%

Resolved

140

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-24 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% -$2,609

Politics

26% 2% -$574

Crypto

2% 7% -$74

Sports

2% 0% -$65

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+3,500	$7	0¢	$4	-$4	10-24 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$1.4K	119,993	0	+119,993	Yes	-$1,400	06-07 16:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$694	91,036	0	+91,036	Yes	-$694	04-29 09:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$506	174,000	52,500	+121,500	Yes	-$190	04-08 11:57
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	2	$59	1,644	0	+1,644	No	-$59	04-28 23:40
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$55	3,667	0	+3,667	No	-$55	06-19 10:46
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$54	6,048	0	+6,048	No	-$54	06-19 18:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$50	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$50	05-11 13:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$50	16,667	0	+16,667	No	-$50	06-07 16:37
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$48	625	0	+625	No	-$48	07-19 17:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$46	15,333	0	+15,333	No	-$46	05-12 17:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$45	8,714	0	+8,714	No	-$45	04-11 16:46
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$40	3,077	0	+3,077	No	-$40	07-05 13:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$36	6,062	0	+6,062	No	-$36	06-07 16:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$36	3,774	24	+3,750	Yes	+$12	04-09 06:43
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$36	3,983	0	+3,983	No	-$36	07-02 12:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$33	16,295	0	+16,295	No	-$33	07-29 11:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$31	4,345	0	+4,345	No	-$31	04-03 19:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$31	6,125	0	+6,125	No	-$31	04-03 19:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$31	3,786	0	+3,786	No	-$31	04-03 19:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	33	$30	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	-$30	03-18 17:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$25	500	0	+500	No	-$25	06-20 07:56
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	2	$21	867	0	+867	No	-$21	04-01 21:11
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	5	$20	1,330	0	+1,330	Yes	-$20	04-29 18:31
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	2	$13	250	250	+0	Yes	-$7	04-11 13:36
will trumps remarks not air 219	2	$13	3,372	0	+3,372	No	-$13	04-06 17:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$13	6,425	0	+6,425	No	-$13	09-15 06:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$12	12,040	0	+12,040	No	-$12	07-29 12:45
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	2	$11	3,184	0	+3,184	No	-$11	10-21 14:21
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	15	$11	10,051	0	+10,051	No	-$11	06-19 10:30
laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	1	$11	308	0	+308	No	-$11	09-10 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:40:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x80b9fd…
10-21 14:21:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,532	0¢	$10	0xc312d7…
10-21 14:19:27	Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd72f0b…
10-21 14:14:14	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	652	0¢	$1	0x32f048…
09-16 12:45:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,130	0¢	$4	0xde85d8…
09-16 12:37:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	562	1¢	$4	0xfaeb7c…
09-15 06:41:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,425	0¢	$13	0x48f55f…
09-10 03:02:01	laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	308	4¢	$11	0xa2fdfb…
08-11 14:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$10	0xad92e1…
08-11 08:01:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf3654a…
07-29 12:45:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,720	0¢	$10	0x628a39…
07-29 11:32:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,795	0¢	$24	0x1c1f26…
07-29 06:30:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x56e12f…
07-29 06:28:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x7611bc…
07-29 05:21:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,320	0¢	$1	0xcf3ef3…
07-29 05:21:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0x5f18f1…
07-19 17:39:19	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$48	0xdee4d7…
07-19 16:57:18	will the match not air 20260716161403339	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$5	0x9f8da5…
07-19 16:31:45	will the match not air 20260716161403339	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3ee181…
07-19 16:22:01	will the match not air 20260716161403339	Yes	BUY	248	1¢	$2	0xe21b61…
07-19 09:16:12	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	315	3¢	$9	0xe416b9…
07-17 15:51:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46eba5…
07-05 13:37:31	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	3,077	1¢	$40	0xd51cee…
07-02 12:25:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdaf923…
07-02 12:12:52	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xea3398…
06-24 00:34:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,482	0¢	$6	0x5ef93f…
06-20 11:35:16	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	472	4¢	$19	0x696a82…
06-20 10:00:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	178	4¢	$7	0x97487d…
06-20 07:56:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x1b9eb2…
06-19 18:05:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x1347d8…
06-19 17:53:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0xa2662e…
06-19 17:50:01	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,596	1¢	$14	0x4ec218…
06-19 17:46:11	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x0395af…
06-19 17:32:41	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	213	1¢	$2	0x05da8d…
06-19 17:29:34	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	212	1¢	$2	0xecf97b…
06-19 16:32:49	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3cfdc4…
06-19 16:30:10	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc5d511…
06-19 16:27:43	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x713497…
06-19 16:20:31	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0x100bfd…
06-19 16:13:32	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xeb3c29…
06-19 16:07:38	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x53f34e…
06-19 16:05:44	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x55ca64…
06-19 15:52:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x03db2d…
06-19 15:46:55	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x1dbed5…
06-19 15:39:44	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	355	1¢	$3	0xede1a4…
06-19 15:38:32	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x114516…
06-19 15:28:10	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x28c535…
06-19 15:27:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,660	1¢	$24	0x2896dc…
06-19 10:46:25	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$45	0x954d11…
06-19 10:40:11	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x3618d5…
06-19 10:30:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x837a26…
06-19 04:34:41	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4fed04…
06-18 23:57:32	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7ba2a1…
06-18 23:57:13	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xc59f96…
06-18 23:57:13	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x902db4…
06-18 23:55:32	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1af3cf…
06-18 23:55:32	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1552d4…
06-18 23:55:28	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf32d45…
06-18 23:55:26	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc9f8c6…
06-18 23:55:26	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x38f5a1…
06-18 23:55:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf35f5d…
06-18 23:55:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x872c28…
06-18 23:55:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x072454…
06-18 23:55:23	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3ffc12…
06-18 23:55:23	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x00dd9a…
06-18 08:43:32	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x971e18…
06-07 16:52:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,062	1¢	$36	0x97affa…
06-07 16:37:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x13254f…
06-07 16:37:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100,000	1¢	$900	0x06156e…
06-07 12:40:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf4565b…
06-07 12:37:52	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xd20bbf…
06-07 12:36:49	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd9fbcf…
06-07 12:35:48	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2bb601…
06-07 12:35:19	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xad8a53…
06-07 12:34:51	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x299ed9…
06-07 12:34:28	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc9ed7c…
06-07 12:33:21	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x466616…
06-07 12:30:39	will trump say n word this week	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$5	0x38455a…
05-24 05:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,544	2¢	$39	0x915c86…
05-24 05:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	503	2¢	$13	0x52609f…
05-24 05:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	504	3¢	$13	0x2ec62f…
05-24 05:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17,443	2¢	$436	0x20258a…
05-12 17:25:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,333	0¢	$46	0x30d450…
05-11 13:48:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x6a03bd…
04-30 17:10:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x84379e…
04-29 18:31:38	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x2552cc…
04-29 18:31:34	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0xc83f5c…
04-29 18:31:34	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x54d260…
04-29 18:31:02	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	566	1¢	$6	0x86800a…
04-29 09:36:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	47,910	0¢	$96	0x617716…
04-28 23:40:14	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x58c8ab…
04-28 18:18:00	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8fe34d…
04-28 18:17:46	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d689d…
04-28 15:57:44	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb2aaa5…
04-28 15:37:32	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xed8a84…
04-28 15:34:32	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x58897e…
04-28 13:39:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x93bfc4…
04-11 17:39:27	will trump say potato this week april 12	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x54e09e…
04-11 17:38:59	will trump say tube this week april 12	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xecd4a8…
04-11 17:37:31	will trump say six seven this week april 12	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xdca76f…