Oddball-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,445

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 33% $-1

Other

31% 83% $-0

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	66	$203	119	84	+35	open	—	02-01 18:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$126	87	43	+43	open	—	03-03 01:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$109	79	30	+49	open	—	05-01 00:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	04-10 06:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	10	$92	66	32	+34	open	—	02-28 16:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	06-02 22:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	29	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 17:04
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	11	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	02-12 21:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	05-11 18:16
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$65	45	20	+25	Yes	+$0	05-03 04:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$62	66	23	+43	open	—	04-06 21:36
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	5	$61	32	30	+2	open	—	04-28 21:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 07:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-10 00:46
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$55	38	37	+1	open	—	03-31 02:09
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 sen	4	$53	27	26	+1	open	—	01-18 21:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$51	41	41	+0	open	—	03-27 16:41
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	5	$51	26	26	-0	open	—	05-28 06:32
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	5	$51	21	31	-10	open	—	04-25 00:49
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$50	20	30	-10	open	—	04-25 21:09
enl eas tam 2026 04 18 eas	4	$50	30	20	+10	open	—	04-18 16:50
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	30	$49	28	25	+3	open	—	06-17 18:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	6	$48	39	10	+29	open	—	02-23 16:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$47	39	9	+30	open	—	03-02 01:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$47	53	53	+0	open	—	04-01 20:14
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 26 1	4	$45	30	16	+15	open	—	01-31 19:01
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 30	5	$45	20	30	-10	open	—	03-30 11:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	8	$45	70	70	+0	open	—	04-02 02:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-19 12:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	5	$42	26	16	+10	open	—	04-25 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 20:01:04	meta above 580 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbde72…
07-10 17:30:26	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97092a…
07-10 12:50:02	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x925f07…
07-10 11:39:58	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x104827…
07-10 11:26:20	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa58af7…
07-10 00:46:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x019b59…
07-08 20:02:07	googl close above 360 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57b74b…
07-08 09:05:40	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 8	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6b4bad…
07-07 20:07:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde0e6d…
07-07 19:45:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa21066…
07-07 19:41:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfede95…
07-07 00:38:59	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x443ddb…
07-07 00:37:59	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x936fdb…
07-07 00:32:47	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7e4872…
07-07 00:31:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x457a6f…
07-06 23:07:35	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd5e58c…
07-06 23:07:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x706fdc…
07-06 23:07:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x657b0d…
07-06 23:07:26	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x43f970…
07-06 23:07:23	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x53d037…
07-06 23:07:22	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x811b8f…
07-06 23:07:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x168bcc…
07-06 23:06:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8fee7d…
07-06 23:06:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0bfded…
07-06 23:06:53	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf0cfe0…
07-06 23:05:59	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7e4245…
07-06 21:18:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc7e16e…
07-06 16:55:41	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 6	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb7f132…
07-06 16:30:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x54a57b…
07-04 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1783172100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e9eb6…
07-04 08:03:10	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 4	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ee8e0…
07-04 07:27:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 4	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x09dd39…
07-04 00:30:52	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x733824…
07-03 15:30:47	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e7dc6…
07-02 21:51:38	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 2	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0328d5…
07-02 20:01:01	amzn above 245 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c9514…
07-02 07:38:52	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9b77de…
07-02 07:23:31	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a9dea…
07-02 00:48:49	will bitcoin reach 62k on july 1	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7fe455…
06-30 19:22:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 on june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6626ce…
06-30 14:56:17	will solana reach 80 on june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd2d7a2…
06-30 08:49:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x583270…
06-30 08:48:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x020b24…
06-30 07:32:46	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x273ff7…
06-30 07:09:31	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a54d3…
06-30 07:00:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aa397…
06-30 04:59:58	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6464c1…
06-30 00:20:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf84fd8…
06-30 00:08:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c04ae…
06-29 17:29:58	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1576d…
06-29 17:18:55	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xc30143…
06-29 17:18:05	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1fdb45…
06-29 17:15:26	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0a491b…
06-29 12:13:20	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 29	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7a87d8…
06-29 07:40:29	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 29	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe56db1…
06-29 07:39:56	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 29	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93ca82…
06-29 02:04:25	will solana dip to 65 on june 28	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1b531c…
06-29 00:13:19	will solana dip to 65 on june 28	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf60d5b…
06-28 18:54:43	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3abd4…
06-28 18:21:07	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2497d…
06-28 13:07:10	will solana dip to 65 on june 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x161ef7…
06-28 09:11:14	will solana reach 80 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f8157…
06-27 23:14:52	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28a0df…
06-27 22:51:58	will solana reach 80 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98f84d…
06-27 22:40:22	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74c3a3…
06-27 22:04:46	will solana reach 75 on june 27	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d5d11…
06-27 16:25:14	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0db71…
06-27 16:13:41	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd42e41…
06-27 13:18:40	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x467f06…
06-27 12:00:05	xrp up or down june 27 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5b7ee…
06-27 08:58:25	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1e55…
06-27 07:51:44	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb02818…
06-27 02:36:43	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd1d9b…
06-27 00:37:25	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 26	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd4bdf4…
06-26 23:37:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 26	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x97aae7…
06-26 23:18:10	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37163e…
06-26 23:18:10	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ebe57…
06-26 23:17:58	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1016d…
06-26 23:08:47	Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa6e39…
06-26 23:08:47	Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9595c…
06-26 23:08:47	Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581637…
06-26 20:39:04	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cd959…
06-26 20:37:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 26	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa758e1…
06-26 15:49:50	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 26	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x7fb578…
06-26 12:57:22	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 26	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27f7a0…
06-26 09:35:44	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 26	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xef0337…
06-26 09:34:31	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 26	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf7e999…
06-26 08:08:01	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 26	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x64c2db…
06-26 08:06:46	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 26	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x0a8d6b…
06-26 07:37:14	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 26	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xc8fe06…
06-26 03:51:14	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5406b…
06-26 03:50:26	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ba232…
06-26 03:50:26	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x454b4c…
06-26 03:48:47	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x59c411…
06-25 19:12:53	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 25	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64eebb…
06-25 19:11:20	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 25	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x96aca2…
06-25 18:11:31	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 25	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf52a6d…
06-25 17:47:13	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 25	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x45f1fd…
06-25 16:01:58	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x33cd1f…
06-25 15:42:52	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 25	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x1ed819…