Oddball-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,608

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-01 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 33% $-1

Other

29% 83% $-0

Politics

13% 100% +$0

Sports

8% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	66	$203	119	84	+35	open	—	02-01 18:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$126	87	43	+43	open	—	03-03 01:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$109	79	30	+49	open	—	05-01 00:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	04-10 06:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	10	$92	66	32	+34	open	—	02-28 16:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	06-02 22:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	29	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 17:04
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	11	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	02-12 21:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	05-11 18:16
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$65	45	20	+25	Yes	+$0	05-03 04:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$62	66	23	+43	open	—	04-06 21:36
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	5	$61	32	30	+2	open	—	04-28 21:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 07:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-10 00:46
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$55	38	37	+1	open	—	03-31 02:09
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 sen	4	$53	27	26	+1	open	—	01-18 21:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$51	41	41	+0	open	—	03-27 16:41
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	5	$51	26	26	-0	open	—	05-28 06:32
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	5	$51	21	31	-10	open	—	04-25 00:49
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$50	20	30	-10	open	—	04-25 21:09
enl eas tam 2026 04 18 eas	4	$50	30	20	+10	open	—	04-18 16:50
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	30	$49	28	25	+3	open	—	06-17 18:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	6	$48	39	10	+29	open	—	02-23 16:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$47	39	9	+30	open	—	03-02 01:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$47	53	53	+0	open	—	04-01 20:14
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 26 1	4	$45	30	16	+15	open	—	01-31 19:01
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 30	5	$45	20	30	-10	open	—	03-30 11:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	8	$45	70	70	+0	open	—	04-02 02:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-19 12:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	5	$42	26	16	+10	open	—	04-25 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 11:22:48	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 1	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6e58c7…
08-01 06:20:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd5fc42…
08-01 05:26:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7f84aa…
08-01 05:02:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x91de41…
08-01 00:57:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xcfb10d…
08-01 00:30:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9006b1…
07-31 22:32:47	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64a5ce…
07-31 22:13:02	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99f017…
07-31 22:02:48	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6968bc…
07-31 21:10:50	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xddafe3…
07-31 20:58:56	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa6e876…
07-29 21:17:09	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 29	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8d649e…
07-28 23:15:31	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce8499…
07-28 23:12:50	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b0fcb…
07-28 23:12:07	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa37b96…
07-28 22:24:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f7a01…
07-28 20:58:02	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafcc52…
07-28 20:58:02	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa87244…
07-28 20:58:02	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x252647…
07-28 20:57:19	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbf6c9…
07-28 20:57:19	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa62d1f…
07-28 20:57:19	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b73ac…
07-28 20:56:38	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d04d3…
07-28 20:42:08	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5324a…
07-28 20:38:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9d7310…
07-28 20:25:22	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x352270…
07-28 20:17:59	ucl cel1 egn 2026 07 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0f861…
07-28 13:49:07	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 28	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xccda02…
07-28 13:45:49	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 28	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb6106b…
07-28 07:52:57	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 28	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfea4a6…
07-28 01:05:27	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd6db60…
07-28 00:42:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x29fdf1…
07-28 00:23:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8835bf…
07-28 00:20:51	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7c122…
07-28 00:20:09	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d4904…
07-28 00:19:06	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb78958…
07-28 00:18:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x86a001…
07-27 23:12:31	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x21b1bd…
07-27 22:54:10	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 27	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe27aa3…
07-27 16:27:12	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 27	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x713588…
07-27 16:20:54	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfda404…
07-26 02:32:12	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9deb8b…
07-26 02:28:33	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x251e12…
07-26 02:27:51	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x89a898…
07-25 18:42:45	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x947c16…
07-25 17:05:00	will solana dip to 70 on july 25	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26798d…
07-25 17:04:15	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x803245…
07-25 11:32:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x587bb8…
07-24 13:16:27	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x14edbd…
07-24 13:15:13	xrp updown 5m 1784898600	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb37f5f…
07-24 13:15:10	xrp updown 5m 1784898600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65fb78…
07-24 13:04:19	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1e0ddc…
07-24 03:59:00	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x529196…
07-24 03:58:49	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddead9…
07-23 18:20:54	will solana reach 80 on july 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x885da6…
07-23 06:09:45	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 23	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc528c4…
07-23 06:09:15	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 23	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x23e484…
07-23 04:46:37	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 23	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe98fd4…
07-22 21:20:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 22	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xea41e5…
07-22 21:15:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 22	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x18a6cc…
07-22 12:15:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd62615…
07-22 00:44:36	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf44e5…
07-21 22:46:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90cee7…
07-21 22:45:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ae91b…
07-21 22:43:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ed175…
07-21 17:04:04	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdccd62…
07-20 18:18:49	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x530a3a…
07-20 17:41:33	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x817bde…
07-20 17:29:48	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc264b8…
07-20 15:54:18	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8c9bbe…
07-20 14:37:13	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e469e…
07-20 06:49:07	will solana dip to 70 on july 20	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x616cd4…
07-19 19:50:22	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb798ed…
07-19 19:27:48	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x213e25…
07-19 19:23:40	world cup fastest goal record broken 20260609182449163	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd098b7…
07-19 16:03:06	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf29726…
07-19 16:01:27	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf84e6e…
07-19 15:15:31	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e5d6a…
07-19 03:07:42	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa4e85b…
07-19 02:41:21	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3d5ff5…
07-19 01:03:36	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf74e06…
07-18 22:24:34	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xaf4007…
07-18 22:03:13	mlb pit cle 2026 07 17	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a75ea…
07-18 21:59:04	mlb pit cle 2026 07 17	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfb49b…
07-18 21:49:04	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x755501…
07-18 21:49:03	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x501e7f…
07-18 19:02:24	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x50a001…
07-18 15:48:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f10bf…
07-18 11:04:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x378b4b…
07-18 10:37:10	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x40b39f…
07-18 10:36:46	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd39618…
07-18 09:17:58	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40d60c…
07-18 09:16:52	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6bb174…
07-18 08:38:39	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x347913…
07-18 08:38:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3803c7…
07-18 08:38:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x292dbb…
07-18 08:37:10	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x45fd07…
07-18 08:36:57	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xae83a2…
07-18 08:36:45	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde2104…
07-17 22:50:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e598e…