Possible-Satin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

1,386

Trades

5,103

lifetime

Volume

$71.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-12 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

63% 36% -$596

Crypto

36% 63% -$631

Politics

1% 20% -$28

Sports

0% 19% -$62

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	83¢	$0	$0	10-12 11:03
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	82¢	$0	$0	07-14 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	8	$2.7K	1,886	1,886	+0	Yes	-$38	06-17 02:24
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	12	$2.3K	3,343	3,343	+0	Yes	+$284	06-21 02:03
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	6	$1.6K	1,343	1,343	+0	No	-$223	07-15 20:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	6	$1.5K	1,523	1,523	+0	No	-$77	06-21 20:33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	10	$1.4K	1,920	1,920	+0	Yes	-$55	06-20 21:32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	8	$1.4K	3,995	3,995	+0	No	+$109	06-20 21:43
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	4	$1.2K	1,388	1,388	+0	Yes	+$15	06-21 20:58
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	12	$1.2K	951	950	+1	No	+$10	07-15 20:40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	4	$1.1K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$148	07-19 20:56
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	4	$1.0K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	+$13	06-21 20:31
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	4	$889	723	723	+0	Yes	+$89	07-18 22:48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	4	$837	2,126	2,126	+0	No	-$263	06-21 23:54
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$799	444	444	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 19:15 UTC	35	$659	644	612	+32	Up	-$29	07-30 19:25
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$625	358	358	+0	Yes	+$25	07-19 21:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$610	2,207	2,207	+0	Yes	+$10	07-15 20:49
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	2	$602	4,489	4,489	+0	No	+$2	06-17 17:51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	6	$593	977	977	+0	No	-$7	06-20 03:49
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	2	$592	365	365	+0	Under	-$8	07-19 19:44
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	2	$585	500	500	+0	No	-$15	07-19 19:45
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$559	1,364	1,364	+0	No	-$41	06-17 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$537	355	355	+0	Up	+$39	05-10 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:20 UTC	26	$530	468	468	+0	Up	+$10	07-30 18:24
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	5	$524	748	563	+185	Yes	+$109	06-20 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$520	352	352	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 23:05
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?	7	$519	432	432	+0	Yes	+$69	07-24 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	9	$503	759	740	+19	Up	-$48	05-10 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$499	409	408	+0	Up	+$72	05-10 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	7	$486	565	565	+0	Up	-$12	05-10 22:20
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	2	$479	317	317	+0	Under	-$21	07-14 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 13:17:47	Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc72d27…
10-12 13:16:12	Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x04d677…
10-12 13:07:14	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2686b8…
10-12 13:07:08	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4aed18…
10-12 11:03:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf116a9…
10-12 11:03:26	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9ea7fe…
10-12 08:33:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3b856d…
10-12 08:33:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc4472e…
10-11 18:13:36	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x6d29eb…
10-11 18:13:30	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x027ab9…
10-11 18:11:12	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x10a9a2…
10-11 18:02:15	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x2eca3f…
10-11 17:58:40	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5dc4ef…
10-11 07:07:30	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdf0051…
10-11 07:04:29	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6f1dad…
10-10 20:08:22	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xc90104…
10-10 20:07:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3c9856…
10-10 15:49:49	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x35bf09…
10-10 15:49:45	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfd4af9…
10-10 15:49:45	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	GamerLegion	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x8a322f…
10-10 15:45:13	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb5abf2…
10-10 13:04:45	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x329da2…
10-10 13:04:40	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x534885…
10-10 13:04:39	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	18	20¢	$3	0x9c4b18…
10-10 13:00:48	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x157fbf…
10-09 15:28:03	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x983849…
10-09 15:27:54	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xff45b7…
10-09 12:32:33	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x15208c…
10-09 12:32:21	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2979e2…
10-09 12:31:46	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x4c982d…
10-09 12:31:46	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x4a8636…
10-09 12:28:51	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x96e2a6…
10-09 12:28:43	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6d56f3…
10-09 11:26:13	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xee25d1…
10-09 11:26:04	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0ab484…
09-13 16:49:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x39930f…
09-13 16:47:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4c8795…
09-13 16:47:37	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x2c7b92…
09-13 16:46:40	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd866ea…
09-13 16:16:52	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x42d65c…
09-13 16:16:37	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xafa58a…
09-13 16:16:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xd2f2ef…
09-13 16:16:09	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1148e0…
09-13 16:10:58	Will Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x238799…
09-13 16:10:52	Will Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcc1012…
09-11 14:29:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7e081c…
09-10 20:56:57	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x296386…
09-10 20:47:39	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x417ef5…
09-10 20:45:00	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x03879c…
09-10 20:35:54	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x668ac1…
09-10 20:09:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7afe4c…
09-10 20:09:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x377200…
09-10 20:08:27	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xaf9b3b…
09-10 20:07:55	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3ef700…
09-10 05:24:12	cs2 all tyloo 2026 09 09	Alliance	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x95ec72…
09-10 05:21:58	cs2 all tyloo 2026 09 09	Alliance	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xeb0f5b…
09-10 02:31:46	Counter-Strike: paiN vs Back to Back (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	paiN	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x90ae56…
09-10 01:20:33	Counter-Strike: paiN vs Back to Back (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs	paiN	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x637bb4…
09-09 20:18:31	Will Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2b8b3f…
09-09 20:17:58	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xfea396…
09-09 20:17:25	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ec19f…
09-09 20:16:40	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xaff8c2…
09-09 20:16:33	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9012bf…
09-09 20:12:31	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D	1WIN	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x629377…
09-09 19:06:52	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0de270…
09-09 19:05:58	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xf731f7…
09-09 19:04:13	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x12dd8a…
09-09 18:38:06	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D	1WIN	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x75ff19…
09-09 18:04:42	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb3904…
09-09 18:04:19	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x04d6b4…
09-09 17:59:15	Counter-Strike: FLXRE vs valarmorghulis (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #9 Playoffs	FLXRE	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x80b3d4…
09-09 17:54:55	Counter-Strike: FLXRE vs valarmorghulis (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #9 Playoffs	FLXRE	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa313b4…
09-09 16:34:21	cs2 phanto zerote 2026 09 09	ex-Zero Tenacity	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad0831…
09-09 16:12:57	cs2 phanto zerote 2026 09 09	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe902e6…
09-09 08:58:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x2b4dfb…
09-09 08:57:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb713cf…
09-09 08:55:55	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 99.5	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xaafbc9…
09-09 08:50:57	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 99.5	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa8dd44…
09-09 08:02:42	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x5ab3ad…
09-09 08:02:36	cs2 9z mibr 2026 09 09	MIBR	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc82469…
09-09 07:40:03	cs2 9z mibr 2026 09 09	MIBR	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa1968e…
09-09 06:39:48	cs2 mgc faze 2026 09 08	magic	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc5cc52…
09-09 05:06:16	cs2 5s mglz 2026 09 08	5star	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x241c4b…
09-08 20:47:45	Counter-Strike: DINERO vs BOJONG (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #9 Playoffs	BOJONG	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd1c095…
09-08 10:04:04	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x0ef86d…
09-08 09:55:24	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x23c353…
09-07 11:39:13	Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xab3248…
09-07 11:09:25	Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x486947…
09-07 10:20:27	Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x42203a…
09-07 10:10:03	Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd7eeea…
09-07 10:09:52	Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x440717…
09-07 08:53:37	Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5659c1…
09-07 07:16:43	Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xfef5ea…
09-07 07:16:24	Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xc98122…
09-07 07:11:33	Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x64e4f9…
09-07 07:05:24	Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x2f76f7…
09-07 07:05:15	Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x62b133…
09-06 17:09:16	Angers SCO vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc5a70c…
09-06 17:09:12	Will Angers SCO vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x08ce99…
09-06 17:09:09	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x813908…