Possible-Satin — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

5,169 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$85

$71.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-15 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

63% 35% -$599

Crypto

35% 63% -$633

Politics

1% 20% -$28

Sports

0% 18% -$62

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	$0	10-12 11:03
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	86¢	$0	$0	07-14 21:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$0	10¢	$0	$0	11-14 18:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	8	$2.7K	1,886	1,886	+0	Yes	-$38	06-17 02:24
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	12	$2.3K	3,343	3,343	+0	Yes	+$284	06-21 02:03
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	6	$1.6K	1,343	1,343	+0	No	-$223	07-15 20:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	6	$1.5K	1,523	1,523	+0	No	-$77	06-21 20:33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	10	$1.4K	1,920	1,920	+0	Yes	-$55	06-20 21:32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	8	$1.4K	3,995	3,995	+0	No	+$109	06-20 21:43
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	4	$1.2K	1,388	1,388	+0	Yes	+$15	06-21 20:58
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	12	$1.2K	951	950	+1	No	+$10	07-15 20:40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	4	$1.1K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$148	07-19 20:56
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	4	$1.0K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	+$13	06-21 20:31
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	4	$889	723	723	+0	Yes	+$89	07-18 22:48
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	4	$837	2,126	2,126	+0	No	-$263	06-21 23:54
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$799	444	444	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 19:15 UTC	35	$659	644	612	+32	Up	-$29	07-30 19:25
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$625	358	358	+0	Yes	+$25	07-19 21:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$610	2,207	2,207	+0	Yes	+$10	07-15 20:49
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	2	$602	4,489	4,489	+0	No	+$2	06-17 17:51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	6	$593	977	977	+0	No	-$7	06-20 03:49
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	2	$592	365	365	+0	Under	-$8	07-19 19:44
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	2	$585	500	500	+0	No	-$15	07-19 19:45
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$559	1,364	1,364	+0	No	-$41	06-17 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$537	355	355	+0	Up	+$39	05-10 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:20 UTC	26	$530	468	468	+0	Up	+$10	07-30 18:24
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	5	$524	748	563	+185	Yes	+$109	06-20 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$520	352	352	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 23:05
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?	7	$519	432	432	+0	Yes	+$69	07-24 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	9	$503	759	740	+19	Up	-$48	05-10 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$499	409	408	+0	Up	+$72	05-10 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	7	$486	565	565	+0	Up	-$12	05-10 22:20
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	2	$479	317	317	+0	Under	-$21	07-14 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 16:08:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x76a827…
11-15 14:00:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x57e373…
11-15 13:59:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x522f54…
11-15 12:58:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x145578…
11-15 12:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8f6c7c…
11-15 11:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9499d1…
11-15 11:34:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x92619a…
11-15 10:34:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf07978…
11-14 18:50:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xbea6db…
11-14 18:50:37	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0569c3…
11-14 13:49:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa89ba4…
11-14 13:48:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9a830a…
11-10 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb8d445…
11-10 11:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x56e8c9…
11-10 11:29:51	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xb1e7ef…
11-10 11:29:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe2f80c…
11-10 11:28:46	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x7e858a…
11-10 11:28:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xa62769…
11-10 11:14:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x72b753…
11-10 11:11:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x813fac…
11-10 11:10:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x17cb1f…
11-09 15:48:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xee70f8…
11-09 15:41:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on November 9?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x45d80b…
11-09 15:38:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xfec953…
11-09 14:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xb9cd50…
11-09 14:47:51	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8d5e71…
11-09 14:38:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2781f7…
11-09 14:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x766ef4…
11-09 13:47:33	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8ac218…
11-09 13:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 9?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe379b8…
11-09 13:31:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x378970…
11-09 13:29:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x3019af…
11-09 12:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x784c35…
11-09 12:31:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xf06f1f…
11-09 12:29:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7e6f25…
11-09 12:26:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x9c2ff7…
11-09 11:31:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x648b51…
11-09 11:30:51	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x3b9aa2…
11-09 11:26:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x32546c…
11-09 11:24:51	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9b4555…
11-09 10:29:57	Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8f27ed…
11-09 10:28:51	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf71bc0…
11-09 10:24:31	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3bfc35…
11-09 10:21:51	Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x5a0b7e…
11-09 09:28:42	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xede4c2…
11-09 09:21:49	Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xaa9b17…
11-09 09:17:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcd5b3d…
11-09 09:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x06d3bd…
11-09 08:17:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5ca8e5…
11-09 08:17:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x296e40…
11-09 08:16:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x600f57…
11-09 08:16:52	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x1d756f…
11-08 19:34:31	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x58e328…
11-08 19:33:04	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x9f1236…
11-08 18:32:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x542940…
11-08 18:32:52	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x01eb55…
11-08 18:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 8?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x11da60…
11-08 18:19:06	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xa9c17d…
11-08 18:01:31	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4be2bd…
11-08 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 8?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xedf3bd…
11-08 17:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x5925e4…
11-08 17:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x156ebc…
11-08 16:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe0118b…
11-08 16:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x503c50…
11-08 13:19:15	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x924543…
11-08 13:17:19	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xed7ecf…
10-12 13:17:47	Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc72d27…
10-12 13:16:12	Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x04d677…
10-12 13:07:14	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2686b8…
10-12 13:07:08	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4aed18…
10-12 11:03:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf116a9…
10-12 11:03:26	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9ea7fe…
10-12 08:33:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3b856d…
10-12 08:33:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc4472e…
10-11 18:13:36	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x6d29eb…
10-11 18:13:30	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x027ab9…
10-11 18:11:12	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x10a9a2…
10-11 18:02:15	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x2eca3f…
10-11 17:58:40	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5dc4ef…
10-11 07:07:30	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdf0051…
10-11 07:04:29	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6f1dad…
10-10 20:08:22	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xc90104…
10-10 20:07:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3c9856…
10-10 15:49:49	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x35bf09…
10-10 15:49:45	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfd4af9…
10-10 15:49:45	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	GamerLegion	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x8a322f…
10-10 15:45:13	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb5abf2…
10-10 13:04:45	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x329da2…
10-10 13:04:40	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x534885…
10-10 13:04:39	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	18	20¢	$3	0x9c4b18…
10-10 13:00:48	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x157fbf…
10-09 15:28:03	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x983849…
10-09 15:27:54	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xff45b7…
10-09 12:32:33	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x15208c…
10-09 12:32:21	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2979e2…
10-09 12:31:46	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x4c982d…
10-09 12:31:46	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x4a8636…
10-09 12:28:51	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x96e2a6…
10-09 12:28:43	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6d56f3…
10-09 11:26:13	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xee25d1…