Dimpled-Overcoat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.3%

Resolved

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-12

Crypto

11% 100% +$12

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump goes to space in 2026?	Yes		-25	$-1	4¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$6.9K	3,631	3,631	+0	open	—	01-10 15:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$2.8K	1,661	1,661	+0	open	—	01-31 21:35
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	4	$2.2K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	04-06 14:20
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	21	$1.5K	1,351	1,351	+0	open	—	02-07 18:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$1.2K	799	507	+292	open	—	04-24 01:10
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	14	$969	728	728	+0	open	—	02-12 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$950	589	589	+0	open	—	05-09 07:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$841	497	497	+0	open	—	05-31 19:51
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	10	$806	656	656	+0	open	—	02-07 15:17
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	9	$679	474	403	+71	open	—	03-11 13:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$654	380	380	+0	open	—	03-20 21:22
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$625	420	420	+0	open	—	05-03 13:19
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	5	$616	948	948	+0	open	—	01-10 15:47
Iran leadership change by May 31?	7	$608	327	327	+0	open	—	05-09 07:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$607	320	320	+0	open	—	05-06 08:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$597	374	374	+0	open	—	04-18 18:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$594	589	830	-241	open	—	02-28 06:48
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	11	$532	685	685	+0	open	—	02-17 19:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$452	321	160	+160	open	—	02-20 20:31
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$440	244	244	+0	open	—	02-26 20:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$424	264	264	+0	open	—	01-30 16:15
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$390	215	215	+0	open	—	04-16 17:00
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$388	244	244	+0	open	—	02-18 15:36
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	6	$382	328	328	+0	open	—	01-10 09:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$312	225	225	+0	open	—	05-31 19:58
Iran leadership change by April 30?	20	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	03-24 20:27
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$300	345	0	+345	open	—	03-21 16:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$300	380	0	+380	open	—	03-21 16:25
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	1	$300	319	0	+319	open	—	03-20 08:57
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	1	$300	309	0	+309	open	—	03-09 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:18:39	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	140	69¢	$97	0x810b4a…
06-07 22:28:57	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0xba4406…
06-07 16:58:37	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xaf7327…
06-04 13:22:15	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x811840…
06-02 19:22:03	Trump goes to space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa1e4f5…
06-02 19:21:53	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0x031dd5…
05-31 19:58:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	72¢	$162	0xa6bb68…
05-31 19:51:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	497	89¢	$440	0xbb7d6a…
05-31 17:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x68d979…
05-31 17:35:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5fe1d0…
05-30 19:47:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x7d7d5f…
05-30 07:05:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x799e52…
05-29 08:56:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x191237…
05-29 08:49:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x20d326…
05-28 07:01:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xf8e9df…
05-12 21:15:32	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0x6057fa…
05-09 07:26:01	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	327	94¢	$307	0x22c161…
05-09 07:25:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	442	100¢	$441	0x866e22…
05-08 19:19:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	71¢	$89	0x845d08…
05-08 19:13:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd353be…
05-08 08:34:22	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x126d40…
05-06 22:00:08	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0xcd33aa…
05-06 16:52:46	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0xfb1aa6…
05-06 15:06:10	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xa9fc79…
05-06 09:36:54	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xb3cc4c…
05-06 08:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	320	96¢	$306	0xa89d2e…
05-06 04:55:02	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xcbfc9f…
05-05 18:39:24	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x56f64c…
05-05 18:26:14	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x39de83…
05-05 12:50:18	Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x2c175e…
05-05 08:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x137ece…
05-04 14:43:30	Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0xa817b6…
05-04 10:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	320	94¢	$301	0x4a1ced…
05-03 20:52:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	172	92¢	$158	0x95d6dd…
05-03 20:26:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x10fd30…
05-03 19:46:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x71be40…
05-03 18:43:00	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0xd9acb2…
05-03 17:59:20	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe48685…
05-03 17:15:42	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	434	12¢	$50	0xe745c0…
05-03 16:39:54	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x414db3…
05-03 16:15:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x299922…
05-03 16:09:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x91db43…
05-03 13:19:18	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	320	96¢	$307	0x5663c1…
04-30 09:43:50	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x08cdbf…
04-30 09:34:18	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x99dc07…
04-30 09:19:02	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xd96bb1…
04-29 21:28:08	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	80	60¢	$48	0xa88226…
04-29 19:00:14	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0xdfe381…
04-29 18:59:56	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x82234f…
04-29 16:01:12	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x0abfbb…
04-29 09:12:58	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x2acf42…
04-29 07:51:12	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x970aba…
04-29 07:33:48	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xb58003…
04-29 07:33:24	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x91381f…
04-29 06:37:02	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x05fb51…
04-28 12:29:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xa93855…
04-27 17:51:44	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	220	40¢	$88	0xbc5113…
04-27 14:26:44	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	79	3¢	$2	0x787c9b…
04-26 20:20:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	220	46¢	$101	0x2fb0fc…
04-25 09:08:16	Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x11a39e…
04-25 09:08:04	Will Wrexham achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa83e6f…
04-25 08:47:00	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x26a5a3…
04-24 01:10:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	507	99¢	$503	0x26b3b3…
04-23 13:20:14	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x855e4c…
04-19 17:11:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	147	70¢	$103	0x24da84…
04-18 18:49:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	374	79¢	$297	0xf29b58…
04-18 13:42:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x3de7fb…
04-18 13:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x74e986…
04-18 12:27:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0xcf2d3d…
04-17 17:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x7d94df…
04-17 15:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x434061…
04-16 17:00:08	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	88¢	$190	0x0a55d0…
04-16 16:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x46f3ec…
04-16 16:37:48	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x36e2a6…
04-16 13:17:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xbf5e12…
04-15 20:02:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x22644c…
04-15 20:01:08	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	SELL	154	44¢	$68	0x42def6…
04-15 17:27:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x9158dd…
04-15 17:07:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	67	48¢	$32	0x4d7ac5…
04-15 16:50:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0xf12161…
04-15 16:08:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x278f75…
04-15 15:04:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3647a8…
04-15 09:04:52	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 2	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x838bf3…
04-15 09:04:28	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 3 0	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xafd092…
04-15 09:02:20	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 1	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x53e5b9…
04-15 09:02:04	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 0	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x773fb3…
04-15 09:01:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 0 2 655	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe79828…
04-15 09:01:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 0	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc8be57…
04-15 09:01:00	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 0 1 828	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa7efa2…
04-15 09:00:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 0 3 198	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x5ae12a…
04-15 09:00:32	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 2	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd48ae…
04-15 09:00:22	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 3 812	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x00c229…
04-15 09:00:10	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 3 586	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xab1562…
04-15 08:59:58	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 3 3 588	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc7e8fa…
04-15 08:45:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	374	80¢	$300	0x36b8bf…
04-15 08:42:02	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xfc920f…
04-12 19:58:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2365…
04-12 13:45:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x07d5f1…
04-10 13:51:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0xe24e9c…
04-09 16:16:25	will the indiana pacers have the worst record in the nba	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0x5a785f…